NSW 2158 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Middle Dural

A household income sitting at the 97.5th percentile nationally, combined with a $3,584,000 median house price and a population of just 1,040, makes Middle Dural one of Sydney's most exclusive rural-residential pockets. Every dwelling is a separate house, with 82.7% containing four or more bedrooms, a concentration that is far above national norms. The median age of 46 runs 6 years above the national figure, and 83% of residents stayed at the same address over the previous year, signalling deep roots and low turnover. Weekly household income of $3,067 reflects a high concentration of managers and professionals.

Middle Dural urban fabric map

Population

1,040

Median Age

46.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$3,067/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

18

Median House

$3.6M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

7.66 km²· 135.8 people/km²· Family income $3,066/wk

The median house price of $3,584,000 places Middle Dural firmly in Sydney's ultra-premium tier, and prices climbed 15.8% from $3,260,000 in 2024 to $3,775,000 in 2025. Every dwelling in the suburb is a separate house, and 82.7% have four or more bedrooms, so buyers are competing for large family homes on generous lots rather than any apartment or semi-detached stock. Monthly mortgage repayments average $3,588, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 27.0%, below the 30% stress threshold despite the high price point, because household incomes are at the 97.5th percentile nationally. Outright owners account for 57.2% of households, well above typical suburban shares, indicating a wealth base built over many years rather than leveraged new arrivals.

For Buyers

The median house price of $3,584,000 places Middle Dural firmly in Sydney's ultra-premium tier, and prices climbed 15.8% from $3,260,000 in 2024 to $3,775,000 in 2025. Every dwelling in the suburb is a separate house, and 82.7% have four or more bedrooms, so buyers are competing for large family homes on generous lots rather than any apartment or semi-detached stock. Monthly mortgage repayments average $3,588, and the mortgage-to-income ratio sits at 27.0%, below the 30% stress threshold despite the high price point, because household incomes are at the 97.5th percentile nationally. Outright owners account for 57.2% of households, well above typical suburban shares, indicating a wealth base built over many years rather than leveraged new arrivals.

For Investors

Rental demand in Middle Dural is thin by design. Only 11.3% of households rent, compared to the national average of around 31%, and weekly rent averages $650. Against a $3,584,000 median, that produces a gross yield well below 1%, making yield-based investment impractical. The vacancy rate of 5.7% is moderate but elevated for such a low-renter suburb. Development activity is subdued at 16 applications in the past 12 months, with recent lodgements including secondary dwellings and sheds rather than new subdivisions. The investment case rests almost entirely on capital growth, which was 15.8% over one year, and on the suburb's structural scarcity of stock relative to demand from high-income buyers.

Development Activity

Total DAs

105

Last 12 Months

18

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-21.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Garage / Carport / Shed
10
Renovation / Extension
8
New Dwelling
7
Demolition
5
Swimming Pool / Spa
4
Commercial / Industrial
4
Hospitality / Food Premises
2
Signage / Advertising
1

Schools in Middle Dural iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Middle Dural Public School

ICSEA 1007 Primary Government

K-6 · 31 students

Demographics

At a median age of 46, residents are 6 years older than the national median, consistent with a well-established owner-occupier base. University qualifications reach 38.4%, which is 8.3 percentage points above the national figure. Only 24.6% of residents were born overseas, close to but slightly above the national rate. The dominant ancestries are English (347 people), Italian (133) and Scottish (112), reflecting an Anglo-European leaning. Average household size of 3.4 is 0.9 above the national average, because the suburb overwhelmingly hosts couples with children (383 families) rather than singles or downsizers. The volunteering rate of 17.3% is high, pointing to a community that is active and civically engaged.

Age Distribution

0-14
18.0%
15-24
14.3%
25-44
17.1%
45-64
28.6%
65+
21.5%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.8%
2 bed
2.5%
3 bed
13.0%
4+ bed
82.7%

Dwelling Structure

100.0%

Houses

N/A

Townhouse

N/A

Apartment

Tenure

Own 57.2% Mortgage 31.4% Rent 11.3%

Middle Dural's housing stock is uniform in one respect: 100% of dwellings are separate houses, with no apartments or semi-detached properties recorded. Within that stock, 82.7% have four or more bedrooms, and just 13% have three bedrooms, making small homes scarce. Tenure leans heavily toward ownership, with 57.2% owning outright and 31.4% on a mortgage, leaving only 11.3% renting. Prices rose from $3,260,000 in 2024 to $3,775,000 in 2025, a 15.8% gain over one year. The median house price is substantially above the NSW state median, placing this suburb in the top tier of the state by price. The low renter share and high outright-ownership rate together reflect a suburb where wealth is long-established rather than leveraged.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$3,588

Rent / wk

$650

HH Size

3.4

Personal Income / wk

$990

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.7%

Unoccupied

18

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

21.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.0%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
16
Italian
15
Mandarin
14

Ancestry

English
347
Italian
133
Scottish
112
Other
106
Irish
104
Lebanese
62

Household Composition

22.8%

Couples, no children

925

Total families

Economy & Employment

Construction leads local industry at 19.1% of employed residents (66 workers), followed by Professional/Technical Services at 13.9% (48 workers) and Education at 11.8% (41 workers). Healthcare employs 10.4% and Manufacturing 6.9%. By occupation, Managers (117) and Professionals (115) account for the two largest groups, consistent with the 97.5th percentile household income. The full-time employment rate is 58.7%, with 273 residents employed full-time and 192 part-time. Unemployment is low at 4.1%, and 301 residents are not in the labour force, which aligns with the older median age of 46 years. The income profile is well above state and national averages, driven by the manager and professional occupation base.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

58.7%

Part-time

37.2%

Participation

56.9%

Employed

465

Occupations

Managers 117
Professionals 115
Clerical/Admin 77
Sales 47
Community/Personal 32
Labourers 28
Machinery/Drivers 17

Top Industries

Construction 19.1%
Professional/Tech 13.9%
Education 11.8%
Healthcare 10.4%
Manufacturing 6.9%

University

38.4%

Postgraduate

9.6%

Born Overseas

24.6%

Dwellings

294

Transport to Work

Middle Dural is almost entirely car-dependent: 87% of residents drive to work and only 1.3% use public transport, reflecting its rural-residential setting at low density of 135.8 people per square kilometre. Walking and cycling account for 5.4% of commuting, likely linked to local access tracks rather than cycle infrastructure. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families rely on institutions in surrounding Hills District suburbs. Crime data is not available for this suburb, limiting direct safety comparisons. The mortgage stress rate sits at 27.0% of income, below the 30% threshold, and rent-to-income is a comfortable 21.2%, lower than national averages. The need-for-assistance rate of 3.5% is low, consistent with a predominantly able-bodied working-age and pre-retiree population.

Drive

87.0%

Public Transport

1.3%

Walk / Cycle

5.4%

Work from Home

N/A

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Middle Dural compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 28%
Household Income
Top 2%
Rent Level
Top 1%
Renters
Bottom 20%
Uni Educated
Top 20%
Public Transport
Bottom 22%
Born Overseas
Top 21%
Density
Top 25%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Middle Dural a good suburb to live in?

Middle Dural suits high-income families seeking large properties at low density. Household income sits in the 97.5th percentile nationally, 83% of residents stay year-on-year, and the median age of 46 signals a settled community. The main trade-offs are a $3,584,000 median house price and near-total car dependency, with just 1.3% using public transport.

What is the median house price in Middle Dural?

The median house price is $3,584,000, well above the NSW state median. Prices rose 15.8% from $3,260,000 in 2024 to $3,775,000 in 2025. Monthly mortgage repayments average $3,588, representing 27.0% of household income, below the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Middle Dural?

No schools are recorded inside the Middle Dural suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring Hills District suburbs. Locally, 38.4% of residents hold university qualifications, which is 8.3 percentage points above the national figure.

Is Middle Dural safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Middle Dural. As an indirect indicator, the suburb is at the 97.5th percentile for household income nationally, and only 3.5% of residents (35 people) need daily assistance. Low-disadvantage suburbs at this income level typically record well below the national average for property and violent crime.

Is Middle Dural good for property investment?

The investment case is primarily capital-growth driven. Weekly rent of $650 against a $3,584,000 median implies a gross yield well below 1%, which is low by any standard. However, prices rose 15.8% in one year, supply is constrained with only 16 DAs lodged in 12 months, and the 11.3% renter share means rental vacancy is limited.

How is Middle Dural's population changing?

Middle Dural has a small population of 1,040 residents across 7.66 square kilometres. Residential turnover is low at 17%, with 83% staying at the same address year-on-year, indicating a stable rather than rapidly growing population. Low development activity and constrained land supply limit future population expansion.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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