NSW 2323 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Metford

Detached houses make up 84.2% of dwellings here, yet 38.5% of residents rent, an unusual pairing that defines this Hunter Valley pocket. The median house price of $681,000 sits well below Sydney levels, and household income lands in the 46.3rd percentile nationally, so affordability rather than prestige drives demand. The median age of 35 is 5.0 years below the national figure, a young profile that reflects family buyers priced out of larger Hunter centres. SEIFA scores run mid-range, with IRSAD at decile 4 and IER at decile 5, while university qualifications reach just 15.9%, 14.2 points below national.

Metford urban fabric map

Population

4,707

Median Age

35.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,484/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

20

Median House

$681K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

2.42 km²· 1,944.6 people/km²· Family income $1,751/wk

The $681,000 median house price is the main draw, having risen 7.5% from $660,500 in 2024 to $710,000 in 2025, a pace that still leaves Metford far cheaper than Sydney. The stock suits families because 84.2% are separate houses and only 3.0% apartments, with three-bedroom homes at 52.5% and four-plus-bedroom homes at 35.1%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,625, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.3%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold despite incomes in the 46.3rd percentile. That gap between modest prices and manageable repayments explains why mortgage holders (37.2%) outnumber outright owners (24.3%): the market is built around recent, leveraged family buyers rather than established debt-free residents.

For Buyers

The $681,000 median house price is the main draw, having risen 7.5% from $660,500 in 2024 to $710,000 in 2025, a pace that still leaves Metford far cheaper than Sydney. The stock suits families because 84.2% are separate houses and only 3.0% apartments, with three-bedroom homes at 52.5% and four-plus-bedroom homes at 35.1%. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,625, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.3%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold despite incomes in the 46.3rd percentile. That gap between modest prices and manageable repayments explains why mortgage holders (37.2%) outnumber outright owners (24.3%): the market is built around recent, leveraged family buyers rather than established debt-free residents.

For Investors

A 38.5% renter share and weekly rent of $350 give landlords a steady tenant base, and against the $681,000 median that implies a gross yield near 2.7%, higher than premium Sydney suburbs deliver. The 4.0% vacancy rate points to balanced supply rather than glut. Demand support is thin on paper: net overseas migration adds 72 residents a year while internal migration removes 80, leaving overseas arrivals as the primary driver. Development is modest at 19 applications in 12 months, mostly secondary dwellings and alterations rather than new estates, so existing stock holds its scarcity. With rent growth of 37.3% over the period against population growth of just 0.38% annually, the case rests more on yield and rent escalation than on volume-driven capital gains.

Development Activity

Total DAs

103

Last 12 Months

20

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-4.8%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
10
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
7
Demolition
7
Swimming Pool / Spa
4
Garage / Carport / Shed
4
Deck / Pergola / Patio
2
Change of Use
2
Subdivision
2

Schools in Metford iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Maitland Christian School

ICSEA 1047 Combined Independent

K-12 · 832 students

Metford Public School

ICSEA 887 Primary Government

K-6 · 265 students

Demographics

The median age of 35 is 5.0 years below the national figure, a young skew that fits the family-buyer profile, with couples raising children (1,378 families) outnumbering couples without children (981, or 26.2%). Only 10.1% of residents were born overseas, which is 11.5 points below national, and ancestry is strongly Anglo-Celtic, led by English (1,993), Irish (466) and Scottish (439). Non-English languages are marginal, with Cantonese (13), Samoan (13) and Mandarin (12) the most common. University qualifications sit at 15.9%, 14.2 points below national, consistent with a workforce weighted toward trades and personal services rather than knowledge sectors. Average household size is 2.6, just 0.1 above national, reflecting the prevalence of family households.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.1%
15-24
13.2%
25-44
28.4%
45-64
24.5%
65+
13.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.9%
2 bed
9.5%
3 bed
52.5%
4+ bed
35.1%

Dwelling Structure

84.2%

Houses

12.7%

Townhouse

3.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 24.3% Mortgage 37.2% Rent 38.5%

Tenure leans toward debt rather than outright ownership: 37.2% carry a mortgage, 38.5% rent and only 24.3% own outright, the inverse of wealthier markets where outright owners dominate. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 84.2%, with semi-detached at 12.7% and apartments a token 3.0%, so nearly every transaction is a standalone house. Three-bedroom homes account for 52.5% and four-plus-bedroom homes 35.1%, leaving small dwellings scarce. The median house price climbed from $660,500 to $710,000 across 2024-2025, a 7.5% one-year move. Both mortgage-to-income at 25.3% and rent-to-income at 23.6% stay below the 30% stress line, a rare combination that signals genuine affordability relative to the 46.3rd-percentile incomes of residents.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,625

Rent / wk

$350

HH Size

2.6

Personal Income / wk

$731

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.0%

Unoccupied

73

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.3%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Canton
13
Samoan
13
Mandarin
12

Ancestry

English
1,993
Irish
466
Scottish
439
Other
298
Ancestry NS
242
German
184

Household Composition

26.2%

Couples, no children

3,742

Total families

Economy & Employment

The workforce is anchored by Healthcare at 25.3% (329 workers), a far higher concentration than most suburbs, followed by Construction at 9.0%, Manufacturing at 8.8%, Retail at 8.6% and Education at 8.5%. By occupation, Community and Personal Service workers (325) and Labourers (323) lead, ahead of Clerical staff (262) and Professionals (256), a blue-collar and service tilt that matches the 15.9% university rate. Unemployment runs at 7.5%, above national norms, and participation is modest at 57.3% with 1,250 residents not in the labour force. The mid-range SEIFA reading fits this: IEO sits at decile 3 for education and occupation, below the IER score of decile 5 for economic resources, because steady trade incomes lift resources above what qualifications alone would predict.

Unemployment

3.8%

Labour Force

9,263

Unemployed

354

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
4
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
5
Education & occupation
3

Full-time

65.2%

Part-time

27.3%

Participation

57.3%

Employed

1,996

Occupations

Community/Personal 325
Labourers 323
Clerical/Admin 262
Professionals 256
Machinery/Drivers 224
Sales 212
Managers 169

Top Industries

Healthcare 25.3%
Construction 9.0%
Manufacturing 8.8%
Retail 8.6%
Education 8.5%

University

15.9%

Postgraduate

2.8%

Born Overseas

10.1%

Dwellings

1,752

Transport to Work

Car dependence is near total, with 91.6% driving to work and only 1.2% using public transport and 2.1% walking or cycling, well above the national reliance on cars and a practical reality of an outer Hunter location. No schools are recorded inside the 2.42 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in neighbouring suburbs, a trade-off for the lower house prices. The suburb scores decile 4 on IRSAD and decile 4 on IRSD, mid-range tiers that place it below the national midpoint for advantage. Volunteering runs at 10.4% and 8.2% of residents (365 people) need daily assistance, slightly elevated and consistent with the large Healthcare employment base serving an aging population.

Drive

91.6%

Public Transport

1.2%

Walk / Cycle

2.1%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.38%/yr

(+69 people/yr)

Established

Metford is an established, slow-growth suburb, with annual population growth of just 0.38% and a 10-year change of 4.4%, modest expansion rather than a boom. The trajectory is aging: the senior share rose 4.4 points while the working-age share fell 1.3 points and the young share dropped 2.8 points over the decade. Overseas migration is the only positive driver at 72 residents a year, offset by net internal outflow of 80. The gentrification stage reads not gentrifying, with a score of 17, so no upward reclassification is underway. Affordability held roughly flat, moving from 45.1% in 2011 to 45.9% in 2021, while real incomes grew 9.8%, a sign the suburb is consolidating rather than transforming.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+72

Net Internal / yr

-80

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Metford compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 12%
Household Income
Bottom 46%
Rent Level
Top 28%
Apartments
Bottom 44%
Renters
Top 17%
Uni Educated
Bottom 22%
Public Transport
Bottom 20%
Born Overseas
Bottom 30%
Density
Top 8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Metford a good suburb to live in?

Metford suits family buyers seeking value, with a median house price of $681,000 and 84.2% detached houses. Affordability is genuine: mortgage-to-income sits at 25.3%, below the 30% stress line. SEIFA scores are mid-range at decile 4 on IRSAD, and the median age of 35 is 5.0 years below national, a young, family-oriented profile.

What is the median house price in Metford?

The median house price is $681,000, well below Sydney levels. Prices rose 7.5% from $660,500 in 2024 to $710,000 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $350 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,625, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 25.3%, comfortably below the stress threshold.

What schools are in Metford?

No schools are recorded inside the 2.42 km2 Metford boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The resident profile is young, with a median age of 35, which is 5.0 years below the national figure, and university qualifications at 15.9%.

Is Metford safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Metford in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 4 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, a mid-range tier, and 8.2% of its residents need daily assistance, figures consistent with an average working-family area rather than a high-disadvantage one.

Is Metford good for property investment?

Rent of $350 a week against the $681,000 median gives a gross yield near 2.7%, higher than premium Sydney suburbs, and the 4.0% vacancy rate signals balanced supply. Rent grew 37.3% over the period, though population growth of 0.38% annually means returns lean on yield more than rapid capital gains.

How is Metford's population changing?

Population growth is 0.38% annually with a 4.4% rise over 10 years, slow and established. The profile is aging, with the senior share up 4.4 points and the young share down 2.8 points over the decade. Net overseas migration of 72 a year is the main driver, offset by internal outflow of 80.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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