NSW 2480 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Lismore

With a median house price of $479,000 and household income sitting at the 14.2nd percentile nationally, Lismore is one of the more affordable regional centres in NSW. The 11.3% vacancy rate stands well above the national average, signalling a soft rental market despite 49.6% of residents renting. Population has been falling steadily, dropping from 14,336 in 2023 to 13,679 in 2025, driven by net internal outflow of 480 residents per year. Healthcare dominates the local economy at 31.4% of workers. The suburb scores in IRSD decile 2 and IRSAD decile 2, placing it among the more disadvantaged areas nationally.

Lismore urban fabric map

Population

3,656

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,035/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

42

Median House

$479K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

3.68 km²· 994.7 people/km²· Family income $1,465/wk

The $479,000 median house price is affordable compared to the NSW state median, and prices rose from $450,000 in 2024 to $510,000 in 2025, a 13.3% gain in a single year. Separate houses make up 69.9% of the stock, so detached-home buyers have reasonable supply to choose from. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300 and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0% sits just below the 30% stress threshold, giving buyers a thin margin. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 37.4% of stock, followed by two-bedroom at 30.4%. Outright owners (24.6%) are outnumbered by mortgage holders (25.8%) and renters (49.6%), consistent with a market where many residents have not built equity.

For Buyers

The $479,000 median house price is affordable compared to the NSW state median, and prices rose from $450,000 in 2024 to $510,000 in 2025, a 13.3% gain in a single year. Separate houses make up 69.9% of the stock, so detached-home buyers have reasonable supply to choose from. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,300 and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0% sits just below the 30% stress threshold, giving buyers a thin margin. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 37.4% of stock, followed by two-bedroom at 30.4%. Outright owners (24.6%) are outnumbered by mortgage holders (25.8%) and renters (49.6%), consistent with a market where many residents have not built equity.

For Investors

The 49.6% renter share is well above the national average, creating a large tenant pool, but the 11.3% vacancy rate is a meaningful risk signal because it indicates supply already exceeds current demand. Weekly rent of $280 against a $479,000 median implies a gross yield of around 3.1%, modest but higher than many coastal NSW markets. Rent grew 36.4% over the decade, which is a strong long-run trend. Development activity is active at 43 applications in 12 months. The biggest drag is the population trend: net internal outflow of 480 residents per year and a projected decline to 13,288 by 2031 under the medium forecast compress the demand base for both rental and resale.

Development Activity

Total DAs

265

Last 12 Months

42

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-4.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
47
Change of Use
11
Commercial / Industrial
6
Demolition
5
Signage / Advertising
5
Garage / Carport / Shed
3
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
2
Deck / Pergola / Patio
2

Schools in Lismore iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Carthage's Primary School

ICSEA 1064 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 580 students

St John's College

ICSEA 1059 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 774 students

Living School

ICSEA 1037 Combined Independent

K-12 · 313 students

Modanville Public School

ICSEA 1014 Primary Government

K-6 · 58 students

Caniaba Public School

ICSEA 955 Primary Government

K-6 · 29 students

Demographics

The median age of 41 is one year above the national figure, and the aging trajectory is clear with the senior share rising 4.3 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents reach just 12.6%, which is 9 points below national, reflecting a predominantly Australian-born population. The dominant ancestries are English (1,375), Irish (502) and Scottish (441), a strongly Anglo-Celtic profile. University qualifications at 27.1% run 3 points below the national figure. Average household size of 2.1 is 0.4 below national, consistent with the high share of single-person and couple-only households. The volunteering rate of 15.7% and 10.1% needing daily assistance both point to an older demographic with elevated care needs.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.8%
15-24
12.1%
25-44
27.1%
45-64
26.0%
65+
19.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
12.8%
2 bed
30.4%
3 bed
37.4%
4+ bed
19.3%

Dwelling Structure

69.9%

Houses

13.7%

Townhouse

14.3%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 24.6% Mortgage 25.8% Rent 49.6%

Tenure is heavily skewed to renting: 49.6% of residents rent, versus 24.6% who own outright and 25.8% who hold a mortgage, a rental share well above the national average. The median house price climbed from $450,000 to $510,000 across 2024-2025, a 13.3% move, though the current PSI-derived estimate sits at $479,000. Monthly mortgage repayments of $1,300 and a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0% keep ownership just below stress levels. Separate houses dominate at 69.9%, with apartments at 14.3% and semi-detached at 13.7%. The 11.3% vacancy rate is elevated, meaning landlords face stronger competition to secure tenants than in tighter markets.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,300

Rent / wk

$280

HH Size

2.1

Personal Income / wk

$598

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

11.3%

Unoccupied

186

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.1%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.0%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
1,375
Irish
502
Scottish
441
Ancestry NS
431
Other
260
German
176

Household Composition

23.5%

Couples, no children

2,095

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the defining industry, employing 31.4% of workers (290 people), more than double the next sector. Education follows at 13.6% (126 workers), then Retail at 9.0%, Hospitality at 7.8% and Construction at 6.7%. By occupation, Professionals lead at 294 workers, followed by Labourers (252) and Community/Personal service roles (234), a distribution that reflects the healthcare and social services base. Unemployment sits at 9.0%, higher than the national average, and the participation rate of 47.6% is low, partly because 1,183 residents are not in the labour force. The IRSD decile of 2 and IRSAD decile of 2 place Lismore among the bottom fifth nationally on socioeconomic advantage.

Unemployment

5.9%

Labour Force

6,945

Unemployed

410

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
1
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

55.7%

Part-time

35.3%

Participation

47.6%

Employed

1,335

Occupations

Professionals 294
Labourers 252
Community/Personal 234
Clerical/Admin 135
Sales 127
Managers 118
Machinery/Drivers 55

Top Industries

Healthcare 31.4%
Education 13.6%
Retail 9.0%
Hospitality 7.8%
Construction 6.7%

University

27.1%

Postgraduate

5.4%

Born Overseas

12.6%

Dwellings

1,450

Transport to Work

Car dependency is high at 78.8% of commuters driving, while only 0.7% use public transport, low even by regional NSW standards. Walking and cycling account for 12.8%, a notable active transport share that reflects the flat, compact 3.68 km2 area and density of 994.7 residents per km2. No schools are recorded inside the suburb boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring areas. The suburb scores in IRSD decile 2 nationally, indicating relatively high levels of disadvantage. Crime data is not available for this dataset. Rent-to-income at 27.1% keeps renters just below the 30% stress threshold, while the 10.1% needing daily assistance points to above-average care demand relative to most suburbs.

Drive

78.8%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

12.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

-1.07%/yr

(-146 people/yr)

Established

Population has declined 2.2% over the decade and is contracting at 1.07% annually, equivalent to roughly 146 fewer residents each year. This trajectory is weaker than most regional NSW centres and places Lismore below the state average for population growth. The medium forecast sees the population falling from 13,679 in 2025 to 13,288 by 2031. The primary driver is net internal outflow of 480 residents per year, offset only partially by overseas migration averaging 70 per year. Affordability improved from 51.4% to 46.4% of income between 2011 and 2021, and real incomes grew 22.9% over the period. The gentrification score of 27 signals early signs, but the dominant signal remains outward migration.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+70

Net Internal / yr

-480

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal outflow -480/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Lismore compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 15%
Household Income
Bottom 14%
Rent Level
Top 46%
Apartments
Top 24%
Renters
Top 9%
Uni Educated
Top 41%
Public Transport
Bottom 8%
Born Overseas
Bottom 43%
Density
Top 15%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Lismore a good suburb to live in?

Lismore offers affordable housing at a $479,000 median house price, but it ranks in IRSD decile 2 and IRSAD decile 2 nationally, placing it among the more disadvantaged areas in the country. Unemployment at 9.0% is above the national average, and population has fallen from 14,336 in 2023 to 13,679 in 2025. Healthcare and education services are strong locally due to those sectors employing 45% of the workforce.

What is the median house price in Lismore?

The current median house price is $479,000 based on PSI-derived data. Prices rose 13.3% from $450,000 in 2024 to $510,000 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $280 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,300, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.0%, just below the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Lismore?

No schools are recorded inside the Lismore suburb boundary in this dataset. The suburb covers 3.68 km2 at a density of 994.7 residents per km2, with families typically relying on schools in nearby areas. University qualifications among residents reach 27.1%, which is 3 points below the national figure.

Is Lismore safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Lismore in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, Lismore scores in IRSD decile 2 nationally, placing it in the bottom 20% on the relative disadvantage index. The 9.0% unemployment rate is above the national average, which is associated with higher social stress in regional centres.

Is Lismore good for property investment?

The 49.6% renter share creates a large tenant pool and rent grew 36.4% over the decade, but the 11.3% vacancy rate signals current oversupply. A gross yield of roughly 3.1% (based on $280 weekly rent and $479,000 median) is modest. The biggest risk is population decline: net outflow of 480 residents per year and a forecast drop to 13,288 by 2031 compress long-term demand.

How is Lismore's population changing?

Population is falling at 1.07% per year, dropping from 14,336 in 2023 to 13,679 in 2025. The medium forecast projects a further decline to 13,288 by 2031. Net internal outflow of 480 residents per year is the main driver, partially offset by overseas migration of 70 per year. The young adult share fell 2.2 points over the decade.

How much development is happening in Lismore?

There were 43 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including subdivision, entertainment facility works and retail alterations. This level of activity is moderate given the population of around 3,656 in the suburb itself, and suggests ongoing investment despite the broader population decline in the region.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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