NSW 2570 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Cobbitty

A 195% population jump over the past decade makes Cobbitty one of the fastest-growing suburbs in the Camden corridor, rising from a small rural settlement to a community of over 6,000 residents by 2025. Household income sits in the 88.4th percentile nationally, yet the suburb remains more affordable than its income rank suggests, with mortgage costs at 27% of household income. The housing stock is almost entirely detached houses at 96.3%, and four-plus bedroom homes account for 71.7% of dwellings, well above state and national averages, reflecting the family-formation cohort driving the growth. Median age is 35, five years below the national figure.

Cobbitty urban fabric map

Population

4,206

Median Age

35.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,313/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

195

Median House

$900K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

52.16 km²· 80.6 people/km²· Family income $2,468/wk

The median house price reached $899,900 in the 2024-2025 period, up 64.1% from $670,450 in 2024, though this one-year CAGR reflects a thin sales sample rather than a straight market rally. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,700, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 27%, below the 30% stress threshold for a household at the 88.4th percentile of incomes. Separate houses account for 96.3% of all dwellings, and 71.7% have four or more bedrooms, making Cobbitty a genuinely large-lot family suburb rather than an infill market. Only 21.7% of residents rent, compared with the national average above 30%, indicating strong owner-occupier demand. With 185 development applications in the past 12 months, new supply continues to enter the market, which moderates price pressure.

For Buyers

The median house price reached $899,900 in the 2024-2025 period, up 64.1% from $670,450 in 2024, though this one-year CAGR reflects a thin sales sample rather than a straight market rally. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,700, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 27%, below the 30% stress threshold for a household at the 88.4th percentile of incomes. Separate houses account for 96.3% of all dwellings, and 71.7% have four or more bedrooms, making Cobbitty a genuinely large-lot family suburb rather than an infill market. Only 21.7% of residents rent, compared with the national average above 30%, indicating strong owner-occupier demand. With 185 development applications in the past 12 months, new supply continues to enter the market, which moderates price pressure.

For Investors

Rental conditions are moderate rather than strong. Weekly rent of $530 against a $899,900 median produces a gross yield around 3.1%, below the national rental yield average for houses. The vacancy rate of 3.5% sits at the equilibrium boundary, suggesting supply and demand are roughly balanced. The investment case is longer-term: net internal migration adds 260 residents a year and population is forecast to reach 7,555 by 2031, up from 6,281 in 2025. That growth trajectory, combined with rent growth of 51.4% over the measured period, signals continued rental demand. Only 21.7% of households rent currently, so the pool of prospective tenants is smaller than in higher-density suburbs. Demand is predominantly family-oriented, favouring four-bedroom houses over units.

Development Activity

Total DAs

1,241

Last 12 Months

195

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-19.8%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

New Dwelling
206
Commercial / Industrial
103
Swimming Pool / Spa
39
Subdivision
21
Renovation / Extension
19
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
16
Garage / Carport / Shed
13
Demolition
6

Schools in Cobbitty iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Macarthur Anglican School

ICSEA 1125 Combined Independent

K-12 · 1177 students

Cobbitty Public School

ICSEA 1021 Primary Government

K-6 · 360 students

Demographics

The median age of 35 is five years below the national figure, placing Cobbitty firmly in the young-family cohort. Overseas-born residents account for 17.7%, which is 3.9 percentage points below the national average, and the ancestry profile leans Anglo-Celtic: English (1,426), Irish (395), Italian (357) and Scottish (314). Average household size is 2.9, compared with the national average of 2.5, consistent with the dominance of couples-with-children households. Couples with children total 1,793 families, while couples without children number 923. The university qualification rate of 29% sits 1.1 percentage points below the national figure, suggesting a skilled-trades and professional workforce rather than a graduate-dominated one. Resident turnover is low, with 75.8% having stayed in the same address, indicating stability and owner-occupier commitment.

Age Distribution

0-14
22.2%
15-24
11.7%
25-44
29.8%
45-64
21.1%
65+
15.4%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.2%
2 bed
6.0%
3 bed
21.1%
4+ bed
71.7%

Dwelling Structure

96.3%

Houses

3.5%

Townhouse

0.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 26.7% Mortgage 51.6% Rent 21.7%

Tenure is dominated by mortgage holders at 51.6%, while outright owners account for 26.7% and renters 21.7%. This pattern, where mortgage holders outnumber outright owners by almost two to one, is typical of new-growth suburbs attracting first and second home buyers rather than long-held estate areas. The stock is almost exclusively separate houses at 96.3%, with only 0.2% apartments and 3.5% semi-detached. Four-plus bedroom homes make up 71.7% of all dwellings, compared with roughly 31% nationally. Price history shows the median moved from $670,450 in 2024 to $1,099,900 in 2025 in available data, though the 2024-2025 PSI-derived figure of $899,900 represents a smoothed benchmark. Mortgage-to-income at 27% and rent-to-income at 22.9% both fall comfortably below stress thresholds.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,700

Rent / wk

$530

HH Size

2.9

Personal Income / wk

$992

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.5%

Unoccupied

51

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.0%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
27
Samoan
15
Italian
12
Canton
11

Ancestry

English
1,426
Other
461
Irish
395
Italian
357
Scottish
314
Maltese
191

Household Composition

24.8%

Couples, no children

3,728

Total families

Economy & Employment

Education (14.5%, 203 workers) and Healthcare (14.3%, 200) are the top two industries, followed by Construction at 13.6% (190 workers). Construction's prominence reflects the active development phase of the suburb. Public Administration accounts for 9.2% and Professional/Technical services 7.7%. By occupation, Professionals (429) and Managers (336) lead, with Clerical/Admin (303) third. The unemployment rate of 2.8% is low, and the full-time employment rate of 67.2% is solid. Cobbitty scores IRSD decile 9 and IRSAD decile 8, placing it in the upper band of advantage nationally. The IER decile of 10 is notably higher than the IEO decile of 6, a split that reflects high physical and economic resources (larger homes, higher household assets) relative to education and occupation rankings, typical of a new-growth mortgage-belt suburb.

Unemployment

1.7%

Labour Force

3,704

Unemployed

62

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
9
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

67.2%

Part-time

30.0%

Participation

57.6%

Employed

1,833

Occupations

Professionals 429
Managers 336
Clerical/Admin 303
Community/Personal 246
Sales 174
Labourers 146
Machinery/Drivers 125

Top Industries

Education 14.5%
Healthcare 14.3%
Construction 13.6%
Public Admin 9.2%
Professional/Tech 7.7%

University

29.0%

Postgraduate

7.1%

Born Overseas

17.7%

Dwellings

1,399

Transport to Work

Car dependence is very high: 92.8% of residents drive to work, and only 0.9% use public transport, lower than the NSW state average. This reflects the suburb's location in the outer Camden corridor, where bus and train access is limited. The IRSAD decile 8 rank places Cobbitty in the upper advantage tier nationally. Only 4.6% of residents need daily assistance (186 people), consistent with the young median age of 35. Volunteering reaches 10.7%. No schools are recorded inside the suburb boundary in this dataset, so families rely on facilities in neighbouring Camden and Narellan suburbs. Rent-to-income at 22.9% and mortgage-to-income at 27% both indicate low housing stress relative to incomes, supporting quality of life for both renters and buyers.

Drive

92.8%

Public Transport

0.9%

Walk / Cycle

1.3%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+4.46%/yr

(+280 people/yr)

High Growth

Cobbitty's 10-year population growth of 195.3% is exceptional, driven almost entirely by internal migration of 260 net residents per year. Overseas migration contributes a modest 43 annually. Population reached 6,281 in 2025 and is forecast under the medium scenario to climb to 7,555 by 2031, an increase of 20% over six years at 4.46% annually. The gentrification stage reads new development rather than organic gentrification, meaning the suburb is still in active build-out phase. Affordability has improved from 58.3% in 2011 to 55.4% in 2021, a positive trend despite the large price jump. Real income growth of 29.7% over the decade underpins household capacity to service mortgages. With 185 DAs lodged in 12 months, construction activity remains elevated.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+43

Net Internal / yr

+260

0

Gentrification Signal

New development

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Cobbitty compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 13%
Household Income
Top 12%
Rent Level
Top 4%
Apartments
Bottom 1%
Renters
Top 46%
Uni Educated
Top 36%
Public Transport
Bottom 13%
Born Overseas
Top 36%
Density
Top 28%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cobbitty a good suburb to live in?

Cobbitty ranks in IRSAD decile 8 and IRSD decile 9, placing it in the upper advantage tier nationally. Household income is in the 88.4th percentile and mortgage-to-income sits at 27%, below the stress threshold. The trade-offs are strong car dependence (92.8% drive to work) and limited public transport at 0.9% usage.

What is the median house price in Cobbitty?

The median house price is $899,900 based on 2024-2025 PSI-derived data. Earlier data shows a median of $670,450 in 2024 moving to $1,099,900 in 2025 in available transactions. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,700 and weekly rent is $530.

What schools are in Cobbitty?

No schools are recorded inside the Cobbitty suburb boundary in this dataset. Families access schools in neighbouring Camden and Narellan areas. The suburb has a university qualification rate of 29%, close to the national average, and 14.5% of residents work in the Education industry.

Is Cobbitty safe?

Crime statistics specific to Cobbitty are not available in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores IRSD decile 9, placing it in the top 10% of least-disadvantaged areas nationally. Only 4.6% of the 4,206 Census residents need daily assistance, consistent with a low-disadvantage community profile.

Is Cobbitty good for property investment?

The investment case centres on population growth rather than yield. At $530 weekly rent against a $899,900 median, gross yield is approximately 3.1%, below national house averages. However, population grew 195.3% over the decade and is forecast to reach 7,555 by 2031. Rent growth of 51.4% over the measured period shows landlord pricing power.

How is Cobbitty's population changing?

Population grew 195.3% over the past decade, reaching 6,281 in 2025. Net internal migration drives growth at 260 residents per year, with overseas migration adding 43 annually. Annual growth runs at 4.46% and the medium forecast projects 7,555 residents by 2031, an increase of around 1,274 people over six years.

How much development is happening in Cobbitty?

There were 185 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, reflecting active build-out across the suburb. Recent applications include complying development certificates for new dwelling houses and earthworks, consistent with a suburb still in its new-development phase with 71.7% of homes having 4 or more bedrooms.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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