NSW 2289 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Kotara

Separate houses dominate 88.5% of Kotara's 2.5 km2 footprint, a proportion well above the national average, and the suburb sits at SEIFA decile 8 across three indexes, placing it in the upper-advantage tier nationally. Household income reaches the 78.1st percentile, and 40.9% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 10.8 points above the national figure. The median house price of $940,000 combined with a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.1% suggests owners are managing repayments comfortably relative to the suburb's income base. Resident stability is high, with 77.5% of people having stayed put in the five years prior to the last census.

Kotara urban fabric map

Population

3,980

Median Age

39.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,077/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

74

Median House

$940K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

2.5 km²· 1,592.9 people/km²· Family income $2,449/wk

The median house price in Kotara is $940,000, up 6.4% from $903,750 in 2024 to $961,500 in 2025. Detached houses account for 88.5% of the stock, a figure far higher than most comparable suburbs, while semi-detached dwellings make up the remaining 11.5%. Three-bedroom homes are the dominant product at 57.1% of dwellings, followed by four-plus bedrooms at 30.9%, signalling a family-oriented market with limited small-dwelling options. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167 and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.1% sits below the 30% stress threshold, which is meaningful given that household income is in the 78.1st percentile nationally. Outright owners represent 36.2% of households and mortgage holders 42.3%, a distribution consistent with an established, wealth-accumulating suburb.

For Buyers

The median house price in Kotara is $940,000, up 6.4% from $903,750 in 2024 to $961,500 in 2025. Detached houses account for 88.5% of the stock, a figure far higher than most comparable suburbs, while semi-detached dwellings make up the remaining 11.5%. Three-bedroom homes are the dominant product at 57.1% of dwellings, followed by four-plus bedrooms at 30.9%, signalling a family-oriented market with limited small-dwelling options. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167 and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.1% sits below the 30% stress threshold, which is meaningful given that household income is in the 78.1st percentile nationally. Outright owners represent 36.2% of households and mortgage holders 42.3%, a distribution consistent with an established, wealth-accumulating suburb.

For Investors

Renters account for 21.6% of Kotara households and weekly rent averages $460, which is below the Sydney metropolitan median, reflecting the suburb's family-house character rather than unit-led rental demand. Vacancy sits at 4.4%, above the 3% threshold that signals tighter rental conditions, indicating some softness in the current market. Development activity ran to 73 applications in the past 12 months, led by dwelling approvals and commercial works, consistent with ongoing upgrade investment rather than large new supply. Overseas migration drives net population growth at 98 persons per year compared to 24 via internal migration, providing a steady demand base. The gentrification score of 51 places Kotara in an active phase, with real income growth of 25.5% over the decade supporting long-term capital appreciation.

Development Activity

Total DAs

365

Last 12 Months

74

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

0.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
86
Demolition
15
New Dwelling
11
Swimming Pool / Spa
10
Commercial / Industrial
7
Subdivision
4
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
3

Schools in Kotara iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Kotara South Public School

ICSEA 1069 Primary Government

K-6 · 309 students

Demographics

Kotara's median age of 39 is one year below the national figure, pointing to a working-family profile rather than an aging community. University qualifications reach 40.9%, which is 10.8 points above the national average, the highest skill concentration in the area. The overseas-born share is 12.6%, compared to 21.6% nationally, making this one of the less internationally diverse suburbs in NSW. Ancestry leans strongly Anglo-Celtic: English (1,799 residents), Scottish (527) and Irish (491) are the three largest groups. Average household size of 2.6 is consistent with national norms, though the household composition skews toward couples with children (1,383 families) versus couples without children (829). Volunteering runs at 16.3%, suggesting an engaged community.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.2%
15-24
13.1%
25-44
26.7%
45-64
24.9%
65+
16.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.3%
2 bed
10.7%
3 bed
57.1%
4+ bed
30.9%

Dwelling Structure

88.5%

Houses

11.5%

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 36.2% Mortgage 42.3% Rent 21.6%

Kotara's housing profile is defined by detached houses, which make up 88.5% of all dwellings, a concentration higher than most NSW suburbs. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 57.1% and four-plus bedrooms add another 30.9%, which leaves very little stock for single occupants or downsizers. Tenure is split with 36.2% owning outright, 42.3% on mortgages and 21.6% renting. Prices rose from $903,750 in 2024 to $961,500 in 2025, a 6.4% move over one year. Rent-to-income stands at 22.1%, below the 30% stress threshold, and mortgage-to-income at 24.1% is similarly comfortable relative to the suburb's income level. The semi-detached segment at 11.5% provides the only real entry point below the house-price median.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$460

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$927

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.4%

Unoccupied

68

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
15
Nepali
11
Macedon
11

Ancestry

English
1,799
Scottish
527
Irish
491
Other
294
German
187
Italian
133

Household Composition

25.3%

Couples, no children

3,280

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the dominant industry at 23.5% of the local workforce (351 residents), well above the national industry share, followed by Education at 14.7% (220) and Professional/Tech at 9.6% (143). Construction and Public Admin each contribute around 9%. By occupation, Professionals lead at 634 workers, with Managers (272), Clerical/Admin (263) and Community/Personal (244) filling out a white-collar-leaning employment base. The unemployment rate is 4.2% and the full-time rate reaches 60.4%. The SEIFA IRSD score of 1,061 places the suburb at decile 8 nationally, and the IEO score of 1,054 also rates decile 8 for education and occupation advantage. Real income growth of 25.5% over the decade is above the national trend.

Unemployment

3.1%

Labour Force

10,197

Unemployed

315

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
8
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
8

Full-time

60.4%

Part-time

35.4%

Participation

64.3%

Employed

1,979

Occupations

Professionals 634
Managers 272
Clerical/Admin 263
Community/Personal 244
Sales 192
Labourers 149
Machinery/Drivers 80

Top Industries

Healthcare 23.5%
Education 14.7%
Professional/Tech 9.6%
Construction 9.2%
Public Admin 8.0%

University

40.9%

Postgraduate

9.7%

Born Overseas

12.6%

Dwellings

1,470

Transport to Work

Kotara is almost entirely car-dependent, with 91.4% of residents commuting by car, compared to a national average well below that, and only 0.3% using public transport. This reflects the suburb's low-density, detached-house character in a regional city context. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families access education in neighbouring areas. The IRSAD decile 8 score signals a low-disadvantage environment, and only 4.4% of residents (171 people) need daily assistance. Housing stress is well contained, with both rent-to-income at 22.1% and mortgage-to-income at 24.1% below the 30% stress threshold. Resident stability is notably high, with 77.5% of people remaining at the same address over the five-year census period.

Drive

91.4%

Public Transport

0.3%

Walk / Cycle

2.7%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.77%/yr

(+135 people/yr)

Established

Kotara's population grew 10.3% over the past decade, reaching 17,554 in 2025 from a base of around 15,900 in 2011. Annual growth is running at 0.77%, adding approximately 135 persons per year. Overseas migration is the primary driver at 98 net arrivals annually, versus 24 from internal migration. Medium forecasts project the SA2 population reaching 18,183 by 2031, a continuation of the current growth rate. The gentrification score of 51 puts the suburb in an active phase, supported by a 41.4% rise in rents over the period and a 25.5% real income increase. Affordability improved from 47.8% in 2011 to 43.8% in 2021, a trend that is better than the national average for established suburbs, making this an active rather than declining market.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+98

Net Internal / yr

+24

4

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Population +11% since 2011

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Kotara compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 14%
Household Income
Top 22%
Rent Level
Top 8%
Renters
Top 46%
Uni Educated
Top 17%
Public Transport
Bottom 1%
Born Overseas
Bottom 43%
Density
Top 11%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Kotara a good suburb to live in?

Kotara ranks at SEIFA decile 8 on three indexes, placing it in the upper-advantage tier nationally. Household income sits in the 78.1st percentile and 40.9% of residents hold university qualifications, 10.8 points above the national average. Housing stress is low, with mortgage-to-income at 24.1% below the 30% threshold, and 77.5% of residents stayed in the same address over the census period.

What is the median house price in Kotara?

The median house price is $940,000, rising 6.4% from $903,750 in 2024 to $961,500 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $460 and monthly mortgage repayments run around $2,167. The mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.1% is below the 30% stress benchmark.

What schools are in Kotara?

No schools are recorded inside the Kotara suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. Locally, 40.9% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 10.8 points above the national figure, reflecting a well-educated resident base.

Is Kotara safe?

Crime statistics are not available for Kotara in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 8 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, in the upper-advantage tier nationally. Only 4.4% of residents (171 people) need daily assistance, and housing stress is low, both consistent with a stable, low-disadvantage community.

Is Kotara good for property investment?

Weekly rent of $460 against a $940,000 median gives a gross yield around 2.5%, low but in line with established NSW family suburbs. Vacancy at 4.4% is slightly above the 3% benchmark. The gentrification score of 51 sits in the active phase, with 25.5% real income growth over the decade and net overseas migration of 98 per year supporting demand.

How is Kotara's population changing?

Population grew 10.3% over the past decade and is currently adding around 135 residents per year, a 0.77% annual rate. Overseas migration contributes 98 net arrivals annually, the primary driver. Medium forecasts project growth to 18,183 by 2031, continuing the current trajectory.

How much development is happening in Kotara?

73 development applications were lodged in the past 12 months, including new dwelling constructions and commercial works. This is a moderate level for a 2.5 km2 established suburb, consistent with ongoing upgrade activity and infill rather than large greenfield supply.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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