NSW 2567 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Narellan

Population growth of 66.1% over 10 years puts Narellan above the typical NSW suburban expansion rate, and household income in the 59.7th percentile nationally places it in the middle-income tier. Detached houses account for 90.7% of stock, a proportion higher than most comparable growth corridors. Construction and healthcare together employ 31% of working residents. Rent grew 39.8% over the decade, significantly outpacing income growth of 16.2%.

Narellan urban fabric map

Population

3,358

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,706/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

48

Median House

$985K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

3.99 km²· 841.4 people/km²· Family income $1,981/wk

The median house price reached $985,000 in 2024-2025, up 7.2% from $932,500, with the 2025 data point at $1,000,000. Separate houses make up 90.7% of stock, so buyers compete for a single dominant dwelling type. Three-bedroom homes hold 51.9% of stock and 4-plus bedroom homes 39.2%, skewing toward family-sized properties. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,037, and the mortgage-to-income ratio at 27.6% stays below the 30% stress threshold. Outright owners (28.9%) and mortgage holders (33.5%) together hold majority tenure against a 37.6% renter share.

For Buyers

The median house price reached $985,000 in 2024-2025, up 7.2% from $932,500, with the 2025 data point at $1,000,000. Separate houses make up 90.7% of stock, so buyers compete for a single dominant dwelling type. Three-bedroom homes hold 51.9% of stock and 4-plus bedroom homes 39.2%, skewing toward family-sized properties. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,037, and the mortgage-to-income ratio at 27.6% stays below the 30% stress threshold. Outright owners (28.9%) and mortgage holders (33.5%) together hold majority tenure against a 37.6% renter share.

For Investors

A 37.6% renter share against weekly rent of $430 gives landlords a broad tenant base. The vacancy rate at 4.1% is above the sub-3% tight-market threshold, so supply has kept partial pace with demand. Overseas migration adds a net 71 residents per year and internal migration contributes 13, together driving 432 new residents annually at 2.88% growth, well above the national average. Medium forecasts project the population reaching 17,852 by 2031 from 14,984 in 2025, a 19.1% rise supporting medium-term rental and capital demand.

Development Activity

Total DAs

254

Last 12 Months

48

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-7.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
34
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
17
Commercial / Industrial
11
Change of Use
8
Demolition
7
Swimming Pool / Spa
6
New Dwelling
5
Signage / Advertising
4

Schools in Narellan iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Elizabeth Macarthur High School

ICSEA 1014 Secondary Government

7-12 · 1400 students

Narellan Public School

ICSEA 969 Primary Government

K-6 · 291 students

Demographics

The median age of 36 is 4 years below the national figure, reflecting a family-forming population. Overseas-born residents at 14.3% are 7.3 percentage points below the national average, consistent with the Anglo-leaning ancestry profile: English (1,259), Irish (351) and Scottish (297). University qualifications at 20.5% sit 9.6 points below national, and the occupation mix is broad: Professionals (211), Clerical/Admin (209), Community/Personal (176) and Labourers (170) are nearly equal, pointing to a mixed workforce. Household size of 2.7 is 0.2 above national, consistent with 1,098 couples-with-children families compared to 645 couples without.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.6%
15-24
11.6%
25-44
28.7%
45-64
23.8%
65+
15.3%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.2%
2 bed
6.8%
3 bed
51.9%
4+ bed
39.2%

Dwelling Structure

90.7%

Houses

8.6%

Townhouse

0.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 28.9% Mortgage 33.5% Rent 37.6%

Separate houses dominate at 90.7%, well above the typical suburban average, with semi-detached at 8.6% and apartments at just 0.7%. The median price rose from $932,500 in 2024 to $1,000,000 in 2025, a 7.2% CAGR. Three-bedroom homes account for 51.9% and 4-plus bedroom homes for 39.2%, so the vast majority of stock is family-sized. Tenure splits roughly into thirds: 37.6% rent, 33.5% carry a mortgage and 28.9% own outright. Rent-to-income at 25.2% and mortgage-to-income at 27.6% both remain below the 30% stress threshold despite a decade-long 39.8% rent increase.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,037

Rent / wk

$430

HH Size

2.7

Personal Income / wk

$768

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.1%

Unoccupied

51

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
19

Ancestry

English
1,259
Irish
351
Scottish
297
Other
293
Italian
195
Ancestry NS
152

Household Composition

22.9%

Couples, no children

2,818

Total families

Economy & Employment

Construction leads employment at 16.1% (150 workers), followed by Healthcare 14.9% (139) and Education 12.6% (117), then Retail 8.8% and Manufacturing 7.1%. The SEIFA profile shows IRSD and IRSAD each at decile 7 nationally, while the IER reaches decile 9, the second highest resource tier, reflecting strong household assets. The IEO sits at decile 6, below the IER because the trade-heavy workforce pulls occupational scores down. Unemployment at 4.4% is above most decile 7+ benchmarks, and the full-time employment rate is 67.4%. Real income growth of 16.2% over the decade lagged the 39.8% rent increase, compressing disposable income for renters.

Unemployment

2.4%

Labour Force

9,151

Unemployed

223

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
7
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
9
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

67.4%

Part-time

28.2%

Participation

52.6%

Employed

1,339

Occupations

Professionals 211
Clerical/Admin 209
Community/Personal 176
Labourers 170
Machinery/Drivers 169
Managers 160
Sales 141

Top Industries

Construction 16.1%
Healthcare 14.9%
Education 12.6%
Retail 8.8%
Manufacturing 7.1%

University

20.5%

Postgraduate

5.2%

Born Overseas

14.3%

Dwellings

1,198

Transport to Work

Car use at 91.2% is well above the national average, with public transport at only 1.7% and walking or cycling at 2.8%, reflecting an outer metropolitan location. The IRSAD decile of 7 places Narellan in the upper-middle advantage bracket nationally, and 7.7% of residents (247 people) need daily assistance, near the national baseline. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary, so families use institutions in Camden and Narellan Vale. Volunteering runs at 9.1% and household composition is family-centric: 1,098 couples with children vs 645 without, reinforcing the suburb's role as a family residential precinct.

Drive

91.2%

Public Transport

1.7%

Walk / Cycle

2.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.88%/yr

(+432 people/yr)

Established

Narellan grew 66.1% over ten years, above the state average for established outer-suburban areas. Annual growth of 2.88% adds 432 residents per year, with overseas migration the primary driver at a net 71 per year, above the national suburban median, supplemented by 13 internal migrants. Population rose from 14,557 in 2023 to 14,984 in 2025, and medium forecasts reach 17,852 by 2031. The gentrification score of 15 classifies the suburb as not gentrifying, consistent with its middle-income owner-occupier base. Rent growth accelerating from 23% to 39% signals demand outpacing supply.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+71

Net Internal / yr

+13

15

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Accelerating: 23% → 39%

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Narellan compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 16%
Household Income
Top 40%
Rent Level
Top 11%
Apartments
Bottom 15%
Renters
Top 18%
Uni Educated
Bottom 39%
Public Transport
Bottom 29%
Born Overseas
Top 50%
Density
Top 17%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Narellan a good suburb to live in?

Narellan scores decile 7 on IRSAD and IRSD, placing it in the upper-middle advantage bracket nationally. Household income sits in the 59.7th percentile, and mortgage and rent stress ratios of 27.6% and 25.2% respectively remain below the 30% threshold. The trade-off is heavy car dependence, with 91.2% of residents commuting by vehicle and public transport covering only 1.7% of trips.

What is the median house price in Narellan?

The median house price reached $985,000 in the 2024-2025 period, rising from $932,500 in 2024 to $1,000,000 in 2025, a 7.2% CAGR. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,037 and weekly rent averages $430. Separate houses make up 90.7% of stock, so virtually all transactions involve detached dwellings.

What schools are in Narellan?

No schools are recorded within the Narellan suburb boundary in this dataset. Families typically draw on schools in the broader Camden local government area, which includes Narellan Vale and Camden town centre. University qualifications among residents reach 20.5%, which is 9.6 percentage points below the national average.

Is Narellan safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Narellan in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 7 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, in the upper-middle tier nationally, and only 7.7% of its 3,358 residents need daily assistance. These socioeconomic markers are consistent with a mid-to-low disadvantage suburban environment.

Is Narellan good for property investment?

The investment case rests on strong population growth: 66.1% over ten years, with annual growth of 2.88% driven by overseas migration of 71 net residents per year. Weekly rent of $430 against a $985,000 median implies a gross yield near 2.3%. The vacancy rate of 4.1% is above tight-market thresholds, but medium forecasts project the population reaching 17,852 by 2031 from 14,984 in 2025, supporting sustained demand.

How is Narellan's population changing?

Narellan grew 66.1% over the past decade, reaching 14,984 residents in 2025 from a lower base. Annual growth runs at 2.88%, adding about 432 residents per year. Overseas migration is the primary driver at 71 net per year, with internal migration contributing 13. Medium-scenario forecasts project 17,852 residents by 2031. The suburb is classified as high-growth and the young median age of 36, four years below national, sustains household formation demand.

How much development activity is there in Narellan?

There were 44 development applications lodged in the past 12 months. Recent applications include residential accommodation, business premises alterations and a change-of-use application, reflecting a mix of residential infill and commercial activity. This moderate pipeline is consistent with an established suburb adding density rather than greenfield expansion.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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