NSW 2570 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Elderslie

Family-sized detached housing, high household earnings and rapid regional growth shape Elderslie's market. The suburb is home to 7,878 people, with a median age of 34, six years below the national comparison, while household income sits at the 81.9th percentile. Separate houses account for 85.9% of dwellings and four-plus-bedroom homes 63.5%, matching a family profile where 50.2% of couples have children. Growth is forecast at 2.88% annually and migration is led by overseas arrivals. When comparing Elderslie with nearby Camden and Narellan, buyers should focus on its detached, mortgage-led profile, with 46.3% of households paying a mortgage.

Elderslie urban fabric map

Population

7,878

Median Age

34.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,150/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

49

5.25 km²· 1,500.3 people/km²· Family income $2,452/wk

Homebuyers are choosing predominantly detached, family-sized stock: 85.9% of dwellings are separate houses, 10.5% are semi-detached and 63.5% contain four or more bedrooms. This mix suits households with children because larger homes dominate, but it can narrow the entry-level pool compared with smaller-unit markets. The typical mortgage commitment is $2,383 a month, while mortgage payments equal 25.6% of household income, higher than the 22.3% rent-to-income figure. Affordability is labelled Stable, moving from 49.0 in 2011 to 47.9 in 2021. Recent sales should be compared with Camden and Narellan by land size, dwelling age and renovation level.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are choosing predominantly detached, family-sized stock: 85.9% of dwellings are separate houses, 10.5% are semi-detached and 63.5% contain four or more bedrooms. This mix suits households with children because larger homes dominate, but it can narrow the entry-level pool compared with smaller-unit markets. The typical mortgage commitment is $2,383 a month, while mortgage payments equal 25.6% of household income, higher than the 22.3% rent-to-income figure. Affordability is labelled Stable, moving from 49.0 in 2011 to 47.9 in 2021. Recent sales should be compared with Camden and Narellan by land size, dwelling age and renovation level.

For Investors

Rental investors get a family-house market rather than a high-density unit market: 29.2% of households rent, the weekly rent is $480, and only 1.5% of dwellings are apartments. A 2.5% vacancy rate indicates a relatively tight leasing setting, although returns depend heavily on purchase price and maintenance for larger homes. Development activity is notable at 50 applications over 12 months, but examples include swimming pools and a secondary dwelling, so the count is broader than new mainstream supply. The 2.88% annual growth trend and overseas migration as the primary driver support demand monitoring, while 39.8% rent growth makes current leasing evidence more important than older comparisons. Compared with the 46.3% mortgage share, the 29.2% renting share points to an owner-occupier-led market.

Development Activity

Total DAs

349

Last 12 Months

49

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-14.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Swimming Pool / Spa
30
Renovation / Extension
24
Subdivision
16
New Dwelling
8
Demolition
6
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
6
Other
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
4

Schools in Elderslie

Open-register school locations for education access. This is not a school-quality ranking.

Elderslie Public School

Primary School Government
School website

Mawarra Public School

Primary School Government
School website

Demographics

Elderslie is younger than the national profile but not dominated by recent overseas arrivals. Median age is 34, six years below the national comparison, and 27.9% of residents have university qualifications, 2.2 percentage points below national. Overseas-born residents account for 14.8%, 6.8 points below national, while average household size is 2.8, or 0.3 above national. English, Scottish and Irish ancestry lead at 3,232, 842 and 831 people, followed by Italian ancestry at 434. Christianity is recorded for 4,635 residents and no religion for 2,617. The 76.0% stayed rate suggests established local ties, helping explain why family housing demand remains stronger than a transient renter pattern.

Age Distribution

0-14
24.6%
15-24
12.5%
25-44
28.7%
45-64
21.1%
65+
13.1%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
5.8%
2 bed
5.8%
3 bed
24.9%
4+ bed
63.5%

Dwelling Structure

85.9%

Houses

10.5%

Townhouse

1.5%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 23.0% Mortgage 46.3% Rent 29.2% Other 1.4%

Detached ownership shapes the housing offer. Separate houses make up 85.9% of dwellings, compared with 10.5% semi-detached homes and 1.5% apartments, while 63.5% have four or more bedrooms. Tenure is mortgage-led: 46.3% are being purchased, 23.0% are owned outright and 29.2% are rented. That structure follows the family composition, with couples with children accounting for 50.2% of families and average household size at 2.8. The $480 weekly rent should not be compared directly with the $2,383 monthly mortgage until both are converted to an annual basis. Mortgage costs equal 25.6% of household income, higher than rent at 22.3%, while household income ranks at the 81.9th percentile. Compare Elderslie properties with Camden and Narellan by land size and dwelling age.

Mortgage / mo

$2,383

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (April to June 2026), NSW Rental Bond Board (DCJ). Census 2021 median: $480.

$750

Bond data Jun 2026 · houses $770 · units $520

HH Size

2.8

Personal Income / wk

$955

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

2.5%

Unoccupied

70

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Italian
23
Arabic
19
Mandarin
17
Punjabi
16
Croatian
11

Ancestry

English
3,232
Scottish
842
Irish
831
Other
747
Italian
434
German
273

Household Composition

50.2%

Couples with children

30.4%

Couples, no children

18.6%

Single parent

2,209

Total families

Economy & Employment

Employment is anchored by Education at 440 workers and 16.8%, Healthcare at 415 and 15.8%, Construction at 372 and 14.2%, Public Administration at 235 and 9.0%, and Manufacturing at 185 and 7.0%. The occupational mix is led by Professionals at 802, Clerical/Admin at 607, Trades at 579 and Managers at 527, indicating both knowledge-based and hands-on work. Participation is 68.7%, full-time employment 57.1% and unemployment 3.2%, supporting household income at the 81.9th percentile. SEIFA results are favourable but uneven: IEO is decile 6, while IER is higher at decile 9 and IRSD and IRSAD are both decile 7. The gap suggests stronger economic resources than education and occupation outcomes alone would imply, which can support mortgage demand.

Unemployment

3.2%

Labour Force

4,082

Unemployed

132

Source: ABS Census 2021

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
9
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

57.1%

Part-time

30.7%

Participation

68.7%

Employed

3,950

Full-time and part-time are shares of the employed. Source: ABS Census 2021

Occupations

Professionals 802
Clerical/Admin 607
Trades 579
Managers 527
Community/Personal 458
Sales 326
Labourers 303
Machinery/Drivers 284

Top Industries

Education 16.8%
Healthcare 15.8%
Construction 14.2%
Public Admin 9.0%
Manufacturing 7.0%

University

27.9%

Postgraduate

6.2%

Born Overseas

14.8%

Dwellings

2,723

Transport to Work

Daily life is set up around cars and home-based work. Car drivers account for 61.2% of journeys, public transport 0.6% and walking or cycling 0.9%, while 33.8% work from home. That pattern suits a 5.25 sq km suburb with density of 1,500.3 people per sq km, but households wanting frequent transit should compare travel times carefully. Two nearby government primary schools provide local primary options; school type and enrolment zones should be checked against the exact address rather than inferred from proximity. IRSAD is decile 7 and IER decile 9, both higher than the IEO decile 6, indicating stronger relative resources than education and occupation outcomes. For safety, combine current local checks with inspections at different times, especially around routes and activity areas.

Drive

61.2%

Public Transport

0.6%

Walk / Cycle

0.9%

Work from Home

33.8%

Population Forecast

+2.88%/yr

(+432 people/yr)

Established

Elderslie sits on a strong growth track, with annual growth forecast at 2.88% and the wider area's population change at 66.1% over 10 years. The trajectory is Growing (all ages), driven primarily by overseas migration, so demand may continue across family and working-age segments rather than one narrow cohort. Rents have risen 39.8%, while affordability is labelled Stable and shifted from 49.0 in 2011 to 47.9 in 2021. Gentrification signals are mixed: one score is 15 with a Not gentrifying stage, while the shift measure is 20 and marked Early signs. That combination points to expansion and rental pressure ahead of a clear prestige-market transition, making infrastructure, school access and dwelling supply important watchpoints. Compared with a flat-growth suburb, 2.88% annual expansion is a material demand signal.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+71

Net Internal / yr

+13

15

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Accelerating: 23% → 39%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Elderslie compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Top 18%
Rent Level
Top 7%
Apartments
Top 18%
Renters
Top 22%
Uni Educated
Top 39%
Public Transport
Bottom 9%
Born Overseas
Top 47%
Density
Top 12%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Elderslie a good suburb to live in?

That depends on priorities, but Elderslie suits households wanting detached space, local primary options and a car-oriented routine. It has 7,878 residents, a median age of 34 and 85.9% separate houses. Compared with a transit-led suburb, the 0.6% public-transport share means commuters should test their route before buying.

What is the median house price in Elderslie?

Use recent comparable sales for the current median house price, separating four-plus-bedroom homes from smaller stock because 63.5% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms. A useful affordability check is the $2,383 monthly mortgage figure and 25.6% mortgage-to-income ratio, but the final price should be matched to land size, condition and sale date.

What schools are in Elderslie?

Elderslie has 2 nearby government primary schools, giving families local primary choices. Enrolment zones can differ by street, so check the exact address before relying on proximity. School access should be compared with the address, travel route and available places, because 2 primary schools do not by themselves describe a complete K to 12 pathway.

Is Elderslie safe?

Safety should be assessed through current local checks, recent incident information and visits at different times. Elderslie's 61.2% car-driver share and 0.9% walking or cycling share mean street experience can differ from a highly walkable suburb, so inspect routes, lighting and activity around the address before deciding.

Is Elderslie good for property investment?

It can suit investors seeking detached family rentals, but returns depend on entry price and upkeep. Renting is 29.2%, weekly rent is $480 and vacancy is 2.5%, while 50 development applications were recorded over 12 months. Compared with the 46.3% mortgage share, the smaller rental base points to an owner-occupier-led market, so acquisition discipline matters.

How is Elderslie's population changing?

Population is on a growth path rather than a decline path. The wider area's change is 66.1% over 10 years, annual growth is 2.88% and the trajectory is Growing (all ages). Overseas migration is the primary driver, while the 76.0% stayed rate indicates existing local ties. Compared with a purely ageing area, the 1.2-point increase in young share supports ongoing family demand.

What development is occurring in Elderslie?

Development activity is active, with 50 applications in 12 months. The examples include a secondary dwelling and swimming pools, so the total is broader than new housing supply alone. Buyers should check whether each project affects traffic, privacy or rental competition, then compare the application type and timing with the specific street. A 2.5% vacancy rate makes supply changes worth monitoring.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state education open registers (school locations), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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