NSW 2324 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Karuah

At a median age of 50, Karuah runs 10 years older than the national figure, making it one of the most distinctly aged communities in the Hunter region. The suburb sits in IRSAD decile 4, below average nationally, yet household income lands in only the 15th percentile, reflecting a workforce skewed toward labourers, machinery operators and community workers rather than professionals. Rents climbed 63.3% over the decade while real incomes grew just 9.4%, a widening gap that tells the affordability story more plainly than any single price point. With 92.6% separate house stock and 54 development applications in 12 months, the suburb is still building out despite its aging demographic base.

Karuah urban fabric map

Population

1,618

Median Age

50.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,061/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

56

Median House

$490K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

73.89 km²· 21.9 people/km²· Family income $1,372/wk

The median house price in Karuah is $490,000, well below the NSW state median, making entry costs accessible for first buyers. Price data shows a peak of $599,000 in 2024 before easing to $398,500 in 2025, a 33.5% decline in one year, signalling some correction from pandemic-era highs. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,444, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 31.4%, which crosses the 30% stress threshold given household income in the 15th percentile nationally. The stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 92.6%, with 4-plus bedroom homes accounting for 32.2% and 3-bedroom homes 36.4%, so buyers get space compared to metropolitan markets. Outright owners at 49.3% outnumber mortgage holders at 29.9%, suggesting a settled ownership base rather than a market driven by recent leveraged buyers.

For Buyers

The median house price in Karuah is $490,000, well below the NSW state median, making entry costs accessible for first buyers. Price data shows a peak of $599,000 in 2024 before easing to $398,500 in 2025, a 33.5% decline in one year, signalling some correction from pandemic-era highs. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,444, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 31.4%, which crosses the 30% stress threshold given household income in the 15th percentile nationally. The stock is overwhelmingly detached houses at 92.6%, with 4-plus bedroom homes accounting for 32.2% and 3-bedroom homes 36.4%, so buyers get space compared to metropolitan markets. Outright owners at 49.3% outnumber mortgage holders at 29.9%, suggesting a settled ownership base rather than a market driven by recent leveraged buyers.

For Investors

Karuah's investment case is mixed. The $300 weekly rent is low in absolute terms, but measured against the $490,000 median it implies a gross yield around 3.2%, above most coastal NSW tree-change markets. The vacancy rate of 9.0% is elevated, pointing to supply outpacing rental demand in this smaller market. Development activity is active, with 54 applications lodged in the past 12 months including secondary dwellings and subdivisions. Net internal migration drives 398 new residents per year to the broader SA2, providing a structural demand floor that supports occupancy over time. Rent growth of 63.3% over the decade outpaced income growth of 9.4%, showing landlords have captured real gains, though the current vacancy rate suggests that momentum has paused.

Development Activity

Total DAs

246

Last 12 Months

56

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+75.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Garage / Carport / Shed
22
Subdivision
17
New Dwelling
16
Commercial / Industrial
10
Renovation / Extension
6
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
5
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
5
Swimming Pool / Spa
4

Schools in Karuah iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Karuah Public School

ICSEA 875 Primary Government

K-6 · 157 students

Demographics

The median age of 50 sits 10 years above the national average, and the aging trajectory is confirmed by a 5.6-point rise in the senior share and a 3.5-point fall in the working-age share over the past decade. Overseas-born residents are just 8.9% of the population, which is 12.7 points below national, reflecting a predominantly Australian-born community. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic, led by English (621 residents), Irish (186) and Scottish (149). University qualifications are held by only 10.2% of residents, which is 19.9 points below the national rate, consistent with an IRSAD decile of 4. Average household size is 2.3, slightly below the national figure, and couples without children make up 37.7% of families, a pattern common in older suburban communities.

Age Distribution

0-14
17.6%
15-24
8.8%
25-44
18.7%
45-64
25.5%
65+
30.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
7.4%
2 bed
23.9%
3 bed
36.4%
4+ bed
32.2%

Dwelling Structure

92.6%

Houses

3.2%

Townhouse

1.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 49.3% Mortgage 29.9% Rent 20.8%

Housing in Karuah is dominated by separate houses at 92.6%, well above the national average, with semi-detached dwellings at 3.2% and apartments at just 1.1%. Three-bedroom homes are the modal type at 36.4%, followed by 4-plus bedroom at 32.2% and 2-bedroom at 23.9%. Tenure leans toward ownership, with 49.3% owning outright and 29.9% on a mortgage, leaving 20.8% as renters. The median house price in 2025 is $398,500, down from a 2024 peak of $599,000, a 33.5% contraction in one year. Mortgage-to-income at 31.4% crosses the stress threshold for a community where household income sits in only the 15th percentile nationally. Rent-to-income at 28.3% stops just below 30%, providing modest relief for tenants compared to mortgage holders.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,444

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$555

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

9.0%

Unoccupied

63

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

28.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.4% stressed

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
621
Irish
186
Scottish
149
Ancestry NS
147
Other
70
German
52

Household Composition

37.7%

Couples, no children

1,205

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the largest employer at 17.9% of the local workforce, followed by Construction at 15.2%, Education at 9.3%, Retail at 7.6% and Public Administration at 7.3%. By occupation, labourers (84 workers) lead, ahead of community and personal service workers (73) and machinery operators and drivers (65), a profile that explains the IRSAD decile 4 score despite an IER decile of 8. The full-time employment rate is 60.0%, but the participation rate of only 37.6% means 653 residents are not in the labour force, consistent with a retired population at a median age of 50. Unemployment is 6.2%, above typical regional benchmarks. Personal weekly income averages $555, and family weekly income is $1,372, placing households in the 15th percentile nationally.

Unemployment

3.2%

Labour Force

8,114

Unemployed

260

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
4
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
8
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

60.0%

Part-time

33.8%

Participation

37.6%

Employed

470

Occupations

Labourers 84
Community/Personal 73
Machinery/Drivers 65
Clerical/Admin 58
Managers 55
Sales 49
Professionals 46

Top Industries

Healthcare 17.9%
Construction 15.2%
Education 9.3%
Retail 7.6%
Public Admin 7.3%

University

10.2%

Postgraduate

1.7%

Born Overseas

8.9%

Dwellings

633

Transport to Work

Car dependence is pronounced, with 89.9% of residents driving to work, above national norms, and 5.2% walking or cycling. No schools are recorded within the Karuah suburb boundary, so families rely on nearby towns in the Port Stephens area. The IRSAD decile 4 ranking places the suburb below the national average on combined advantage and disadvantage. The IER decile of 8 is a useful counterpoint, indicating access to economic resources, such as house size and mortgage capacity, is solid relative to decile 4 socioeconomic conditions overall. Volunteering reaches 14.8% of residents and 10.1% require daily assistance, a rate above the national average that reflects the older median age of 50. Mobility is low, with 81.5% of residents living at the same address as five years prior, pointing to a stable, long-term community.

Drive

89.9%

Public Transport

N/A

Walk / Cycle

5.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.58%/yr

(+271 people/yr)

Established

The broader SA2 population grew 19.4% over 10 years and is tracking at 1.58% annual growth, adding roughly 271 people per year. Medium forecasts project the population rising from 17,178 in 2025 toward 18,249 by 2031. Internal migration is the primary driver, with net inflows averaging 398 residents per year, while overseas migration adds a further 50. The gentrification score of 51 places Karuah in the active gentrification stage, signalled by population growth of 32% since 2011 and an affordability ratio worsening from 43.8% in 2011 to 53.2% in 2021. Young share fell 1.2 points over the decade while the senior share rose 5.6 points, meaning growth is largely powered by retirees and sea-changers rather than young families.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+50

Net Internal / yr

+398

51

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +32% since 2011, Net internal migration +398/yr, Accelerating: 7% → 23%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Karuah compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 24%
Household Income
Bottom 15%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Bottom 23%
Renters
Top 49%
Uni Educated
Bottom 6%
Born Overseas
Bottom 24%
Density
Top 36%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Karuah a good suburb to live in?

Karuah suits buyers seeking affordable detached housing in a stable, low-turnover community. The median house price is $490,000, well below the NSW state median, and 92.6% of homes are separate houses with good space. The trade-offs are limited public transport, no schools within the suburb boundary, and household income in the 15th percentile nationally, meaning services are modest.

What is the median house price in Karuah?

The median house price is $490,000 based on recent data. Prices peaked at $599,000 in 2024 and eased to $398,500 in 2025, a 33.5% decline. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,444, with a mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4%, which crosses the stress threshold at current income levels.

What schools are in Karuah?

No schools are recorded within the Karuah suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in nearby Port Stephens towns. Only 10.2% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 19.9 points below the national figure, consistent with a trade and labour-focused local workforce.

Is Karuah safe?

Detailed crime statistics for Karuah are not available in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb sits in IRSAD decile 4, below average nationally, which correlates with some disadvantage. The low population turnover, with 81.5% of residents at the same address for 5 years, generally points to a stable, settled community.

Is Karuah good for property investment?

The $300 weekly rent against a $490,000 median implies a gross yield around 3.2%, higher than many coastal NSW markets. However, the 9.0% vacancy rate is elevated, pointing to excess supply at present. Net internal migration of 398 residents per year to the broader area supports longer-term demand. Rent grew 63.3% over the decade, though prices pulled back 33.5% from the 2024 peak.

How is Karuah's population changing?

The broader Karuah area grew 19.4% over 10 years and is growing at 1.58% annually, adding about 271 people per year. Internal migration is the main driver at 398 net arrivals per year. The population is aging, with the senior share rising 5.6 points and the young-adult share falling 1.2 points over the decade, driven by retirees and sea-changers relocating from cities.

How much development is happening in Karuah?

There were 54 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including secondary dwellings, subdivisions and new dwelling constructions under Complying Development Certificates. This is active for a suburb of 1,618 residents and reflects the active gentrification stage score of 51, with population up 32% since 2011.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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