Condell Park
Lebanese ancestry at 3,350 residents is the single largest group, ahead of Vietnamese (1,704) and English (1,198), producing a suburb where Arabic (1,987 speakers) is the dominant non-English language by a factor of eight over the second-most-spoken. Despite the $1,304,500 median house price, SEIFA places Condell Park at IRSAD decile 4 and IRSD decile 2, indicating significant pockets of disadvantage beneath the housing wealth surface. Both mortgage stress (32.5%) and rent stress (30.6%) exceed the 30% threshold, the only suburb in this batch where both tenure groups are simultaneously under financial pressure. The median age of 34, 6 years below the national figure, and a 45.8% four-plus bedroom share point to a young, family-heavy population requiring large dwellings.
Population
13,066
Median Age
34.0
Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)
$1,636/wk
DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year
105
Median House
$1.3M
2024-2025 (PSI derived)
The $1,304,500 median house price reflects recent appreciation, with a move from $1,255,500 in 2024 to $1,350,000 in 2025, a 7.5% gain. Detached houses at 66.5% still dominate, but semi-detached at 31.3% has grown significantly, reflecting active subdivision. Three-bedroom at 42.7% and four-plus at 45.8% together account for 88.5% of stock, leaving few options for smaller households. The median monthly mortgage of $2,300 produces a mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5%, above the 30% stress threshold and the highest in this batch. Average household size of 3.4 is 0.9 above national, consistent with multi-generational living and large families. Vacancy at 5.3% is moderate. Public transport use at 3.8% is low, and car dependence at 86.4% is the primary commute pattern.
For Buyers
The $1,304,500 median house price reflects recent appreciation, with a move from $1,255,500 in 2024 to $1,350,000 in 2025, a 7.5% gain. Detached houses at 66.5% still dominate, but semi-detached at 31.3% has grown significantly, reflecting active subdivision. Three-bedroom at 42.7% and four-plus at 45.8% together account for 88.5% of stock, leaving few options for smaller households. The median monthly mortgage of $2,300 produces a mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5%, above the 30% stress threshold and the highest in this batch. Average household size of 3.4 is 0.9 above national, consistent with multi-generational living and large families. Vacancy at 5.3% is moderate. Public transport use at 3.8% is low, and car dependence at 86.4% is the primary commute pattern.
For Investors
Renters at 29.1% are near the national average, with median weekly rent of $500 against the $1,304,500 median delivering a gross yield around 2.0%, below Sydney averages. The 5.3% vacancy rate is moderate, and the rent-to-income ratio of 30.6% is above the stress threshold, meaning tenants are stretched, a double-edged factor that may limit future rent increases. Ninety development applications in 12 months is the highest in this batch, including secondary dwellings and subdivision, signalling aggressive densification. Population growth at 1.35% per year adds 184 persons annually, driven by overseas migration at 152 per year while net internal migration is negative at 95. The stable demographic trajectory and IRSAD decile 4 suggest limited capital appreciation beyond Sydney-wide trends.
Development Activity
Total DAs
561
Last 12 Months
105
YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements
-6.2%
Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year
N/A
Monthly DA Lodgements
DA Categories
Schools in Condell Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged
Condell Park Christian School
K-10 · 64 students
Condell Park Public School
K-6 · 586 students
Condell Park High School
7-12 · 876 students
Demographics
Lebanese (3,350), Vietnamese (1,704) and English (1,198) are the top three ancestry groups, creating a distinctive Middle Eastern and Southeast Asian cultural mix. The 43.3% overseas-born share is 21.7 percentage points above the national baseline. Arabic dominates non-English languages at 1,987 speakers, followed by Greek (243), Macedonian (136), Italian (110) and Mandarin (107). Christianity (5,315) and Islam (4,107) are nearly equal as the top two religions, with Buddhism (897) a distant third. The Christian-Muslim near-parity is unusual and reflects the Lebanese community's dual religious heritage. University qualifications at 33.3% sit 3.2 percentage points above the national baseline. The 35.9% labour force participation rate is low, with 4,813 residents not in the labour force.
Age Distribution
Bedrooms
Dwelling Structure
66.5%
Houses
31.3%
Townhouse
1.9%
Apartment
Tenure
Mortgage holders at 35.6% and outright owners at 35.3% are near-equal, with renters at 29.1%. The high semi-detached share of 31.3% reflects active subdivision of the 66.5% detached house stock, a pattern likely to continue given the 90 DAs in 12 months. Three-bedroom at 42.7% and four-plus at 45.8% leave little small-format stock. The recent price data shows appreciation from $1,255,500 in 2024 to $1,350,000 in 2025, a 7.5% increase. The 32.5% mortgage-to-income ratio exceeds stress thresholds, and combined with the 30.6% rent stress, makes Condell Park the most financially stretched suburb in this batch across both tenure groups. SEIFA IEO decile 5 and IER decile 4 show middling education but below-median economic resources.
Median House Price Trend
Source: State Valuer-General
Mortgage / mo
$2,300
Rent / wk
$500
HH Size
3.4
Personal Income / wk
$565
Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)
5.3%
Unoccupied
195
Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
30.6% stressed
Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress
32.5% stressed
Community Profile
Languages Spoken at Home
Ancestry
Household Composition
13.7%
Couples, no children
11,192
Total families
Economy & Employment
Healthcare leads employment at 18.3% (440 workers), followed by Education at 12.0%, Construction at 9.7%, Retail at 9.3% and Professional/Tech at 8.7%. Professionals (854) lead occupations, with Clerical/Admin (641) and Managers (469) forming the secondary tier. The 8.7% unemployment rate is above the national average, and the participation rate of 35.9% is well below typical, with 4,813 residents not in the labour force. This low participation partly reflects cultural factors in the Lebanese community, where multi-generational family structures often include non-working household members. SEIFA IRSAD decile 4 and IRSD decile 2 confirm below-median advantage and significant disadvantage pockets. Real income grew 13.3% over the decade, positive but insufficient to offset housing cost pressure at current price levels.
Unemployment
7.7%
Labour Force
6,097
Unemployed
469
Quarterly Trend
Source: SALM Dec-25
Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)
Full-time
62.4%
Part-time
28.9%
Participation
35.9%
Employed
3,284
Occupations
Top Industries
University
33.3%
Postgraduate
7.4%
Born Overseas
43.3%
Dwellings
3,487
Transport to Work
Car dependence at 86.4% dominates commuting, with public transport at 3.8% and walking/cycling at 3.3%. Schools include Condell Park Christian School (ICSEA 1,081, 64 students, Independent combined), Condell Park Public School (ICSEA 968, 586 students, Government) and Condell Park High School (ICSEA 936, 876 students, Government secondary). The Christian school sits well above benchmark but is very small. Both government schools fall below the 1,000 ICSEA benchmark, consistent with the IEO decile 5 reading. Crime-specific data is not available. The 7.6% need-for-assistance rate is above the national average. Both mortgage stress (32.5%) and rent stress (30.6%) exceed 30%, a dual-stress profile uncommon in Sydney suburbs at this price level.
Drive
86.4%
Public Transport
3.8%
Walk / Cycle
3.3%
Work from Home
N/A
Population Forecast
+1.35%/yr
(+184 people/yr)
EstablishedPopulation grew 25.4% over the past decade, with a trend rate of 1.35% per year adding 184 persons annually. Medium projections place population at 14,674 by 2031, up from 13,581 in 2025. Overseas migration at 152 per year drives growth, while net internal migration is negative at 95, meaning some domestic residents leave for other parts of Sydney. The demographic trajectory is classified as stable, with young share, senior share and working-age share all moving by less than 2 percentage points over the decade. Affordability has been essentially flat, from 88.7% in 2011 to 88.3% in 2021, meaning housing costs consume a persistently high share of income. The gentrification score of 9 with no active signals suggests demographic composition is not materially changing.
Historical + Forecast
Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025
Age Cohort Forecast
Primary Driver
Overseas Migration
Net Overseas / yr
+152
Net Internal / yr
-95
Gentrification Signal
Not gentrifying
Population +27% since 2011
National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs
How Condell Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Condell Park a good suburb to live in?
Condell Park is a family suburb with 45.8% four-plus bedroom homes and median age 34, 6 years below national. The dual mortgage (32.5%) and rent (30.6%) stress exceeding 30% is a significant trade-off. IRSAD decile 4 is below national midpoint. The Christian school at ICSEA 1,081 is strong, but both government schools sit below 1,000. Car dependence at 86.4% is high.
What is the median house price in Condell Park?
The median house price in Condell Park is $1,304,500, with the latest quarter showing $1,350,000 in 2025, up 7.5% from $1,255,500 in 2024. Median monthly mortgage is $2,300, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5% above the stress threshold. Median weekly rent is $500 with a vacancy rate of 5.3%.
What schools are in Condell Park?
Condell Park has 3 schools. Condell Park Christian School leads with ICSEA 1,081 (64 students, Independent combined). Condell Park Public School sits at 968 (586 students, Government primary) and Condell Park High School at 936 (876 students, Government secondary), both below the national 1,000 benchmark. The IEO decile 5 confirms education outcomes at the national midpoint.
Is Condell Park safe?
Crime-specific data is not available for Condell Park in the current dataset. IRSD decile 2 indicates above-average relative disadvantage, and the 8.7% unemployment rate exceeds the national figure. The 7.6% need-for-assistance rate is above average. Affordability ratios at 88.3% suggest most income goes to housing, a socioeconomic stressor that typically correlates with higher crime in similar suburbs.
Is Condell Park good for property investment?
The 29.1% renter share and 5.3% vacancy are near national averages. Gross yield at roughly 2.0% ($500 rent vs $1,304,500 median) is below Sydney averages. The 90 DAs in 12 months, the highest in this batch, signal heavy subdivision activity that will add supply. Population growth at 1.35% per year is positive, but rent stress at 30.6% suggests tenants are stretched, limiting future rent increases.
How is Condell Park's population changing?
Population grew from 13,194 in 2023 to 13,581 in 2025, a 1.35% annual rate adding 184 persons per year. Medium projections reach 14,674 by 2031. Overseas migration at 152 per year drives growth, offset by internal outflow of 95 per year. Population grew 25.4% over the decade with a stable demographic trajectory. Affordability ratios have been flat at around 88% since 2011.
What languages are spoken in Condell Park?
Arabic dominates at 1,987 speakers, well ahead of Greek (243), Macedonian (136), Italian (110) and Mandarin (107). Lebanese ancestry at 3,350 is the largest group, driving the Arabic language concentration. The 43.3% overseas-born share is 21.7 percentage points above national. Christianity (5,315) and Islam (4,107) are nearly equal, reflecting the Lebanese community's dual religious heritage.
How to read these comparisons
Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.
Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.
Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.
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