NSW 2570 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Oran Park

Oran Park's standout fact is scale: the growth shift records a 14,345.9% population change over 10 years, while the resident base is still very young at a median age of 30, 10 years below the national benchmark. Compared with older Camden and Narellan, it reads as a masterplanned mortgage-belt suburb because 87.2% of dwellings are separate houses and household income sits in the 89.2 percentile. Overseas-born residents make up 35.4%, 13.8 percentage points above national, adding depth to a suburb built around new families, larger homes and rapid estate delivery.

Oran Park urban fabric map

Population

17,624

Median Age

30.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,349/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

492

Median House

$900K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

13.25 km²· 1,330.3 people/km²· Family income $2,381/wk

Homebuyers are mainly buying space rather than density: 87.2% of homes are separate houses, only 1.1% are apartments and 82.7% have 4 or more bedrooms. The headline median house price is $900,000, with the latest price series at $910,000 in 2025, above the $892,500 point in 2024 by 2.0%. A typical mortgage is $2,626 per month and mortgage costs sit at 25.8% of income, helped by household income in the 89.2 percentile. Compared with inner apartment markets, Oran Park suits buyers who need bedrooms, schools and newer estates, but accept car reliance.

For Buyers

Homebuyers are mainly buying space rather than density: 87.2% of homes are separate houses, only 1.1% are apartments and 82.7% have 4 or more bedrooms. The headline median house price is $900,000, with the latest price series at $910,000 in 2025, above the $892,500 point in 2024 by 2.0%. A typical mortgage is $2,626 per month and mortgage costs sit at 25.8% of income, helped by household income in the 89.2 percentile. Compared with inner apartment markets, Oran Park suits buyers who need bedrooms, schools and newer estates, but accept car reliance.

For Investors

Investor demand is supported by a large rental pool, with 36.6% of households renting and a median rent of $530 per week. The caution is supply: vacancy is 5.0%, higher than the tightest rental markets, and 481 development applications in 12 months point to continuing additions. That matters because new stock can cap rent growth even while population demand is strong. The growth forecast adds 1,448 net internal migrants and 164 net overseas migrants a year on average, so investors should focus on streets, school catchments and product quality rather than scarcity alone.

Development Activity

Total DAs

2,277

Last 12 Months

492

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-5.2%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

New Dwelling
338
Commercial / Industrial
240
Swimming Pool / Spa
89
Renovation / Extension
76
Subdivision
54
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
50
Signage / Advertising
44
Change of Use
44

Schools in Oran Park iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Oran Park Anglican College

ICSEA 1086 Combined Independent

K-12 · 1191 students

St Justin's Catholic Primary School

ICSEA 1051 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 831 students

Barramurra Public School

ICSEA 1044 Primary Government

K-6 · 1182 students

St Benedict's Catholic College

ICSEA 1040 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 1074 students

Oran Park Public School

ICSEA 1027 Primary Government

K-6 · 1407 students

Demographics

Oran Park is younger, larger-household and more internationally connected than the national profile. The median age is 30, 10 years below national, and the average household size is 3.3, 0.8 above national, because couples with children dominate the family base. University attainment is 38.7%, 8.6 percentage points above national, while 35.4% of residents were born overseas, 13.8 points above national. English ancestry records 3,318 people, Indian 1,546 and Italian 1,221; Punjabi, Arabic, Nepali and Hindi add visible language communities.

Age Distribution

0-14
29.9%
15-24
11.0%
25-44
39.6%
45-64
14.2%
65+
5.2%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
3.7%
2 bed
4.8%
3 bed
8.8%
4+ bed
82.7%

Dwelling Structure

87.2%

Houses

11.7%

Townhouse

1.1%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 8.2% Mortgage 55.3% Rent 36.6%

Housing is strongly detached and family-sized compared with apartment-led Sydney suburbs. Separate houses make up 87.2% of stock, semi-detached homes 11.7% and apartments just 1.1%, while 82.7% of dwellings have 4 or more bedrooms. Prices moved from $892,500 in 2024 to $910,000 in 2025, a 2.0% lift, with the 2025 figure also the peak and no peak-to-latest fall. Tenure reflects a new mortgage belt: 55.3% have a mortgage, 8.2% own outright and 36.6% rent. Mortgage-to-income is 25.8%, below stress settings in this profile.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,626

Rent / wk

$530

HH Size

3.3

Personal Income / wk

$1,026

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

5.0%

Unoccupied

269

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

22.6%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

25.8%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
347
Arabic
308
Nepali
248
Hindi
246
Bengali
153
Urdu
138

Ancestry

Other
5,704
English
3,318
Indian
1,546
Italian
1,221
Ancestry NS
968
Irish
764

Household Composition

15.0%

Couples, no children

15,908

Total families

Economy & Employment

Oran Park's workforce is anchored in population-serving industries, with Healthcare at 19.0%, Construction 11.4%, Education 10.5%, Retail 7.7% and Public Admin 7.0%. That mix is logical because a fast-growing family suburb needs schools, clinics, trades and services. Professionals are the largest occupation group at 1,788 people, followed by Clerical/Admin at 1,205 and Managers at 1,028. SEIFA is above average but uneven: IER is decile 10, IRSAD decile 8, IRSD decile 7 and IEO decile 6, suggesting strong household resources are ahead of the education and occupation score. Unemployment is 5.6%.

Unemployment

1.9%

Labour Force

15,192

Unemployed

286

Quarterly Trend

Jun-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
8
Disadvantage
7
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

69.5%

Part-time

24.9%

Participation

62.1%

Employed

7,232

Occupations

Professionals 1,788
Clerical/Admin 1,205
Managers 1,028
Community/Personal 905
Machinery/Drivers 774
Sales 702
Labourers 633

Top Industries

Healthcare 19.0%
Construction 11.4%
Education 10.5%
Retail 7.7%
Public Admin 7.0%

University

38.7%

Postgraduate

11.0%

Born Overseas

35.4%

Dwellings

5,145

Transport to Work

Livability is family-oriented but car-dependent. Six local schools cover Government, Catholic and Independent sectors, with ICSEA scores from 1002 to 1086. Oran Park Anglican College leads at 1086 with 1,191 enrolments, followed by St Justin's Catholic Primary at 1051 and Barramurra Public at 1044, giving families choice across sectors without leaving the suburb. Transport is the trade-off: 90.8% of commuters drive, compared with only 3.3% using public transport and 0.9% walking or cycling. IRSAD decile 8 and IRSD decile 7 sit above average, supporting local amenity demand.

Drive

90.8%

Public Transport

3.3%

Walk / Cycle

0.9%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+6.18%/yr

(+1,588 people/yr)

High Growth

Growth is the defining risk and opportunity. The forecast trend is 6.18% a year, equal to about 1,588 additional people annually, which is higher than mature suburban growth patterns. Migration is led by internal moves, averaging 1,448 net internal migrants a year compared with 164 net overseas migrants. The medium trend continuation scenario reaches 33,501 residents by 2031. The shift profile is Mixed: rent growth is 235.4%, the young share has risen 15.1 points, affordability worsened from 19.6 in 2011 to 51.7 in 2021, and the gentrification score is 0, labelled Not gentrifying.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+164

Net Internal / yr

+1,448

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Oran Park compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 1%
Household Income
Top 11%
Rent Level
Top 4%
Apartments
Bottom 23%
Renters
Top 19%
Uni Educated
Top 20%
Public Transport
Top 50%
Born Overseas
Top 9%
Density
Top 13%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Oran Park a good suburb to live in?

Oran Park suits households wanting newer detached homes, schools and space. The median age is 30, 82.7% of homes have 4 or more bedrooms and there are 6 local schools, but 90.8% of commuters drive, so car access is central.

What is the median house price in Oran Park?

The median house price is $900,000. The short price series shows $892,500 in 2024 and $910,000 in 2025, a 2.0% lift, with the 2025 figure also the recorded peak.

What schools are in Oran Park?

Oran Park has 6 local schools: Oran Park Anglican College, St Justin's Catholic Primary, Barramurra Public, St Benedict's Catholic College, Oran Park Public and Oran Park High. ICSEA scores range from 1002 to 1086.

Is Oran Park safe?

Safety should be assessed street by street rather than assumed from one suburb label. Practical checks include traffic around the 6 school precincts, lighting and local access routes, especially because 90.8% of commuters drive.

Is Oran Park good for property investment?

Oran Park has demand depth, with 36.6% of households renting, median rent at $530 per week and forecast growth of 1,588 people a year. The main caution is supply, with 5.0% vacancy and 481 recent development applications.

How is Oran Park's population changing?

Oran Park is forecast to grow quickly at 6.18% a year, or about 1,588 people annually. The medium scenario reaches 33,501 residents by 2031, driven mainly by 1,448 net internal migrants a year.

What languages are spoken in Oran Park?

Overseas-born residents make up 35.4% of the suburb, 13.8 percentage points above national. The largest listed non-English language groups include Punjabi with 347 speakers, Arabic 308, Nepali 248, Hindi 246 and Bengali 153.

Is there much new development in Oran Park?

Yes. There were 481 development applications in the past 12 months, a high number for a suburb profile. That supports new housing choice, but it can also keep vacancy higher and reduce scarcity for investors.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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