ACT 2615 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Dunlop

When 33.4% of workers are in public administration, a suburb's economic identity is inseparable from the federal government. Dunlop's 7,265 residents earn at the 92nd percentile nationally, yet the estimated median house price of $610,000 keeps mortgage stress at just 18.5% of income, one of the lowest ratios in the ACT. The 61.1% mortgage rate and 91.9% detached housing share confirm a purpose-built Canberra family suburb. With no schools within the suburb boundary and real income declining 2.3% over the decade, Dunlop's economic story is more nuanced than the headline income suggests.

Dunlop urban fabric map

Population

7,265

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,503/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

4

Median House

$610K

Estimated from rent (2025)

3.61 km²· 2,015 people/km²· Family income $2,766/wk

At an estimated $610,000, Dunlop offers ACT homebuyers one of Canberra's most affordable entry points for detached housing, well below the national capital's median. Mortgage repayments absorb only 18.5% of household income, lower than the average for comparable ACT suburbs. The stock is 91.9% separate houses with 54.4% having 4-plus bedrooms and 41.1% three-bedroom. The 84.9% residential retention rate is the highest in this batch, indicating very low turnover and high satisfaction. Only 18.5% rent, and 20.4% own outright. The absence of schools within the suburb boundary is a planning gap that buyers should verify before committing.

For Buyers

At an estimated $610,000, Dunlop offers ACT homebuyers one of Canberra's most affordable entry points for detached housing, well below the national capital's median. Mortgage repayments absorb only 18.5% of household income, lower than the average for comparable ACT suburbs. The stock is 91.9% separate houses with 54.4% having 4-plus bedrooms and 41.1% three-bedroom. The 84.9% residential retention rate is the highest in this batch, indicating very low turnover and high satisfaction. Only 18.5% rent, and 20.4% own outright. The absence of schools within the suburb boundary is a planning gap that buyers should verify before committing.

For Investors

Weekly rent of $465 on the estimated $610,000 median generates a gross yield of approximately 4.0%. The 3% vacancy rate is tight, well below the national average. However, only 18.5% of households rent, limiting the tenant pool. Just 3 DAs were lodged in 12 months, indicating the suburb is fully built out with minimal new supply risk. Population has been declining from 7,419 in 2023 to 7,282 in 2025, though the medium projection reverses this to 8,037 by 2031. Net internal migration runs at -77 per year, with overseas arrivals adding only 27, meaning the suburb is losing residents domestically.

Development Activity

Total DAs

27

Last 12 Months

4

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+100.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
5
HVAC / Air Conditioning
1

Demographics

Dunlop's median age of 36 is 4 years below the national figure. University attainment at 37.2% sits 7.1 points above the national rate, driven by the public-sector workforce. English ancestry leads (2,503), with Irish (731) and Scottish (683) following. At 21.5% born overseas, the suburb aligns with the national average. Arabic (55 speakers), Mandarin (43), and Punjabi (30) are the most common non-English languages. Average household size of 2.9 is 0.4 above national, consistent with the family orientation. Christianity (3,378) dominates, with Islam (265) and Hinduism (197) providing religious diversity.

Age Distribution

0-14
23.5%
15-24
13.0%
25-44
28.7%
45-64
26.0%
65+
8.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.7%
2 bed
3.8%
3 bed
41.1%
4+ bed
54.4%

Dwelling Structure

91.9%

Houses

6.9%

Townhouse

1.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 20.4% Mortgage 61.1% Rent 18.5%

The estimated median house price of $610,000 is derived from rental data; no historical sales series is available. Detached houses at 91.9% dominate, with semi-detached at 6.9% and apartments at just 1.2%. Four-plus-bedroom homes (54.4%) and three-bedroom (41.1%) account for nearly all stock. The ownership pattern is mortgage-heavy at 61.1%, the second-highest in this batch, with 20.4% owning outright and 18.5% renting. Both rent-to-income (18.6%) and mortgage-to-income (18.5%) are virtually identical and well below stress thresholds, reflecting the strong ACT income base against moderate housing costs.

Mortgage / mo

$2,000

Rent / wk

$465

HH Size

2.9

Personal Income / wk

$1,176

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

3.0%

Unoccupied

74

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

18.5%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
55
Mandarin
43
Punjabi
30
Hindi
27
Malayalam
25
Italian
24

Ancestry

English
2,503
Other
1,174
Irish
731
Scottish
683
German
311
Indian
253

Household Composition

18.1%

Couples, no children

6,361

Total families

Economy & Employment

Public administration dominates at 33.4% (904 workers), more than double any other sector and the highest single-industry concentration in this batch. Healthcare (13.7%), education (12.2%), professional services (9.3%), and construction (7.6%) follow. Professionals (916) and clerical/admin (720) lead occupations, consistent with the public-service workforce profile. Unemployment at 4% is near the national average, and the 69.7% participation rate is strong. Real income declined 2.3% over the decade, unusual for the ACT, suggesting Dunlop's public-sector workers have not kept pace with Canberra's broader income growth. SEIFA scores are uniformly high: IRSD decile 8, IEO decile 8, IER decile 9, IRSAD decile 8.

Unemployment

4.8%

Labour Force

4,374

Unemployed

208

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
9
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

70.7%

Part-time

25.3%

Participation

69.7%

Employed

3,720

Occupations

Professionals 916
Clerical/Admin 720
Managers 607
Community/Personal 497
Sales 256
Labourers 242
Machinery/Drivers 120

Top Industries

Public Admin 33.4%
Healthcare 13.7%
Education 12.2%
Professional/Tech 9.3%
Construction 7.6%

University

37.2%

Postgraduate

10.8%

Born Overseas

21.5%

Dwellings

2,429

Transport to Work

Dunlop has no schools within its suburb boundary, a significant gap for a family suburb with 54.4% four-plus-bedroom homes. Families access schools in neighbouring Belconnen suburbs. Car dependency at 89.6% is standard for outer Canberra, with public transport at 2.9% and walking/cycling at just 1%. The volunteering rate of 16.6% is above the national average. The need-for-assistance rate of 4.8% is close to average. The IRSAD decile of 8 places Dunlop in the top 20% nationally for socio-economic advantage, reflecting the ACT's overall high income rather than suburb-specific characteristics.

Drive

89.6%

Public Transport

2.9%

Walk / Cycle

1.0%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.02%/yr

(+74 people/yr)

Established

Population data shows recent decline from 7,419 in 2023 to 7,282 in 2025, a loss of 137 residents over 2 years. The medium projection reverses this to 8,037 by 2031 at 1.02% annual growth, driven by assumed natural increase. Net internal migration runs at -77 per year with only +27 from overseas. The 10-year population change of just 2.2% is well below the national average for suburban areas. The senior share rose 4.3 points while the young share dropped 2.9 points, confirming an aging-in-place trajectory. Real income declined 2.3%, the only negative figure in this batch, lower than the ACT median, possibly because public-sector wage growth lagged Canberra's private-sector expansion.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+27

Net Internal / yr

-77

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Dunlop compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Top 8%
Rent Level
Top 7%
Apartments
Bottom 25%
Renters
Bottom 45%
Uni Educated
Top 22%
Public Transport
Bottom 46%
Born Overseas
Top 26%
Density
Top 8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Dunlop a good suburb to live in?

Dunlop offers affordable ACT family housing at an estimated $610,000 with mortgage stress at just 18.5% of income. SEIFA decile 8 confirms strong socio-economic positioning. The main gap is no schools within the suburb; families must access Belconnen-area schools. Residential stability at 84.9% is the highest in this batch.

What is the median house price in Dunlop?

The estimated median house price is $610,000 as of 2025, derived from rental data. At household incomes in the 92nd percentile nationally, mortgage repayments absorb just 18.5% of income, one of the lowest stress ratios in the ACT.

What schools are in Dunlop?

Dunlop has no schools within its suburb boundary. Families access primary and secondary schools in neighbouring Belconnen suburbs. This is a notable planning gap for a suburb with 7,265 residents and 54.4% four-plus-bedroom homes oriented toward families.

Is Dunlop safe?

Crime data is not available for Dunlop in the current dataset. The SEIFA IRSD decile of 8 (low disadvantage) and the 84.9% residential retention rate, the highest in this batch, both correlate with lower crime. The ACT overall has lower per-capita crime rates than NSW and VIC.

Is Dunlop good for property investment?

Gross yield of approximately 4.0% ($465/week on $610,000) is reasonable. The 3% vacancy rate is tight. However, only 18.5% of households rent, limiting the tenant pool. Population recently declined from 7,419 to 7,282 (2023-2025), and net internal migration runs at -77 per year, a demand risk for landlords.

How is Dunlop's population changing?

Population declined from 7,419 in 2023 to 7,282 in 2025, losing 137 residents. Net internal migration runs at -77 per year with modest overseas inflow of +27. The 10-year population change of 2.2% is the lowest in this batch. The senior share rose 4.3 points, confirming aging-in-place dynamics.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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