NSW 2259 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Mannering Park

At 94.6% separate houses and a vacancy rate of 11.4%, Mannering Park is one of Central Coast's most detached-dominant suburbs, yet it also carries one of the higher vacancy rates in the region, pointing to a holiday and semi-permanent population mix. The median house price sits at $765,000 against a household weekly income of $1,391, placing household incomes in only the 39.7th percentile nationally. SEIFA tells a similar story: the IRSAD decile is 2 and the IEO decile is 1, meaning the suburb ranks in the bottom tenth nationally for education and occupation advantage. The population of 2,554 skews toward established Anglo-Celtic families with a median age of 41, one year above the national figure.

Mannering Park urban fabric map

Population

2,554

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,391/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

26

Median House

$765K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

7.13 km²· 358.3 people/km²· Family income $1,605/wk

The median house price of $765,000 rose 15% from $720,000 in 2024 to $828,000 in 2025, a sharp single-year gain that outpaced most Central Coast markets. The stock is overwhelmingly separate houses at 94.6%, with apartments at only 2.4%, so buyers are competing in a narrow, low-diversity market. Bedrooms skew toward family sizing: 50.3% are 3-bedroom and 33.2% are 4-plus bedroom, both above the national norm for coastal suburbs. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,625, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 27.0%, which falls below the standard 30% stress threshold, making purchase more manageable than the headline price suggests. Outright owners at 33.4% and mortgage holders at 37.8% together account for over 70% of dwellings, indicating a stable, owner-occupier base rather than a transient rental market.

For Buyers

The median house price of $765,000 rose 15% from $720,000 in 2024 to $828,000 in 2025, a sharp single-year gain that outpaced most Central Coast markets. The stock is overwhelmingly separate houses at 94.6%, with apartments at only 2.4%, so buyers are competing in a narrow, low-diversity market. Bedrooms skew toward family sizing: 50.3% are 3-bedroom and 33.2% are 4-plus bedroom, both above the national norm for coastal suburbs. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,625, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 27.0%, which falls below the standard 30% stress threshold, making purchase more manageable than the headline price suggests. Outright owners at 33.4% and mortgage holders at 37.8% together account for over 70% of dwellings, indicating a stable, owner-occupier base rather than a transient rental market.

For Investors

Rental demand is moderate: 28.7% of dwellings are rented at a weekly median of $378, giving a gross yield near 2.6% against the $765,000 median, below the national average for regional coastal markets. The vacancy rate of 11.4% is high and signals meaningful oversupply relative to tenant demand, a risk for investors chasing income. Development activity reached 25 applications in the past 12 months, covering demolitions, sheds and pool installations rather than new supply, consistent with an owner-occupier renovation market. Net internal migration averages -15 persons a year, offset by overseas migration of 34, leaving thin natural demand growth. The 15% house price rise from 2024 to 2025 suggests recent capital growth momentum, but the high vacancy and below-average household incomes in the 39.7th percentile nationally point to limits on rental pricing power.

Development Activity

Total DAs

123

Last 12 Months

26

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+73.3%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
12
Renovation / Extension
9
Swimming Pool / Spa
8
Demolition
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
4
Deck / Pergola / Patio
2
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
1
New Dwelling
1

Schools in Mannering Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Mannering Park Public School

ICSEA 945 Primary Government

K-6 · 193 students

Demographics

The median age of 41 is 1.0 year above the national figure, and the age trajectory is clearly aging: the senior share rose 7.5 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 2.1 points. Overseas-born residents make up only 9.3% of the population, which is 12.3 points below the national rate, one of the lowest foreign-born shares in coastal NSW. Ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic, led by English (1,114 residents), Scottish (250) and Irish (244), with very limited linguistic diversity recorded in the Census. University qualifications reach 13.2% of residents, which is 16.9 points below the national average, consistent with the IEO decile 1 classification. The average household size of 2.5 matches the national figure, and 26.0% of families are couples without children, indicating a mix of empty-nesters and working-age couples.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.3%
15-24
11.0%
25-44
23.3%
45-64
27.2%
65+
19.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.0%
2 bed
13.5%
3 bed
50.3%
4+ bed
33.2%

Dwelling Structure

94.6%

Houses

1.2%

Townhouse

2.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 33.4% Mortgage 37.8% Rent 28.7%

The ownership structure leans toward purchase over rental: 33.4% own outright, 37.8% carry a mortgage and 28.7% rent, with outright owners and mortgage holders together at 71.2% of dwellings, higher than the national norm. Separate houses dominate at 94.6%, with semi-detached at 1.2% and apartments at 2.4%, making Mannering Park among the most detached-dominant suburbs on the Central Coast. Three-bedroom homes are the plurality at 50.3%, followed by 4-plus bedrooms at 33.2%, reflecting a family-oriented housing stock. Prices moved from $720,000 in 2024 to $828,000 in 2025, a 15% rise, before the current median settled at $765,000 on a PSI-derived measure. Rent-to-income at 27.2% remains below the 30% stress threshold, keeping the market accessible for renters despite limited stock diversity.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,625

Rent / wk

$378

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$653

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

11.4%

Unoccupied

123

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.0%

Community Profile

Ancestry

English
1,114
Scottish
250
Irish
244
Ancestry NS
128
Other
122
Italian
73

Household Composition

26.0%

Couples, no children

2,048

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare is the dominant industry at 20.7% of employed residents (125 workers), followed by Construction at 12.9% (78 workers) and Education at 9.0% (54 workers), a pattern typical of outer coastal suburbs serving local services rather than exporting skilled labour. Labourers are the largest occupation group at 170 workers, ahead of Community and Personal service workers (148), Clerical and Admin (112) and Sales (110), with Professionals at just 108. The unemployment rate of 6.2% is above the national average, and the participation rate of 48.2% is low, with 829 residents not in the labour force, likely reflecting the aging population trajectory and early retirees. Real income growth of 16.1% over the decade is a positive signal, but household weekly income of $1,391 still sits in the 39.7th percentile nationally, confirming the workforce is concentrated in lower-to-middle wage roles. The IRSD decile of 3 and IRSAD decile of 2 both place the suburb in the lower quartile of socioeconomic advantage nationally.

Unemployment

4.2%

Labour Force

4,742

Unemployed

197

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
3
Economic resources
4
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

59.1%

Part-time

34.7%

Participation

48.2%

Employed

931

Occupations

Labourers 170
Community/Personal 148
Clerical/Admin 112
Sales 110
Professionals 108
Machinery/Drivers 96
Managers 93

Top Industries

Healthcare 20.7%
Construction 12.9%
Education 9.0%
Retail 7.8%
Manufacturing 7.5%

University

13.2%

Postgraduate

1.8%

Born Overseas

9.3%

Dwellings

956

Transport to Work

Car dependency is extreme: 91.8% of residents drive to work, while only 0.7% use public transport, one of the lowest public transit shares compared to the national average for NSW coastal suburbs. This reflects the suburb's distance from rail infrastructure and the sparse service network on the Central Coast fringe. No schools are recorded inside the Mannering Park boundary in this dataset, so families depend on nearby centres. The IRSAD decile of 2 places the suburb in the bottom quintile nationally for overall advantage, and the IEO decile of 1 signals the lowest tier for education and occupation. Volunteering reaches 9.3% of residents, and 8.6% of the population (210 people) need daily assistance, a rate that is above average and consistent with the aging demographic. Housing stress indicators are contained: mortgage-to-income at 27.0% and rent-to-income at 27.2% both remain below the 30% threshold, leaving most households with reasonable financial headroom.

Drive

91.8%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

1.7%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.54%/yr

(+60 people/yr)

Established

Annual population growth runs at 0.54%, adding around 60 persons a year, which is modest but consistent with the established coastal suburb profile. The 10-year population change of 8.9% shows steady rather than rapid expansion. Medium forecasts project the broader SA2 population rising from approximately 11,084 in 2025 to 11,598 by 2031, a continuation of the current pace. Internal migration runs at a net -15 persons per year while overseas migration contributes +34, so growth is sustained by international arrivals offsetting domestic outflow. The gentrification score of 43 with a stage of 'early signs' suggests some upward pressure on property values and demographics, but affordability has remained broadly stable, moving from 62.5% in 2011 to 64.0% in 2021, indicating housing costs have kept pace with incomes rather than surging ahead. The population trajectory is aging, not expanding, because the senior share has risen 7.5 points over the decade.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+34

Net Internal / yr

-15

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Mannering Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 19%
Household Income
Bottom 40%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Bottom 39%
Renters
Top 30%
Uni Educated
Bottom 13%
Public Transport
Bottom 8%
Born Overseas
Bottom 26%
Density
Top 21%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Mannering Park a good suburb to live in?

Mannering Park suits buyers seeking affordable detached housing on the Central Coast. The median house price is $765,000, and mortgage-to-income sits at 27.0%, below the 30% stress threshold. Trade-offs include an IRSAD decile of 2, placing it in the bottom quintile nationally for socioeconomic advantage, and very limited public transport with 91.8% of residents driving to work.

What is the median house price in Mannering Park?

The median house price is $765,000 based on 2024-2025 PSI-derived data. Prices rose 15% from $720,000 in 2024 to $828,000 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $378 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,625, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 27.0%.

What schools are in Mannering Park?

No schools are recorded inside the Mannering Park boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in nearby Central Coast suburbs. University qualifications in the area reach 13.2%, which is 16.9 points below the national average, consistent with the suburb's IEO decile 1 classification for education and occupation advantage.

Is Mannering Park safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Mannering Park in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the IRSD decile of 3 places the suburb in the lower quartile nationally for relative disadvantage, and the unemployment rate of 6.2% is above the national average, both factors associated with elevated crime risk in comparable coastal areas.

Is Mannering Park good for property investment?

The 15% house price rise from 2024 to 2025 shows recent capital growth, but the 11.4% vacancy rate signals meaningful rental oversupply. Weekly rent of $378 against a $765,000 median produces a gross yield near 2.6%, below the average for regional coastal markets. Net internal migration of -15 per year limits organic demand growth.

How is Mannering Park's population changing?

Population growth runs at 0.54% annually, adding about 60 persons per year. The 10-year population change is 8.9%. The trajectory is aging, with the senior share rising 7.5 points over the decade while the working-age share fell 2.1 points. Overseas migration of 34 per year offsets net internal outflow of 15.

How much development is happening in Mannering Park?

There were 25 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, covering demolitions, sheds, swimming pools and new structure erections. Activity reflects owner-occupier upgrades rather than new supply, consistent with the suburb's 94.6% separate-house stock and 8.9% population growth over 10 years.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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