NSW 2265 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Cooranbong

Detached houses make up 85.9% of Cooranbong's stock and 52.3% of dwellings carry four or more bedrooms, the clearest signal that this Lake Macquarie suburb is built for families rather than downsizers. Yet the gentrification score of 55 sits in the Active stage, driven by population growth of 31.0% over the decade and net internal migration of 737 people a year. The household income percentile of 56.7 places residents just above the national midpoint, while the median age of 39 runs only 1 year below the national figure. Overseas-born residents at 15.9% are 5.7 points below national, confirming an anglo-leaning, established family base now absorbing a steady inflow of domestic movers.

Cooranbong urban fabric map

Population

7,077

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,639/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

283

Median House

$940K

12m to Jun 2026 (PSI)

70.49 km²· 100.4 people/km²· Family income $2,032/wk

The median house price of $750,000 buys a genuine family home here, where 85.9% of dwellings are separate houses and 52.3% have four or more bedrooms, far above the typical apartment-heavy growth corridor. Prices softened recently, with the PSI-derived series falling 10.5% from $775,000 in 2024 to $693,888 in 2025, which hands buyers more negotiating room than they had a year ago. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,058, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0%, just under the 30% stress threshold because family incomes of $2,032 a week absorb the cost. Owner-occupiers dominate, with 44.9% holding a mortgage and 31.8% owning outright, leaving only 23.3% renting. That ownership depth, higher than most outer-Sydney release areas, signals a settled rather than speculative market.

For Buyers

The median house price of $750,000 buys a genuine family home here, where 85.9% of dwellings are separate houses and 52.3% have four or more bedrooms, far above the typical apartment-heavy growth corridor. Prices softened recently, with the PSI-derived series falling 10.5% from $775,000 in 2024 to $693,888 in 2025, which hands buyers more negotiating room than they had a year ago. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,058, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0%, just under the 30% stress threshold because family incomes of $2,032 a week absorb the cost. Owner-occupiers dominate, with 44.9% holding a mortgage and 31.8% owning outright, leaving only 23.3% renting. That ownership depth, higher than most outer-Sydney release areas, signals a settled rather than speculative market.

For Investors

Renters make up only 23.3% of Cooranbong households, a shallower tenant pool than apartment-led suburbs, so investors here lean on owner-occupier capital growth rather than yield. Weekly rent of $380 against the $750,000 median produces a gross yield near 2.6%, modest but better than inner-city alternatives. The vacancy rate of 6.6% is elevated and points to soft short-term rental demand, a caution flag for cash flow. The stronger investment case is structural growth: net internal migration of 737 people a year drives demand, and development activity is intense with 265 applications lodged in 12 months, mostly single dwellings and dual occupancies. Rent grew 53.2% across the decade, well above income growth of 18.5%, suggesting tightening affordability that can support future rent rises.

Development Activity

Total DAs

1,223

Last 12 Months

283

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+30.4%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

New Dwelling
192
Swimming Pool / Spa
68
Garage / Carport / Shed
53
Commercial / Industrial
40
Subdivision
34
Renovation / Extension
30
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
23
Change of Use
19

Schools in Cooranbong iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Avondale School

ICSEA 1055 Combined Independent

K-12 · 977 students

Cooranbong Public School

ICSEA 948 Primary Government

K-6 · 330 students

Demographics

The median age of 39 is 1 year below the national median, but the senior share grew 3.7 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 1.5 points, marking an aging trajectory. University qualifications at 29.7% sit 0.4 points below national, and overseas-born residents at 15.9% are 5.7 points under the national figure, confirming an anglo-leaning population. English ancestry leads at 3,234 people, followed by Scottish (756) and Irish (686), with Samoan (20) and Afrikaans (17) the largest non-English language groups. Average household size of 2.7 is 0.2 above national, consistent with the family-oriented form. Couples with children (2,505 families) outnumber couples without children (1,565), reinforcing that this is a household-formation suburb rather than a singles or DINK market.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.0%
15-24
11.3%
25-44
24.4%
45-64
21.6%
65+
22.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.3%
2 bed
15.7%
3 bed
27.8%
4+ bed
52.3%

Dwelling Structure

85.9%

Houses

10.3%

Townhouse

3.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 31.8% Mortgage 44.9% Rent 23.3%

Owner-occupiers hold 76.7% of Cooranbong homes, split between 44.9% with a mortgage and 31.8% owned outright, leaving renters at just 23.3%. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 85.9%, with apartments at only 3.7% and semi-detached at 10.3%. Larger homes prevail: 52.3% have four or more bedrooms and 27.8% have three, while one-bedroom dwellings are negligible at 4.3%. The PSI-derived median fell 10.5% from $775,000 in 2024 to $693,888 in 2025, an unusual decline against the suburb's growth profile that likely reflects thin transaction volume. The SEIFA IER decile of 6 sits above the IEO decile of 4, meaning economic resources outrank education and occupation rankings, a pattern typical of asset-rich, trade-employed outer suburbs. Mortgage-to-income of 29.0% stays below the stress line.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General (12m to Jun 2026 (PSI))

Mortgage / mo

$2,058

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (January to March 2026), NSW Rental Bond Board (DCJ). Census 2021 median: $380.

$545

Bond data Mar 2026 · houses $690 · units $280

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$732

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.6%

Unoccupied

178

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.0%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Samoan
20
Afrikaans
17
Korean
14

Ancestry

English
3,234
Scottish
756
Irish
686
Other
596
German
369
Ancestry NS
335

Household Composition

27.5%

Couples, no children

5,698

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads employment at 23.8% (513 workers), well above the national average for the sector, followed by Education at 15.3% (329) and Construction at 11.5% (248), giving Cooranbong an unusually services-and-trades-weighted base anchored by the local Avondale education and health institutions. Professionals (718) top the occupation mix, ahead of Community and Personal Service workers and Clerical staff (373 each). Full-time employment runs at 61.4% and unemployment at 4.8%, near the national average, though the participation rate of 52.5% is depressed by the rising senior share. The SEIFA IRSAD decile of 4 places the suburb in the lower-middle tier nationally, yet the higher IER decile of 6 shows residents hold more economic resources than that ranking implies.

Unemployment

4.7%

Labour Force

9,329

Unemployed

435

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
4
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

61.4%

Part-time

33.8%

Participation

52.5%

Employed

2,833

Occupations

Professionals 718
Community/Personal 373
Clerical/Admin 373
Labourers 312
Managers 306
Machinery/Drivers 220
Sales 215

Top Industries

Healthcare 23.8%
Education 15.3%
Construction 11.5%
Manufacturing 6.6%
Other Services 6.1%

University

29.7%

Postgraduate

8.5%

Born Overseas

15.9%

Dwellings

2,492

Transport to Work

Cooranbong is heavily car-dependent, with 91.2% of commuters driving and public transport use at just 1.0%, far below metropolitan norms, a function of its 70.49 sq km rural-residential footprint and density of only 100.4 people per sq km. Walking or cycling to work sits at 2.9%. The low SEIFA IRSAD decile of 4 reflects a lower-middle national position, though the higher IER decile of 6 indicates households are more financially comfortable than that figure suggests. Volunteering at 19.5% points to active community participation above many growth suburbs. The family-oriented form, with average household size of 2.7 above national and 52.3% of homes carrying four or more bedrooms, suits buyers prioritising space over amenity density.

Drive

91.2%

Public Transport

1.0%

Walk / Cycle

2.9%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.04%/yr

(+430 people/yr)

Established

Population growth runs at 2.04% a year, about 430 people, and the suburb expanded 31.0% over the decade, putting it firmly in the high-growth bracket for a non-metro location. The primary driver is internal migration at a net 737 people a year, dwarfing net overseas migration of just 68, so the growth is Sydney and Newcastle households relocating rather than international arrivals. Medium forecasts continue the trend upward through 2031. The gentrification score of 55 sits in the Active stage, with signals including population up 46% since 2011 and accelerating development. Affordability worsened, with the stress measure rising from 54.7% in 2011 to 57.6% in 2021, a direct consequence of rent growth of 53.2% running well above real income growth of 18.5% over the same period.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+68

Net Internal / yr

+737

55

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +46% since 2011, Net internal migration +737/yr, Accelerating: 6% → 38%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Cooranbong compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Top 43%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Bottom 49%
Renters
Top 42%
Uni Educated
Top 35%
Public Transport
Bottom 15%
Born Overseas
Top 43%
Density
Top 26%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Cooranbong a good suburb to live in?

Cooranbong suits families wanting space, with 85.9% detached houses and 52.3% having four or more bedrooms. Household income sits at the 56.7 percentile nationally and the median age of 39 is 1 year below national. The trade-offs are heavy car dependence at 91.2% and a SEIFA IRSAD decile of 4, a lower-middle national ranking.

What is the median house price in Cooranbong?

The median house price is $750,000, with the PSI-derived series showing a 10.5% fall from $775,000 in 2024 to $693,888 in 2025. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,058 and weekly rent is $380, giving a gross yield near 2.6%. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0% stays just below the stress threshold.

What schools are in Cooranbong?

No schools are recorded in the suburb dataset for Cooranbong, so the 2,505 couple-with-children families here rely on facilities in neighbouring areas such as Avondale and Morisset. Education employs 15.3% of the local workforce (329 workers), reflecting the area's institutional presence despite no listed in-suburb schools.

Is Cooranbong safe?

Crime statistics are not available in the Cooranbong dataset, so safety cannot be quantified here. Community indicators are positive, with a volunteering rate of 19.5% above many growth suburbs and 74.1% of residents staying put year on year, a turnover rate of 25.9% that points to a settled, owner-occupier population of 76.7%.

Is Cooranbong good for property investment?

Investment depends on growth over yield. The renter share is only 23.3% and gross yield near 2.6% ($380/week on $750,000) is modest, with a 6.6% vacancy rate flagging soft demand. The case rests on net internal migration of 737 people a year and 265 development applications in 12 months, plus rent growth of 53.2% over the decade.

How is Cooranbong's population changing?

Population grows 2.04% a year, about 430 people, and rose 31.0% over the decade. The driver is internal migration at a net 737 a year versus just 68 net overseas, so growth comes from domestic relocations. The senior share rose 3.7 points while the working-age share fell 1.5 points, marking an aging trajectory despite strong inflow.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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