NSW 2453 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Dorrigo

At a median age of 56, Dorrigo sits 16 years above the national figure, making it one of the most age-skewed towns in coastal NSW. A population of 1,214 spread across 40.5 km2 yields a density of just 29.9 people per km2, far below most NSW suburbs. Household income falls in only the 9.5th percentile nationally, yet the median house price of $550,000 remains accessible compared to metropolitan benchmarks. Nearly 57% of dwellings are owned outright, reflecting an older, debt-free resident base rather than active buyer demand. The vacancy rate of 12.4% is notably elevated, suggesting spare housing capacity that keeps purchase competition low.

Dorrigo urban fabric map

Population

1,214

Median Age

56.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$925/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

14

Median House

$550K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

40.54 km²· 29.9 people/km²· Family income $1,271/wk

Dorrigo's median house price of $550,000 is affordable by NSW coastal standards, though prices fell from $575,000 in 2024 to $507,500 in 2025, an 11.7% decline from peak. Separate houses dominate at 94.3% of stock, giving buyers strong choice in the detached market. Three-bedroom homes make up 52.9% of dwellings, with 4-plus bedroom properties at 23.3%, so family-sized homes are well represented. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5% sits above the 30% stress threshold because household incomes are below average nationally. Outright owners at 56.9% far outnumber mortgage holders at 21.3%, indicating most existing owners bought long before recent price rises and carry no debt.

For Buyers

Dorrigo's median house price of $550,000 is affordable by NSW coastal standards, though prices fell from $575,000 in 2024 to $507,500 in 2025, an 11.7% decline from peak. Separate houses dominate at 94.3% of stock, giving buyers strong choice in the detached market. Three-bedroom homes make up 52.9% of dwellings, with 4-plus bedroom properties at 23.3%, so family-sized homes are well represented. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300, and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5% sits above the 30% stress threshold because household incomes are below average nationally. Outright owners at 56.9% far outnumber mortgage holders at 21.3%, indicating most existing owners bought long before recent price rises and carry no debt.

For Investors

The rental case for Dorrigo is constrained by thin tenant demand. Weekly rent of $300 against a $550,000 median implies a gross yield near 2.8%, low for a regional market, and the 12.4% vacancy rate is high, indicating landlords face meaningful vacancy periods between tenancies. Only 21.8% of residents rent, below the state average, because the majority own outright. Thirteen development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, a modest pipeline. Net overseas migration averages 9 residents a year and internal migration is near balanced, so the demand base is unlikely to expand quickly. Investors should weigh affordability against slow population growth of minus 0.22% annually.

Development Activity

Total DAs

78

Last 12 Months

14

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-6.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
7
New Dwelling
5
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
3
Subdivision
3
Deck / Pergola / Patio
2
Change of Use
1
Swimming Pool / Spa
1

Schools in Dorrigo iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Hernani Public School

ICSEA 1049 Primary Government

K-6 · 14 students

Mount St John Primary School

ICSEA 961 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 61 students

Dorrigo High School

ICSEA 951 Secondary Government

7-12 · 118 students

Dorrigo Public School

ICSEA 948 Primary Government

K-6 · 72 students

Demographics

The median age of 56 is 16 years above the national average, placing Dorrigo firmly in the top tier of aging regional towns. The senior share grew 10 points over the decade while the young adult share fell 4.8 points, a trajectory that will continue per forecast models. Overseas-born residents at 13.2% are 8.4 points below the national figure, consistent with the strong Anglo-Celtic ancestry pattern: English (583), Irish (155) and Scottish (135) lead the ancestry counts. Average household size is 2.0, which is 0.5 below national, reflecting the prevalence of older couples and single-person households. Volunteering reaches 29.6%, well above typical national rates, a pattern common in small rural towns where community organisations rely on residents rather than paid staff.

Age Distribution

0-14
14.5%
15-24
6.8%
25-44
14.6%
45-64
28.5%
65+
34.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.1%
2 bed
19.7%
3 bed
52.9%
4+ bed
23.3%

Dwelling Structure

94.3%

Houses

3.0%

Townhouse

1.5%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 56.9% Mortgage 21.3% Rent 21.8%

Housing in Dorrigo is overwhelmingly detached, with 94.3% of dwellings being separate houses, compared to the national mix that includes far more apartments. Three-bedroom homes account for 52.9% of stock and 4-plus bedroom properties 23.3%, skewing toward larger homes typical of rural NSW. The median house price is $550,000, down 11.7% from the 2024 peak of $575,000. Outright owners at 56.9% dominate tenure, while mortgage holders are just 21.3%, far below national norms. This debt-free ownership profile means few forced sellers exist, which can limit downside in downturns but also reduces transaction volume. Mortgage-to-income at 32.5% and rent-to-income at 32.4% both exceed the 30% stress threshold, reflecting the gap between low incomes at the 9.5th percentile nationally and housing costs.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.0

Personal Income / wk

$560

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

12.4%

Unoccupied

77

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

32.4% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

32.5% stressed

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
583
Irish
155
Scottish
135
Ancestry NS
63
German
62
Other
50

Household Composition

44.5%

Couples, no children

841

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare employs 20.9% of Dorrigo's workforce, the largest single sector, followed by Education at 12.3% and Agriculture at 11.2%. Construction and Retail each contribute around 7-8%. By occupation, Managers (69), Professionals (68) and Labourers (66) are almost equally represented, an unusual balance that reflects both the public-sector presence of hospital and school jobs and the agricultural base of the surrounding Dorrigo plateau. The unemployment rate is 4.2% and the full-time employment rate is 52.8%. However, the labour force participation rate is only 41.2%, well below national norms, because 512 residents are outside the labour force entirely, a direct consequence of the aging demographic. SEIFA IRSD decile 3 ranks the town below 70% of Australian suburbs on disadvantage measures.

Unemployment

4.7%

Labour Force

1,383

Unemployed

65

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
3
Economic resources
3
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

52.8%

Part-time

43.0%

Participation

41.2%

Employed

409

Occupations

Managers 69
Professionals 68
Labourers 66
Community/Personal 52
Clerical/Admin 48
Sales 39
Machinery/Drivers 33

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.9%
Education 12.3%
Agriculture 11.2%
Construction 7.5%
Retail 7.1%

University

21.0%

Postgraduate

5.0%

Born Overseas

13.2%

Dwellings

540

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high, with 80.9% of residents driving to work, typical for a rural town where distances between services exceed walkable ranges. Unusually, 11.6% walk or cycle, above many comparable rural NSW towns, likely because Dorrigo's compact town centre keeps key services within short distances. No school data is recorded in this dataset for the suburb itself. SEIFA IRSAD decile 3 places the town in the lower third nationally on combined advantage and disadvantage, while the IEO decile 4 score indicates education and employment opportunity is below average compared to NSW peers. Crime statistics are not available, so disadvantage indices serve as the proxy: decile 3 on IRSD suggests conditions below 70% of Australian communities.

Drive

80.9%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

11.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-0.22%/yr

(-7 people/yr)

Established

Dorrigo's population is declining slowly, at minus 0.22% per year or roughly 7 fewer residents annually. The 10-year population change was minus 1.2%. Medium-scenario forecasts project a fall from approximately 3,250 in 2025 to around 3,183 by 2031. The aging trajectory is the primary driver: the senior share rose 10 points over the decade and the working-age share fell 2.3 points. Affordability has worsened, with the housing-to-income ratio rising from 46.4% in 2011 to 52.6% in 2021, compressing affordability relative to local incomes even as prices remain low on a national comparison. The gentrification score of 43 suggests early signals of change, but the gentrification stage is assessed as early signs rather than active.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+9

Net Internal / yr

+2

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Dorrigo compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 26%
Household Income
Bottom 10%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Bottom 30%
Renters
Top 46%
Uni Educated
Bottom 41%
Born Overseas
Bottom 46%
Density
Top 33%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Dorrigo a good suburb to live in?

Dorrigo suits those seeking affordability and a quiet rural lifestyle. The median house price is $550,000 and outright ownership reaches 56.9%. However, household income sits in only the 9.5th percentile nationally and the SEIFA IRSAD decile is 3, placing it below 70% of Australian communities on advantage measures. Services and employment are limited compared to regional centres.

What is the median house price in Dorrigo?

The median house price is $550,000 based on 2024-2025 data. Prices fell from $575,000 in 2024 to $507,500 in 2025, an 11.7% decline. Weekly rent averages $300 and monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 32.5% exceeds the standard 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Dorrigo?

No schools are recorded inside the Dorrigo suburb boundary in this dataset. The suburb's 21.0% university qualification rate is 9.1 points below the national figure. Families would typically access schools in or near the town centre, which serves the broader Dorrigo plateau and surrounding rural population of approximately 3,250.

Is Dorrigo safe?

Crime statistics are not available for Dorrigo in this dataset. As an indirect measure, the suburb scores decile 3 on the SEIFA IRSD index, placing it below 70% of Australian communities on relative disadvantage. The vacancy rate of 12.4% and limited employment base are factors that typically correlate with higher disadvantage levels in small rural towns.

Is Dorrigo good for property investment?

Investment fundamentals are challenging. Weekly rent of $300 against a $550,000 median gives a gross yield near 2.8%, and the 12.4% vacancy rate is high relative to most markets. Population is declining at 0.22% per year and is forecast to reach around 3,183 by 2031. Only 21.8% of residents rent, limiting the tenant pool.

How is Dorrigo's population changing?

The population is declining slowly, at minus 0.22% per year or about 7 fewer residents annually. The 10-year change was minus 1.2%. Medium forecasts project a drop from 3,250 in 2025 to approximately 3,183 by 2031. The main driver is an aging base with a median age of 56, which is 16 years above national, and a falling working-age share.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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