NSW 2068 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Middle Cove

Household income in the 99.7th percentile nationally makes Middle Cove one of Sydney's wealthiest pockets, and the suburb's 1,327 residents occupy just 1.04 square kilometres on the Lower North Shore. The median house price of $3.2 million confirms that positioning, sitting well above the Sydney median and reflecting a stock that is 94.7% separate houses on a peninsula where land is genuinely scarce. The median age of 45 is 5 years above the national figure, and 68.8% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 38.7 percentage points above the national average. Community stability is striking: 87.3% of residents did not move in the five years prior to the Census.

Middle Cove urban fabric map

Population

1,327

Median Age

45.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$4,446/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

20

Median House

$3.2M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

1.04 km²· 1,280.6 people/km²· Family income $4,660/wk

The median house price is $3,200,000, compared with the Sydney-wide figure that is roughly half that, placing Middle Cove firmly in the ultra-premium segment. Prices edged down 1.2% from $3,237,500 in 2024 to $3,200,000 in 2025, a modest correction after years of appreciation. Separate houses dominate at 94.7% of the stock, so buyers rarely settle for apartments or semi-detached options. Over 56% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms, suited to the average household size of 3.0 persons. Monthly mortgage repayments average $4,000, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 20.8%, below the 30% stress threshold despite sky-high prices, because household weekly income averages $4,446, which is in the 99.7th income percentile nationally. Outright owners at 48.8% outnumber mortgage holders at 42.9%, signalling entrenched, long-held wealth.

For Buyers

The median house price is $3,200,000, compared with the Sydney-wide figure that is roughly half that, placing Middle Cove firmly in the ultra-premium segment. Prices edged down 1.2% from $3,237,500 in 2024 to $3,200,000 in 2025, a modest correction after years of appreciation. Separate houses dominate at 94.7% of the stock, so buyers rarely settle for apartments or semi-detached options. Over 56% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms, suited to the average household size of 3.0 persons. Monthly mortgage repayments average $4,000, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 20.8%, below the 30% stress threshold despite sky-high prices, because household weekly income averages $4,446, which is in the 99.7th income percentile nationally. Outright owners at 48.8% outnumber mortgage holders at 42.9%, signalling entrenched, long-held wealth.

For Investors

The investment case for Middle Cove is primarily capital-growth driven rather than yield-based. Weekly rent of $930 against a $3,200,000 median implies a gross yield well below 2%, low by any standard. The renter share is just 8.3%, one of the lowest you will find in any Sydney suburb, reflecting an ownership culture rather than a tenant market. Vacancy sits at 7.1%, elevated for such a tightly held suburb, which suggests the small rental pool experiences periodic softness. Development activity recorded 19 applications in the past 12 months, mostly dwelling houses and alterations rather than new supply. With fewer than 50 residents identified as renters across the whole suburb, landlord competition for tenants is real, and the investment rationale rests entirely on capital preservation and long-term appreciation in a supply-constrained peninsula.

Development Activity

Total DAs

89

Last 12 Months

20

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+17.6%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
24
New Dwelling
5
Subdivision
4
Swimming Pool / Spa
2
Demolition
2

Schools in Middle Cove iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Glenaeon Rudolf Steiner School

ICSEA 1148 Combined Independent

K-12 · 405 students

Demographics

The median age of 45 is 5 years above the national figure, and the household composition reflects that maturity: 531 couples with children plus 224 couples without children out of 1,179 total families, with zero one-parent families recorded. English ancestry leads at 467 residents, followed by Chinese (189), Irish (164) and Scottish (150). Overseas-born residents reach 36.3%, which is 14.7 percentage points above the national average, reflecting a significant international professional class drawn to the North Shore. University qualifications at 68.8% run 38.7 points above the national rate, the highest credential density seen across comparable Sydney suburbs. Community stability is high: the 87.3% who stayed over five years sits far above typical Sydney turnover rates, and volunteering at 22.3% reflects strong civic engagement.

Age Distribution

0-14
19.9%
15-24
13.3%
25-44
15.4%
45-64
33.4%
65+
18.1%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
N/A
2 bed
6.6%
3 bed
37.1%
4+ bed
56.3%

Dwelling Structure

94.7%

Houses

3.7%

Townhouse

1.6%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 48.8% Mortgage 42.9% Rent 8.3%

Tenure is weighted heavily toward ownership: 48.8% own outright and 42.9% carry a mortgage, leaving only 8.3% renting, which is far below the national renter share. The stock is 94.7% separate houses, with semi-detached at 3.7% and apartments at just 1.6%, making Middle Cove more house-dominant than almost any comparable Sydney suburb of similar size. Four-plus bedroom dwellings account for 56.3% of the stock and three-bedroom homes for 37.1%, consistent with large family residences on generous blocks. The median price fell a marginal 1.2% from $3,237,500 in 2024 to $3,200,000 in 2025. Mortgage-to-income at 20.8% and rent-to-income at 20.9% both sit below stress thresholds, because household income averaging $4,446 per week places residents in the top 0.3% nationally.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$4,000

Rent / wk

$930

HH Size

3.0

Personal Income / wk

$1,369

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.1%

Unoccupied

33

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.9%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.8%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Canton
38
Mandarin
27

Ancestry

English
467
Other
222
Chinese
189
Irish
164
Scottish
150
Italian
65

Household Composition

19.0%

Couples, no children

1,179

Total families

Economy & Employment

Professional and technical services lead employment at 25% of workers (129 residents), with Finance second at 15% (77) and Healthcare third at 12.6% (65). Education contributes 8.7% and Public Administration 6.2%, rounding out a knowledge-economy profile. By occupation, Professionals account for 280 workers and Managers for 155, together representing the overwhelming majority of employed residents. The unemployment rate is 3.6%, slightly below state norms, and the full-time employment rate of 66.8% indicates the primary earner model dominates households where weekly family income averages $4,660, higher than household income because some families consolidate multiple high earners. Participation at 59.6% reflects the older resident base, with 362 residents not in the labour force. SEIFA scores are not available at this suburb level, but the 99.7th income percentile positions Middle Cove at the apex of socioeconomic advantage nationally.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

66.8%

Part-time

29.6%

Participation

59.6%

Employed

611

Occupations

Professionals 280
Managers 155
Clerical/Admin 80
Sales 42
Community/Personal 40
Labourers 10
Machinery/Drivers 6

Top Industries

Professional/Tech 25.0%
Finance 15.0%
Healthcare 12.6%
Education 8.7%
Public Admin 6.2%

University

68.8%

Postgraduate

22.2%

Born Overseas

36.3%

Dwellings

436

Transport to Work

Car dependence is high: 80.8% of residents drive to work, compared with lower rates in inner-city suburbs, reflecting the peninsula geography and limited through-routes. Public transport use is 6.4% and walking or cycling accounts for 2.6%. No schools are recorded within the Middle Cove boundary in the dataset, so families depend on schools in adjoining Willoughby, Castlecrag and Lane Cove catchments. Crime data is not available at the suburb level, though as an indirect indicator the 99.7th income percentile and the 87.3% long-term residency rate are consistent with a low-disadvantage, low-turnover environment. Housing stress is absent: both mortgage-to-income at 20.8% and rent-to-income at 20.9% sit well below the 30% threshold. Assisted living needs are low at 3.0% (39 residents), and the density of 1,280.6 persons per square kilometre reflects a spacious, low-rise character.

Drive

80.8%

Public Transport

6.4%

Walk / Cycle

2.6%

Work from Home

N/A

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Middle Cove compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 25%
Household Income
Top 0%
Rent Level
Top 0%
Apartments
Bottom 30%
Renters
Bottom 10%
Uni Educated
Top 1%
Public Transport
Top 25%
Born Overseas
Top 8%
Density
Top 13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Middle Cove a good suburb to live in?

Middle Cove ranks in the 99.7th household income percentile nationally, and 68.8% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 38.7 percentage points above the national average. The 87.3% five-year residency retention rate reflects strong long-term satisfaction. The main trade-off is a $3,200,000 median house price that places ownership far beyond most budgets.

What is the median house price in Middle Cove?

The median house price is $3,200,000 as of 2025, down 1.2% from $3,237,500 in 2024. Monthly mortgage repayments average $4,000. Weekly rent for the small rental pool averages $930. The mortgage-to-income ratio is 20.8%, below the 30% stress threshold, because household weekly income averages $4,446.

What schools are in Middle Cove?

No schools are recorded inside the Middle Cove boundary in this dataset, so families use schools in neighbouring suburbs such as Castlecrag, Willoughby and Lane Cove. The suburb's own education profile is exceptionally high: 68.8% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 38.7 percentage points above the national rate.

Is Middle Cove safe?

Suburb-level crime statistics are not available for Middle Cove in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, household income sits in the 99.7th percentile nationally, housing stress is absent with mortgage-to-income at 20.8%, and only 3.0% of residents (39 people) need daily assistance, all consistent with a low-disadvantage, stable community.

Is Middle Cove good for property investment?

Weekly rent of $930 against a $3,200,000 median implies a gross yield well below 2%, which is low relative to the capital required. The renter share is just 8.3% and vacancy sits at 7.1%, limiting tenant demand. The investment case rests on long-term capital growth in a supply-constrained peninsula rather than rental yield.

How is Middle Cove's population changing?

Middle Cove has a small, stable population of 1,327 residents across 1.04 square kilometres. The 87.3% five-year residency retention rate is well above national mobility averages, signalling minimal turnover. Peninsula geography limits new dwelling supply, with 19 development applications in the past year mostly covering single-dwelling works rather than new units.

What languages are spoken in Middle Cove?

About 36.3% of residents were born overseas, which is 14.7 percentage points above the national figure. English dominates, with Cantonese (38 speakers) and Mandarin (27) the most common non-English languages, reflecting the 189-strong Chinese-ancestry community within the broader 1,327-person population.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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