Elermore Vale

Development Activity

Demographics

The median age of 42 runs 2.0 years above the national figure, and the trajectory is aging, with the senior share up 3.8 points while the working-age share fell 1.6 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents sit at 15.5%, which is 6.1 points below national, marking this as a more locally rooted population than most metro suburbs. Ancestry leans Anglo-Celtic, led by English (2,376), Scottish (728) and Irish (649), and the leading non-English languages are Macedonian (49), Arabic (25) and Mandarin (25). University qualifications at 34.2% run 4.1 points above national. Average household size is 2.5, matching the national figure, consistent with the family profile where couples with children (1,868) outnumber couples without (1,277).

Tenure is evenly split between ownership and mortgage: 37.0% own outright, 36.7% carry a mortgage and 26.3% rent. Outright owners marginally outnumbering mortgage holders signals an established, lower-churn population. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 79.2% separate houses, with semi-detached at 19.2% and apartments a negligible 1.6%, so almost every transaction is a house. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 43.5% and four-plus bedroom homes 32.4%, a family-oriented mix. The median house price edged from $795,000 to $799,000 across 2024-2025, a 0.5% move that trails wage growth. Mortgage-to-income at 27.1% and rent-to-income at 24.3% both sit below the 30% stress threshold, a sign that housing remains affordable relative to local incomes.

Community Profile

Economy & Employment

The local workforce is anchored in Healthcare at 26.6% (506 workers), more than double Education at 11.2% (213), with Construction at 8.8% and Professional/Tech at 8.3%. By occupation, Professionals (729) lead, followed by Community and Personal Service workers (357) and Clerical and Administrative staff (326), a profile consistent with the Healthcare concentration. Unemployment sits at 5.2% and the full-time employment rate is 60.0%. Participation reads 53.5%, held down by 1,981 residents not in the labour force, which fits the older median age of 42. The SEIFA indexes cluster mid-range, decile 5 on IEO and decile 3 on IER, with the lower economic-resources score reflecting modest household incomes in the 51.1st percentile rather than disadvantage.

Transport to Work

This is a car-dependent suburb: 90.9% drive to work while only 0.9% use public transport and 1.7% walk or cycle, well below the national reliance on active and public transport. The suburb scores decile 4 on IRSAD and decile 4 on IRSD, the mid tier nationally, meaning residents face neither marked advantage nor marked disadvantage. Volunteering runs at 13.2% and 10.1% of residents (596 people) need daily assistance, higher than you would expect, consistent with the aging profile and median age of 42. No schools are recorded inside the 4.97 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs, a practical trade-off in a low-density area of 1,220 residents per km2.

Population Forecast

Elermore Vale is a slow but steady grower: annual population growth registers 0.68%, about 150 residents a year, and the 10-year change is 10.1%, classifying it as an established suburb adding population gradually. Medium forecasts lift the surrounding area from roughly 21,955 in 2025 toward 22,637 by 2031, a measured trajectory. Migration is balanced, with net overseas inflow of about 160 a year and net internal migration of 110, so growth is broad-based rather than reliant on one source. The gentrification score reads 17, classified as not gentrifying, despite an early-signs reading on the broader shift index, which fits a mid-tier suburb at decile 4 advantage with little upward pressure on prices that have risen only 0.5% year on year.

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Elermore Vale compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Frequently Asked Questions