NSW 2795 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Kelso

With 105 development applications in 12 months for a suburb of 10,039 residents, Kelso is one of the most actively expanding residential areas in the Bathurst region, predominantly through new dwelling house construction. The median house price of $725,000 sits well above Bathurst's typical pricing, reflecting the newer estate housing stock where 59.6% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms. Household income at the 60.9 percentile nationally outperforms most Central West NSW suburbs, driven by a Professional workforce (795 workers) employed largely in Healthcare (20.7%) and Education (14.5%). The mortgage-to-income ratio of 23.9% sits comfortably below stress levels, and the suburb's Anglo-leaning profile (only 9.2% born overseas, 12.4 points below national) distinguishes it from metropolitan growth corridors.

Kelso urban fabric map

Population

10,039

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,737/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

123

Median House

$725K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

31.82 km²· 315.5 people/km²· Family income $2,040/wk

The median house price of $725,000 (PSI derived 2024-2025) rose 4.4% from $709,000 in 2024 to $740,000 in 2025, a moderate gain by regional NSW standards. Detached houses account for 92.8% of stock, with four-plus bedrooms at 59.6%, the dominant configuration reflecting newer estate builds. Three-bedroom homes at 32.8% and two-bedroom at only 5.4% confirm the suburb caters to families wanting space. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,800 produce a 23.9% mortgage-to-income ratio, well below the 30% stress threshold. Household income at the 60.9 percentile nationally makes Kelso one of the higher-earning suburbs in the Central West. The 5.1% vacancy rate is moderate, and the 92.8% detached house share means buyers have few alternative housing types to choose from.

For Buyers

The median house price of $725,000 (PSI derived 2024-2025) rose 4.4% from $709,000 in 2024 to $740,000 in 2025, a moderate gain by regional NSW standards. Detached houses account for 92.8% of stock, with four-plus bedrooms at 59.6%, the dominant configuration reflecting newer estate builds. Three-bedroom homes at 32.8% and two-bedroom at only 5.4% confirm the suburb caters to families wanting space. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,800 produce a 23.9% mortgage-to-income ratio, well below the 30% stress threshold. Household income at the 60.9 percentile nationally makes Kelso one of the higher-earning suburbs in the Central West. The 5.1% vacancy rate is moderate, and the 92.8% detached house share means buyers have few alternative housing types to choose from.

For Investors

Renters make up 28.4% of households, slightly below the national average. Median weekly rent of $360 against a $725,000 median price delivers a gross yield of approximately 2.6%, below most investor targets. The 5.1% vacancy rate suggests moderate rental availability. With 105 development applications in 12 months, heavily weighted toward new dwelling houses, the supply pipeline is active and could push vacancy higher. The gentrification score of zero confirms no structural shift, and real income actually declined 1.3% over the decade. Net internal migration is slightly negative at 39 persons per year, partly offset by 28 overseas arrivals. Capital growth at 4.4% year-on-year is solid but not exceptional for regional NSW.

Development Activity

Total DAs

849

Last 12 Months

123

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-3.1%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

New Dwelling
60
Commercial / Industrial
42
Swimming Pool / Spa
36
Renovation / Extension
28
Garage / Carport / Shed
28
Subdivision
18
Landscaping / Retaining Wall
12
Change of Use
7

Schools in Kelso iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Holy Family Catholic Primary School Kelso

ICSEA 1028 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 463 students

Denison College of Secondary Education, Kelso High Campus

ICSEA 936 Secondary Government

7-12 · 813 students

Kelso Public School

ICSEA 859 Primary Government

K-6 · 374 students

Demographics

English ancestry dominates at 4,275, with Irish (1,293) and Scottish (984) forming a strongly Anglo-Celtic profile. Only 9.2% of residents were born overseas, 12.4 percentage points below the national average. University qualifications at 23.9% sit 6.2 points below the national figure but are above average for the Bathurst region. The median age of 36 runs 4 years below the national figure, consistent with younger families buying into new estates. An average household size of 2.7 and couples with children (3,425) outnumbering couples without (2,012) confirm the family-oriented demographic. Christianity accounts for 5,936 residents (59% of population), with Hinduism (93) and Islam (86) small but present minorities.

Age Distribution

0-14
22.4%
15-24
12.9%
25-44
25.0%
45-64
22.9%
65+
16.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.2%
2 bed
5.4%
3 bed
32.8%
4+ bed
59.6%

Dwelling Structure

92.8%

Houses

6.3%

Townhouse

0.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 32.6% Mortgage 39.0% Rent 28.4%

Tenure shows 32.6% own outright, 39.0% hold mortgages and 28.4% rent. The four-plus bedroom share of 59.6% is the defining housing feature, more than double the three-bedroom share of 32.8%, reflecting newer estate construction standards. Detached houses at 92.8% leave minimal alternative stock: semi-detached at 6.3% and apartments at 0.7%. Prices rose from $709,000 to $740,000 between 2024 and 2025, a 4.4% gain. The price-to-annual-household-income ratio sits at approximately 8.0 times, elevated but below Sydney metropolitan levels. The rent-to-income ratio of 20.7% and mortgage-to-income of 23.9% both sit below stress thresholds, indicating manageable housing costs for most residents.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,800

Rent / wk

$360

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$803

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.1%

Unoccupied

187

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.7%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.9%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
24
Arabic
21
Nepali
19
Sinhal
11

Ancestry

English
4,275
Irish
1,293
Scottish
984
Other
537
Ancestry NS
525
German
292

Household Composition

24.7%

Couples, no children

8,159

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads at 20.7% (625 workers), followed by Education at 14.5%, Public Administration at 11.4%, Construction at 9.7% and Manufacturing at 7.6%. The Healthcare/Education/Public Admin trio accounting for 46.6% of employment is higher than the national average, reflecting Kelso's role as a residential suburb feeding Bathurst's service-sector economy. Professionals (795) lead occupations, followed by Community/Personal (704) and Clerical/Admin (578). The 4.6% unemployment rate is close to the national average, and the 65.3% full-time rate is above it. The IER decile 4 versus IEO decile 1 gap is unusual, suggesting economic resources significantly outpace educational credentials locally, though both sit below the national median.

Unemployment

6.8%

Labour Force

5,498

Unemployed

375

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
2

Full-time

65.3%

Part-time

30.1%

Participation

58.7%

Employed

4,367

Occupations

Professionals 795
Community/Personal 704
Clerical/Admin 578
Labourers 524
Managers 501
Sales 409
Machinery/Drivers 342

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.7%
Education 14.5%
Public Admin 11.4%
Construction 9.7%
Manufacturing 7.6%

University

23.9%

Postgraduate

4.7%

Born Overseas

9.2%

Dwellings

3,481

Transport to Work

Car dependence is very high at 90.4%, with public transport essentially absent at 0.1% and 2.3% walking or cycling. Three schools serve the area: Holy Family Catholic Primary (ICSEA 1,028, 463 students) sits above the national benchmark, while Denison College Kelso High Campus (Government secondary, 936, 813 students) and Kelso Public School (Government primary, 859, 374 students) fall well below it. The 169-point ICSEA gap between top and bottom schools is wide. The need-for-assistance rate of 7.5% is slightly above the national average. The IRSAD decile 2 and IRSD decile 3 readings indicate below-average advantage overall, despite the moderate household income.

Drive

90.4%

Public Transport

0.1%

Walk / Cycle

2.3%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.78%/yr

(+87 people/yr)

Established

Population grows at 0.78% annually, adding 87 persons per year. Medium projections reach 11,837 by 2031 from 11,403 in 2026. The 10-year population change of 4.3% is moderate for the Central West. The 105 DAs in 12 months suggest faster growth ahead as new dwelling construction accelerates the population pipeline. Net internal migration of negative 39 persons per year and 28 overseas arrivals produce a small net outflow domestically. The senior share grew 6.1 points while the young share dropped 3.8 points, an aging trajectory despite the suburb's younger median age of 36. Affordability improved from 46.8% mortgage-to-income in 2011 to 38.6% in 2021, reflecting stable prices relative to incomes.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+28

Net Internal / yr

-39

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Kelso compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 5%
Household Income
Top 39%
Rent Level
Top 24%
Apartments
Bottom 15%
Renters
Top 31%
Uni Educated
Top 50%
Public Transport
Bottom 0%
Born Overseas
Bottom 25%
Density
Top 22%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kelso a good suburb to live in?

Kelso suits families wanting new, large homes (59.6% four-plus bedrooms) near Bathurst. Household income at the 60.9 percentile and 23.9% mortgage-to-income ratio indicate manageable costs. Trade-offs include 90.4% car dependence, IRSAD decile 2 disadvantage, and a 169-point ICSEA gap between the best and weakest schools. The 105 DAs in 12 months signal active construction and ongoing estate expansion.

What is the median house price in Kelso?

The median house price is $725,000 (PSI derived 2024-2025), with prices rising 4.4% from $709,000 in 2024 to $740,000 in 2025. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,800 produce a 23.9% mortgage-to-income ratio, well below the 30% stress threshold. Weekly rent averages $360 with a 5.1% vacancy rate.

What schools are in Kelso?

Kelso has 3 schools. Holy Family Catholic Primary (ICSEA 1,028, 463 students) sits above the national benchmark. Denison College Kelso High Campus (Government secondary, ICSEA 936, 813 students) and Kelso Public School (Government primary, 859, 374 students) fall below it. The 169-point spread reflects the IRSAD decile 2 socioeconomic mix within the suburb.

Is Kelso safe?

No suburb-level crime data is available. The IRSAD decile 2 reading places Kelso in the bottom 20% nationally on advantage. The 4.6% unemployment rate is close to the national average, a more positive indicator. Buyers should check NSW Bureau of Crime Statistics for Bathurst Regional LGA data. The 7.5% need-for-assistance rate is slightly above the national average.

Is Kelso good for property investment?

The 2.6% gross yield ($360 rent on $725,000 median) is below most investor thresholds. With 105 DAs in 12 months (predominantly new dwellings), active supply growth could push vacancy above the current 5.1%. Capital growth at 4.4% year-on-year is moderate. Net internal migration of negative 39 per year limits demand expansion. The 28.4% renter share provides a reasonable tenant pool, and the 4.6% unemployment rate reduces default risk.

How is Kelso's population changing?

Population grows at 0.78% per year (87 persons), with medium projections reaching 11,837 by 2031. The 105 DAs in 12 months, mostly new dwelling houses, indicate growth is accelerating beyond the trend rate. Net internal migration is slightly negative at 39 per year. The senior share grew 6.1 points over the decade while the young share dropped 3.8 points. Real income declined 1.3% over the decade, unlike most NSW suburbs.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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