NSW 2171 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Middleton Grange

With 73.0% of dwellings carrying four or more bedrooms and 90.6% being separate houses, Middleton Grange reads as a master-planned family enclave rather than a typical Sydney suburb. The median age of 31 is 9 years below the national median, and the average household size of 3.6 is 1.1 above national, a combination driven by the 4,094 couples with children who anchor the population. Overseas-born residents at 42.3% are 20.7 points above national, reflecting a recent migrant wave. The household income sits in the 89.1st percentile nationally, yet 62.1% of homes carry a mortgage, marking this as a leveraged mortgage-belt area where high earnings fund large new homes.

Middleton Grange urban fabric map

Population

7,043

Median Age

31.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,344/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

23

Median House

$1.1M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

2.55 km²· 2,757 people/km²· Family income $2,381/wk

The $1,100,000 median house price reflects new detached stock, with 90.6% separate houses and just 1.1% apartments. Four-plus bedroom homes make up 73.0% of dwellings, so buyers are paying for space rather than location. Recent PSI data shows the median rising from $1,020,000 in 2024 to $1,173,000 in 2025, a 15.0% jump that signals strong demand. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,500, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6%, which stays below the 30% stress threshold because the household income reaches the 89.1st percentile. Only 11.1% own outright while 62.1% carry a mortgage, so this is a market for working families buying their forever home rather than downsizers or cash buyers.

For Buyers

The $1,100,000 median house price reflects new detached stock, with 90.6% separate houses and just 1.1% apartments. Four-plus bedroom homes make up 73.0% of dwellings, so buyers are paying for space rather than location. Recent PSI data shows the median rising from $1,020,000 in 2024 to $1,173,000 in 2025, a 15.0% jump that signals strong demand. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,500, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6%, which stays below the 30% stress threshold because the household income reaches the 89.1st percentile. Only 11.1% own outright while 62.1% carry a mortgage, so this is a market for working families buying their forever home rather than downsizers or cash buyers.

For Investors

Renters make up 26.8% of households, a thin tenant pool below the national average and consistent with an owner-occupier family suburb. Weekly rent of $520 against the $1,100,000 median produces a gross yield near 2.5%, modest but better than inner-city alternatives. The vacancy rate of 2.6% is tight, indicating rental demand outpaces supply, and rent grew 19.3% across the recent period. Net overseas migration of 127 per year supports demand, though internal migration runs at -96, so growth depends on new arrivals rather than locals moving in. Development activity at 22 applications in 12 months, including secondary dwellings, shows ongoing intensification that could expand the rental base over time.

Development Activity

Total DAs

248

Last 12 Months

23

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-42.5%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

New Dwelling
19
Renovation / Extension
19
Swimming Pool / Spa
15
Commercial / Industrial
3
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
2
Subdivision
2
Change of Use
1
Hospitality / Food Premises
1

Schools in Middleton Grange iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Thomas Hassall Anglican College

ICSEA 1083 Combined Independent

K-12 · 1721 students

Middleton Grange Public School

ICSEA 1010 Primary Government

K-6 · 465 students

Demographics

The median age of 31 is 9 years below the national median, and the average household size of 3.6 is 1.1 above national, both pointing to a young family base. Overseas-born residents at 42.3% are 20.7 points above national, with Italian (625) and Indian (366) the largest named ancestries beyond the Other grouping of 3,155. Arabic (304), Hindi (110) and Serbian (101) lead the non-English languages, reflecting Middle Eastern, South Asian and Balkan migration streams. University qualifications at 36.2% are 6.1 points above national. Couples with children (4,094) vastly outnumber couples without (640), confirming a child-rearing demographic rather than the professional singles seen in inner Sydney.

Age Distribution

0-14
30.4%
15-24
11.9%
25-44
34.4%
45-64
17.8%
65+
5.4%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
0.5%
2 bed
1.9%
3 bed
24.5%
4+ bed
73.0%

Dwelling Structure

90.6%

Houses

8.3%

Townhouse

1.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 11.1% Mortgage 62.1% Rent 26.8%

Mortgage holders dominate at 62.1%, far above the national share, while only 11.1% own outright and 26.8% rent, a tenure mix typical of a recently built estate where most owners are still paying down loans. Stock is 90.6% separate houses with 8.3% semi-detached and just 1.1% apartments, and 73.0% of dwellings have four or more bedrooms. The median rose from $1,020,000 in 2024 to $1,173,000 in 2025, a 15.0% gain. Despite the $1,100,000 median, mortgage-to-income at 24.6% and rent-to-income at 22.2% both sit below stress thresholds because household income reaches the 89.1st percentile. The IER decile 10 confirms strong economic resources, consistent with dual-income families in large homes.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,500

Rent / wk

$520

HH Size

3.6

Personal Income / wk

$861

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

2.6%

Unoccupied

50

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
304
Hindi
110
Serbian
101
Italian
58
Khmer
52
Urdu
41

Ancestry

Other
3,155
English
678
Italian
625
Ancestry NS
413
Indian
366
Chinese
332

Household Composition

9.9%

Couples, no children

6,477

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads employment at 16.0% (297 workers), followed by Education at 13.9% (257), Construction and Public Admin tied at 9.6% (178 each), and Professional/Tech at 7.5% (138). Professionals (633) are the largest occupation group, with Clerical/Admin (494) and Managers (372) following, a broader white-collar and service mix than knowledge-economy inner suburbs. Full-time employment runs at 66.2% and unemployment at 5.9% sits slightly above average. The IER decile 10 reflects high household resources, but the IEO decile 6 is more moderate, a gap that shows wealth here comes from family incomes and home equity rather than elite educational credentials. Real income fell 2.8% over the decade, a sign that rapid population growth diluted per-capita gains.

Unemployment

2.7%

Labour Force

10,608

Unemployed

282

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
5
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

66.2%

Part-time

27.9%

Participation

51.7%

Employed

2,383

Occupations

Professionals 633
Clerical/Admin 494
Managers 372
Community/Personal 278
Machinery/Drivers 276
Sales 221
Labourers 193

Top Industries

Healthcare 16.0%
Education 13.9%
Construction 9.6%
Public Admin 9.6%
Professional/Tech 7.5%

University

36.2%

Postgraduate

7.7%

Born Overseas

42.3%

Dwellings

1,885

Transport to Work

Car dependence is the defining trait, with 91.6% driving to work and only 1.8% using public transport and 0.6% walking or cycling, all far below national norms and reflecting the suburb's outer location and limited transit. The average household size of 3.6 is 1.1 above national, so streets are oriented around families with children. The IRSAD decile 7 places the suburb in the upper-middle tier of advantage nationally, and the IER decile 10 confirms strong economic resources. Rent-to-income at 22.2% and mortgage-to-income at 24.6% both sit below stress thresholds, so housing remains affordable relative to the high local incomes despite the $1,100,000 median. The trade-off for space and new homes is heavy reliance on private vehicles.

Drive

91.6%

Public Transport

1.8%

Walk / Cycle

0.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.67%/yr

(+483 people/yr)

Established

Population growth runs at 2.67% per year, classifying as high growth, with a 65.3% increase over 10 years that reflects this suburb's transformation from greenfield land to a built-out estate. Overseas migration at 127 per year is the primary driver, while internal migration at -96 shows net domestic outflow, so new arrivals rather than locals fuel expansion. The trajectory is flagged as aging: the senior share rose 3.2 points while the working-age share fell 2.1 points and the young share fell 1.9 points, consistent with first-wave families maturing in place. The gentrification score of 0 confirms no displacement pressure, and affordability held steady at 65.0% versus 65.1% a decade earlier, so the income-to-price balance has not deteriorated despite rapid growth.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+127

Net Internal / yr

-96

0

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Middleton Grange compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 8%
Household Income
Top 11%
Rent Level
Top 4%
Apartments
Bottom 23%
Renters
Top 34%
Uni Educated
Top 23%
Public Transport
Bottom 31%
Born Overseas
Top 5%
Density
Top 4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Middleton Grange a good suburb to live in?

Middleton Grange suits families wanting space, with 90.6% separate houses and 73.0% holding four or more bedrooms. The IRSAD decile 7 places it in the upper-middle advantage tier nationally, and household income reaches the 89.1st percentile. The main trade-off is car dependence, with 91.6% driving and only 1.8% using public transport.

What is the median house price in Middleton Grange?

The median house price is $1,100,000, with PSI data showing a rise from $1,020,000 in 2024 to $1,173,000 in 2025, a 15.0% increase. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,500 and weekly rent is $520, giving a gross yield near 2.5%.

What schools are in Middleton Grange?

School-level data is not available in this dataset for Middleton Grange. Education is a major local employer at 13.9% of workers (257 people), and with 4,094 couples with children and a median age of 31, schooling demand is strong. Buyers should check current catchments directly with the NSW Department of Education.

Is Middleton Grange safe?

Verified crime statistics are not available in this dataset for Middleton Grange. The suburb sits in IRSAD decile 7 and IER decile 10, both indicating upper-middle to high economic resources, which typically correlates with lower social disadvantage. Residents should consult NSW BOCSAR for current local offence rates.

Is Middleton Grange good for property investment?

Renters make up 26.8% of households and weekly rent of $520 on the $1,100,000 median gives a gross yield near 2.5%. The vacancy rate of 2.6% is tight and rent grew 19.3%, supporting income. However, capital growth depends on the 2.67% annual population rise and 127 overseas migrants per year, with internal migration at -96.

How is Middleton Grange's population changing?

Population grows at 2.67% per year, a 65.3% increase over 10 years as the estate built out. Overseas migration at 127 per year drives growth while internal migration runs at -96. The trajectory is aging, with the senior share up 3.2 points and the young share down 1.9 points as first-wave families mature.

What languages are spoken in Middleton Grange?

Overseas-born residents make up 42.3% of the population, 20.7 points above national. The top non-English languages are Arabic (304 speakers), Hindi (110) and Serbian (101), followed by Italian (58) and Khmer (52), reflecting Middle Eastern, South Asian and Balkan migration.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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