NSW 2115 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Ermington

With 44.3% of residents born overseas and household income in the 74.7 percentile, Ermington has moved well beyond a quiet middle-ring profile. The suburb combines a $1,700,000 median house price with 60.5% separate houses, so it still feels lower-density compared with Parramatta while carrying a premium price point. University attainment is 45.1%, 15.0 percentage points above the national level, and 106 recent development applications show why density pressure is rising around an already established housing base.

Ermington urban fabric map

Population

12,686

Median Age

37.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,993/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

113

Median House

$1.7M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

3.86 km²· 3,286.9 people/km²· Family income $2,317/wk

Homebuyers face a high entry price: the median house price is $1,700,000, with the latest measured house median at $1,708,000 in 2025. That price sits above what the local income profile comfortably absorbs, because mortgage payments take 30.1% of household income and are flagged as stress. The appeal is the dwelling mix: 60.5% separate houses and 33.4% homes with 4 or more bedrooms suit families wanting more space than apartment-heavy inner Parramatta, while 18.0% apartments and 21.2% semi-detached homes add some lower-maintenance options.

For Buyers

Homebuyers face a high entry price: the median house price is $1,700,000, with the latest measured house median at $1,708,000 in 2025. That price sits above what the local income profile comfortably absorbs, because mortgage payments take 30.1% of household income and are flagged as stress. The appeal is the dwelling mix: 60.5% separate houses and 33.4% homes with 4 or more bedrooms suit families wanting more space than apartment-heavy inner Parramatta, while 18.0% apartments and 21.2% semi-detached homes add some lower-maintenance options.

For Investors

Investors get a large tenant pool, with renters making up 43.7% of households, higher than outright owners at 22.4%. Weekly rent is $420 and rent has grown 38.7% through the forecast shift, but the 6.9% vacancy rate is a caution because it can slow leasing urgency. Supply is also active, with 106 development applications in 12 months, including flat building and secondary dwelling activity. Demand is underpinned by overseas migration averaging 414 people a year, offset by a -50 annual internal migration figure.

Development Activity

Total DAs

679

Last 12 Months

113

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+3.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Demolition
70
Subdivision
38
Renovation / Extension
29
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
22
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
17
New Dwelling
15
Swimming Pool / Spa
10
Commercial / Industrial
9

Schools in Ermington iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Ermington West Public School

ICSEA 1022 Primary Government

K-6 · 104 students

Rydalmere East Public School

ICSEA 1007 Primary Government

P-6 · 104 students

Demographics

Ermington is younger and more internationally connected than the national profile. The median age is 37, which is 3.0 years below national, while 44.3% born overseas is 22.7 percentage points above national. Education levels are also high, with 45.1% holding university qualifications, 15.0 points above national. Chinese ancestry is recorded for 2313 residents, English for 2203 and Korean for 966, with Mandarin, Korean, Arabic and Cantonese prominent at home. The 2.8 average household size is 0.3 higher than national, supporting family-oriented demand.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.4%
15-24
10.9%
25-44
31.8%
45-64
24.0%
65+
14.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
7.6%
2 bed
21.5%
3 bed
37.5%
4+ bed
33.4%

Dwelling Structure

60.5%

Houses

21.2%

Townhouse

18.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 22.4% Mortgage 33.8% Rent 43.7%

Housing is expensive but recent price movement has been modest. The house median rose from $1,692,500 in 2024 to $1,708,000 in 2025, a 0.9% one-year gain, and the latest quarter is also the peak, so the peak-to-latest change is 0.0%. Tenure is mixed: 22.4% own outright, 33.8% have a mortgage and 43.7% rent. Separate houses still lead at 60.5%, above apartments at 18.0% and semi-detached homes at 21.2%. Larger stock matters because 37.5% of homes have 3 bedrooms and 33.4% have 4 or more, but the price-to-income pressure is visible in a 30.1% mortgage-to-income ratio.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,600

Rent / wk

$420

HH Size

2.8

Personal Income / wk

$812

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.9%

Unoccupied

315

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

30.1% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
571
Korean
455
Arabic
357
Canton
336
Persian ED
100
Hindi
70

Ancestry

Other
2,423
Chinese
2,313
English
2,203
Korean
966
Ancestry NS
812
Lebanese
780

Household Composition

19.3%

Couples, no children

10,470

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce leans professional and service-based, which helps explain the 74.7 household income percentile. Healthcare is the largest industry at 16.2% and 669 workers, followed by Professional/Tech at 11.3%, Construction at 9.3%, Education at 9.3% and Public Admin at 9.0%. Occupations are led by 1569 professionals, 883 managers and 853 clerical or administrative workers. SEIFA is uneven: education and occupation sits in decile 8, but economic resources are decile 5 and disadvantage is decile 5, reflecting a suburb with high skills but also a high 43.7% renting share.

Unemployment

3.8%

Labour Force

16,313

Unemployed

616

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

68.6%

Part-time

25.0%

Participation

49.6%

Employed

4,750

Occupations

Professionals 1,569
Managers 883
Clerical/Admin 853
Community/Personal 477
Sales 433
Labourers 369
Machinery/Drivers 249

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.2%
Professional/Tech 11.3%
Construction 9.3%
Education 9.3%
Public Admin 9.0%

University

45.1%

Postgraduate

12.8%

Born Overseas

44.3%

Dwellings

4,260

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-reliant: 86.2% drive to work, far higher than the 4.7% using public transport and 2.6% walking or cycling. That matters for buyers because access to parking and road connections will shape convenience more than station proximity. The school base is compact, with 2 government primary schools and an ICSEA range of 1007-1022; Ermington West Public School leads at 1022, with Rydalmere East Public School close behind at 1007. IRSAD decile 7 points to above-average social advantage, while local crime rates are not available for a numeric safety comparison.

Drive

86.2%

Public Transport

4.7%

Walk / Cycle

2.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.69%/yr

(+455 people/yr)

Established

Ermington's forecast path is stable rather than speculative. The annual growth trend is 1.69%, equal to about 455 people a year, and the medium scenario reaches 29467 by 2031. Migration is the main engine because overseas migration averages +414 people a year, compared with -50 from internal migration. The gentrification score is 37 and the stage is Early signs, while the broader shift records 28.2% population change over 10 years and 38.7% rent growth. That mix points to steady renewal pressure without a full identity reset.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+414

Net Internal / yr

-50

37

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +36% since 2011, Strong overseas inflow +414/yr, Accelerating: 11% → 22%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Ermington compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 3%
Household Income
Top 25%
Rent Level
Top 13%
Apartments
Top 20%
Renters
Top 13%
Uni Educated
Top 13%
Public Transport
Top 36%
Born Overseas
Top 4%
Density
Top 3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Ermington a good suburb to live in?

Ermington suits buyers who want a premium, family-leaning area with 60.5% separate houses, 2 local primary schools and household income in the 74.7 percentile. The trade-off is high car dependence, with 86.2% driving to work.

What is the median house price in Ermington?

The median house price in Ermington is $1,700,000. The latest measured house median is $1,708,000 in 2025, up 0.9% from $1,692,500 in 2024, so recent price growth has been modest rather than rapid.

What schools are in Ermington?

Ermington has 2 local primary schools in the list: Ermington West Public School with ICSEA 1022 and 104 enrolments, and Rydalmere East Public School with ICSEA 1007 and 104 enrolments. Both are government schools.

Is Ermington safe?

A suburb-level crime rate per 1,000 is not listed, so safety should be checked at street level and by time of day. For context, Ermington has 2 local primary schools and an IRSAD decile of 7, which sits above the national midpoint.

Is Ermington good for property investment?

Ermington has investor appeal because 43.7% of households rent and rent growth has been 38.7%. The caution is a 6.9% vacancy rate and 106 development applications in 12 months, which can lift tenant choice and competition.

How is Ermington's population changing?

Growth is forecast at 1.69% a year, or about 455 people annually. The medium scenario reaches 29467 by 2031, driven mainly by overseas migration averaging +414 people a year compared with -50 internal migration.

What languages are spoken in Ermington?

Ermington has a strong multilingual profile, with 44.3% of residents born overseas. The largest listed home languages include Mandarin with 571 speakers, Korean with 455, Arabic with 357 and Cantonese with 336.

What development is happening in Ermington?

Development activity is elevated, with 106 applications recorded in the past 12 months. Recent examples include a residential flat building, a secondary dwelling adding 1 dwelling, and demolition or subdivision related work.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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