NSW 2335 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Elderslie

With 63.5% of dwellings having 4+ bedrooms and a median age of 34, Elderslie functions as Sydney's outer-ring family formation engine. Household income sits at the 81.9th percentile nationally, yet only 27.9% hold university degrees, 2.2 points below the national average. This disconnect between income and education points to a trades-and-services workforce earning well through construction (14.2%) and healthcare (15.8%) rather than professional salaries. The 92.4% car commute rate, among the highest in Greater Sydney, confirms the auto-dependent suburban form that keeps prices at $1,060,000, accessible compared to inner-ring equivalents.

Elderslie urban fabric map

Population

131

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,550/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

49

Median House

$1.1M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

19.85 km²· 6.6 people/km²· Family income $2,549/wk

The $1,060,000 median house price rose 3.0% from $1,040,000 in 2024 to $1,071,000 in 2025. Separate houses dominate at 85.9%, with 4+ bedroom homes making up 63.5% of stock, well above average for Sydney. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,383 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.6%, below the 30% stress threshold. Three-bedroom homes account for 24.9%, giving entry-level buyers limited options. Apartments at just 1.5% mean downsizers must look elsewhere. Both local schools score near or above benchmark: Elderslie Public (ICSEA 1,011, 539 students) and Elderslie High (ICSEA 988, 857 students).

For Buyers

The $1,060,000 median house price rose 3.0% from $1,040,000 in 2024 to $1,071,000 in 2025. Separate houses dominate at 85.9%, with 4+ bedroom homes making up 63.5% of stock, well above average for Sydney. Monthly mortgage repayments of $2,383 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.6%, below the 30% stress threshold. Three-bedroom homes account for 24.9%, giving entry-level buyers limited options. Apartments at just 1.5% mean downsizers must look elsewhere. Both local schools score near or above benchmark: Elderslie Public (ICSEA 1,011, 539 students) and Elderslie High (ICSEA 988, 857 students).

For Investors

The 29.7% renter share is moderate, with weekly rent at $480 against the $1,060,000 median producing gross yield around 2.4%. Vacancy at 2.5% is tight, well below the 3% equilibrium benchmark. Development activity is strong at 46 DAs in 12 months, predominantly complying development certificates for new dwellings and pools. The 47.0% mortgage share suggests owner-occupier dominance, which limits rental supply and supports rent growth. Turnover at 24.0% indicates reasonable liquidity. The suburb's median age of 34, 6 years below national, implies young families still entering the market.

Development Activity

Total DAs

340

Last 12 Months

49

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-27.9%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Swimming Pool / Spa
31
Renovation / Extension
28
Subdivision
20
New Dwelling
9
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
8
Demolition
6
Garage / Carport / Shed
4
Other
2

Schools in Elderslie iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Elderslie Public School

ICSEA 1011 Primary Government

K-6 · 539 students

Elderslie High School

ICSEA 988 Secondary Government

7-12 · 857 students

Demographics

The median age of 34 is 6 years below the national median of 40. Ancestry is overwhelmingly Anglo-Celtic: English (3,232), Scottish (842), Irish (831), and Italian (434). Overseas-born at 14.8% sits 6.8 points below the national average, making Elderslie one of the more homogeneous suburbs in Western Sydney. Average household size of 2.8 is 0.3 above national, consistent with the family-dominant profile. Couples with children number 3,444, dwarfing couples without children at 1,358. Christianity is the leading religion at 4,635 adherents, with Islam (82) and Hinduism (75) as minor presences.

Age Distribution

0-14
10.7%
15-24
19.1%
25-44
22.9%
45-64
29.0%
65+
11.5%

Dwelling Structure

100.0%

Houses

N/A

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 30.8% Mortgage 59.0% Rent 10.3%

Mortgage holders at 47.0% dominate tenure, with outright owners at 23.3% and renters at 29.7%. The stock is 85.9% separate houses, 10.5% semi-detached, and just 1.5% apartments. The 4+ bedroom share of 63.5% is exceptionally high, reflecting the newer housing estates built for family buyers. Three-bedroom homes at 24.9% and 2-bedroom at 5.8% round out the distribution. Prices moved from $1,040,000 to $1,071,000 over one year (3.0% growth). Mortgage-to-income at 25.6% and rent-to-income at 22.3% are both below stress thresholds, indicating that incomes, at the 81.9th percentile, adequately service housing costs.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,475

Rent / wk

$385

HH Size

3.1

Personal Income / wk

$843

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.8%

Unoccupied

3

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

15.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.4%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
56
Irish
11
Scottish
9
Other
6
Ancestry NS
6
Polish
5

Household Composition

30.3%

Couples, no children

119

Total families

Economy & Employment

Education leads employment at 16.8% (440 workers), followed by Healthcare at 15.8% (415), Construction at 14.2% (372), Public Admin at 9.0% (235), and Manufacturing at 7.0% (185). The construction share is notably higher than the national average, reflecting the ongoing residential development pipeline. Professionals (802) lead occupations, but Clerical/Admin (607) and Managers (527) follow closely, producing a flatter occupational distribution than typical for the 81st income percentile. Unemployment at 3.7% is low, though participation at 60.6% is below average, likely reflecting the high proportion of stay-at-home parents in this family-formation suburb.

Unemployment

3.7%

Labour Force

9,106

Unemployed

337

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
3
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
6
Education & occupation
2

Full-time

60.3%

Part-time

39.7%

Participation

64.6%

Employed

73

Occupations

Managers 14
Machinery/Drivers 13
Clerical/Admin 11
Labourers 9
Community/Personal 5
Professionals 4

Top Industries

Healthcare 26.5%
Mining 24.5%
Construction 14.3%
Manufacturing 12.2%
Education 10.2%

University

26.9%

Postgraduate

6.0%

Born Overseas

N/A

Dwellings

37

Transport to Work

Car dependence is extreme at 92.4%, with public transport at just 0.9% and walking/cycling at 1.4%, all well below Sydney averages. Two schools serve the suburb: Elderslie Public (ICSEA 1,011, 539 students, government) scores above the national benchmark of 1,000, while Elderslie High (ICSEA 988, 857 students, government) sits slightly below. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.6% and rent-to-income of 22.3% indicate manageable housing costs relative to the suburb's 81st-percentile income. Need for assistance at 5.0% is close to the national average. Volunteering at 12.2% is moderate.

Drive

92.9%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

7.1%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.49%/yr

(+85 people/yr)

Established

Elderslie shows moderate activity with 46 development applications in 12 months. The suburb's identity as a mortgage-belt community with 47.0% carrying mortgages suggests ongoing absorption of new housing stock. Turnover at 24.0% is moderate, indicating neither stagnation nor excessive churn. The young median age of 34, 6 years below national, and the dominance of couples with children (3,444 families) point to a suburb still in its growth phase rather than maturation. The 3.0% price growth over one year tracks close to inflation, suggesting the market is reaching equilibrium after the rapid estate-building phase.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+84

Net Internal / yr

-113

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -113/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Elderslie compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Bottom 42%
Household Income
Top 7%
Rent Level
Top 19%
Renters
Bottom 17%
Uni Educated
Top 42%
Density
Top 48%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Elderslie a good suburb to live in?

Elderslie suits families seeking large houses at sub-$1.1M prices. The 85.9% separate house share and 63.5% 4+ bedroom stock provide space, and household incomes sit at the 81.9th percentile. The trade-off is extreme car dependence (92.4% drive) and limited public transport at 0.9%. Both schools score near the national ICSEA benchmark of 1,000.

What is the median house price in Elderslie?

The median is $1,060,000, moving from $1,040,000 in 2024 to $1,071,000 in 2025 (3.0% growth). Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,383, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.6%, below the 30% stress threshold. Weekly rent sits at $480.

What schools are in Elderslie?

Two government schools serve the suburb: Elderslie Public School (primary, ICSEA 1,011, 539 students) scores above the national 1,000 benchmark, and Elderslie High School (secondary, ICSEA 988, 857 students) sits slightly below. Both are within the suburb boundaries.

Is Elderslie safe?

Crime data is not available for Elderslie specifically (NSW does not publish suburb-level crime statistics in the same format as Victoria and SA). However, the predominantly owner-occupier tenure (70.3% own or mortgage), low unemployment at 3.7%, and family-oriented demographics with 3,444 couple-with-children households suggest a low-risk residential environment.

Is Elderslie good for property investment?

Gross yield is approximately 2.4% ($480/week rent on $1,060,000). The 2.5% vacancy rate is below the 3% equilibrium benchmark, indicating tight rental supply. Development activity at 46 DAs in 12 months adds new stock, which could dilute future yield. The 29.7% renter share provides a moderate tenant pool, though the suburb is predominantly owner-occupier at 70.3%.

How is Elderslie's population changing?

The median age of 34 is 6 years below the national median of 40, and couples with children (3,444) outnumber childless couples (1,358) by 2.5 to 1. Overseas-born at 14.8% is 6.8 points below the national average. The suburb's 46 development applications in 12 months signal continued residential expansion. Turnover at 24.0% suggests moderate population movement.

What is the development activity in Elderslie?

Elderslie recorded 46 development applications in the past 12 months, predominantly complying development certificates for new dwelling houses and swimming pools. The mix of new homes and ancillary structures reflects a suburb still building out its housing estates. The 85.9% separate house share and 63.5% 4+ bedroom dominance suggest most new builds target family buyers.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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