NSW 2155 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

North Kellyville

North Kellyville's standout feature is its speed of change: population rose 904.7% over 10 years and the medium path reaches 29,363 by 2031. The suburb has 17,401 residents, a median age of 33, 7 years below the national benchmark, and household income in the 97.7 percentile. Compared with Kellyville and Rouse Hill, it feels newer and more family estate focused because 82.6% of homes are separate houses and 78.1% have 4 or more bedrooms.

North Kellyville urban fabric map

Population

17,401

Median Age

33.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$3,120/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

162

Median House

$1.4M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

8.07 km²· 2,156 people/km²· Family income $3,206/wk

Homebuyers are paying for new large-format housing rather than scarcity alone: the median house price is $1,350,000, while the 2025 price series peaks at $1,477,500 after an 18.4% lift from 2024. The suburb suits larger households because 78.1% of dwellings have 4 or more bedrooms and 82.6% are separate houses, much higher than apartment living at 14.4%. Mortgage payments absorb 24.1% of income, below stress settings, but 58.3% of homes carry a mortgage, so rate sensitivity is real.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are paying for new large-format housing rather than scarcity alone: the median house price is $1,350,000, while the 2025 price series peaks at $1,477,500 after an 18.4% lift from 2024. The suburb suits larger households because 78.1% of dwellings have 4 or more bedrooms and 82.6% are separate houses, much higher than apartment living at 14.4%. Mortgage payments absorb 24.1% of income, below stress settings, but 58.3% of homes carry a mortgage, so rate sensitivity is real.

For Investors

Investors see a tenant pool tied to young families and recent movers rather than a pure apartment market. Renting sits at 28.0%, with weekly rent at $600 and vacancy at 4.4%, which is higher than a tight market and may limit short term pricing power. The upside is demand depth: 153 development applications in 12 months show continuing build-out, while forecast migration averages 804 net internal arrivals and 205 net overseas arrivals a year. That supports leasing because new households keep forming.

Development Activity

Total DAs

1,443

Last 12 Months

162

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-25.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Swimming Pool / Spa
120
New Dwelling
92
Renovation / Extension
54
Commercial / Industrial
47
Subdivision
18
Garage / Carport / Shed
10
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
6
Change of Use
6

Schools in North Kellyville iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Hills Adventist College

ICSEA 1150 Combined Independent

K-12 · 823 students

Australian International Academy, Kellyville Campus

ICSEA 1122 Combined Independent

K-12 · 733 students

North Kellyville Public School

ICSEA 1112 Primary Government

K-6 · 1068 students

Demographics

North Kellyville skews young, educated and internationally connected. The median age is 33, 7 years below the national figure, while university attainment is 55.7%, 25.6 percentage points above national. Overseas-born residents make up 44.5%, above the national share by 22.9 points, and household size is 3.3, 0.8 higher than national. Indian, Chinese, English and Italian ancestry groups are visible because family-sized housing attracts larger households, with Mandarin, Hindi, Punjabi, Arabic and Urdu among major non-English languages.

Age Distribution

0-14
27.6%
15-24
11.4%
25-44
35.4%
45-64
18.8%
65+
6.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
2.2%
2 bed
12.8%
3 bed
6.9%
4+ bed
78.1%

Dwelling Structure

82.6%

Houses

2.9%

Townhouse

14.4%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 13.7% Mortgage 58.3% Rent 28.0%

Housing is dominated by detached family stock, not mixed-density turnover. Separate houses account for 82.6% compared with 14.4% apartments and 2.9% semi-detached, and 78.1% have 4 or more bedrooms. This favours upgrading families because supply is weighted to larger lots and houses. Tenure is mortgage-heavy: 58.3% mortgaged, 13.7% owned outright and 28.0% rented. Prices moved from $1,247,500 in 2024 to $1,477,500 in 2025, up 18.4%, with the latest reading at the peak and 0.0% below it.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$3,250

Rent / wk

$600

HH Size

3.3

Personal Income / wk

$1,212

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.4%

Unoccupied

236

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
533
Hindi
346
Punjabi
260
Arabic
254
Urdu
228
Persian ED
209

Ancestry

Other
4,358
English
3,201
Indian
2,358
Chinese
1,925
Italian
822
Irish
787

Household Composition

14.4%

Couples, no children

15,895

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce is highly white-collar. Healthcare employs 1,001 residents, Professional/Tech 907, Finance 733, Education 674 and Construction 648, while the top occupations are Professionals at 2,896 and Managers at 1,696. Full-time work is strong at 72.4%, unemployment is 4.5% and participation is 66.1%. Advantage is broad rather than narrow because SEIFA ranks IRSD decile 10, IRSAD decile 10, IER decile 10 and IEO decile 9, all well above average.

Unemployment

3.5%

Labour Force

12,756

Unemployed

443

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
10
Disadvantage
10
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
9

Full-time

72.4%

Part-time

23.1%

Participation

66.1%

Employed

7,958

Occupations

Professionals 2,896
Managers 1,696
Clerical/Admin 1,315
Sales 727
Community/Personal 660
Labourers 343
Machinery/Drivers 254

Top Industries

Healthcare 14.7%
Professional/Tech 13.3%
Finance 10.8%
Education 9.9%
Construction 9.5%

University

55.7%

Postgraduate

18.1%

Born Overseas

44.5%

Dwellings

5,067

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-led because 89.1% of commuters drive, compared with 4.6% using public transport and 1.4% walking or cycling, so most households will plan around 2-car routines. Schooling is a strength for families: 3 local schools span ICSEA 1112 to 1150, led by Hills Adventist College at 1150 and North Kellyville Public School with 1,068 enrolments, with Independent and Government options. Socio-economic conditions rank in IRSAD decile 10, above average, supporting amenity and local service demand.

Drive

89.1%

Public Transport

4.6%

Walk / Cycle

1.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+5.85%/yr

(+1,308 people/yr)

High Growth

Growth is the defining investment and planning issue. The forecast trend is 5.85% a year, or 1,308 extra residents annually, with the medium path rising from 22,822 in 2026 to 29,363 in 2031. Migration is led by internal moves, averaging 804 net internal arrivals vs 205 net overseas arrivals a year, so demand is tied to Sydney households seeking larger homes. The shift profile is Rejuvenating, with young share up 3.2 points, senior share down 2.5 points and gentrification scored 0 at the New development stage.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+205

Net Internal / yr

+804

0

Gentrification Signal

New development

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How North Kellyville compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 2%
Rent Level
Top 2%
Apartments
Top 24%
Renters
Top 32%
Uni Educated
Top 6%
Public Transport
Top 37%
Born Overseas
Top 4%
Density
Top 7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is North Kellyville a good suburb to live in?

Yes for households wanting newer family housing and schools. The median age is 33, 82.6% of dwellings are separate houses and 3 local schools sit in the ICSEA 1112 to 1150 range. The trade-off is car dependence, with 89.1% of commuters driving.

What is the median house price in North Kellyville?

The suburb median house price is $1,350,000. The recent price series also shows a 2025 latest median of $1,477,500, up 18.4% from 2024, so buyers should check current listings against both headline and recent-sale evidence.

What schools are in North Kellyville?

North Kellyville has 3 local schools: Hills Adventist College, Australian International Academy Kellyville Campus, and North Kellyville Public School. They span Independent and Government sectors, with ICSEA scores from 1112 to 1150 and enrolments up to 1,068.

Is North Kellyville safe?

Safety needs a street-level check rather than relying on a single suburb-wide rate. Broader socio-economic indicators are strong, with IRSD decile 10 and IRSAD decile 10, and the area has 17,401 residents across 8.07 sq km.

Is North Kellyville good for property investment?

North Kellyville can suit investors seeking growth-led demand. Renting is 28.0%, weekly rent is $600 and vacancy is 4.4%, while 153 development applications in 12 months point to ongoing supply, so rent expectations should be conservative.

How is North Kellyville's population changing?

Population growth is rapid. The 10-year change is 904.7%, and the forecast trend adds 1,308 people a year at 5.85%. The medium path reaches 29,363 residents by 2031, driven mainly by 804 net internal arrivals a year.

What languages are spoken in North Kellyville?

English is used alongside sizeable non-English language groups. Major counted languages include Mandarin with 533 speakers, Hindi 346, Punjabi 260, Arabic 254 and Urdu 228, reflecting 44.5% of residents born overseas.

Is there much development in North Kellyville?

Yes. There were 153 development applications in the past 12 months, including subdivision and new-structure work. That level of activity fits the New development stage and helps explain the 5.85% annual growth outlook.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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