NSW 2529 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Shellharbour

At a median age of 46, Shellharbour runs 6 years above the national figure, making it one of the older resident bases along the Illawarra coast. The median house price reached $1,025,000 in 2024-2025, supported by a population that grew 43.8% over the decade and continues to expand at 2.31% annually, well above the national average. Household income sits at the 52.4th percentile nationally, yet 38.4% of owners hold their property outright, suggesting a long-settled, equity-rich base. The IRSAD and IRSD scores both sit at decile 6, placing Shellharbour in the middle tier for advantage and disadvantage.

Shellharbour urban fabric map

Population

3,520

Median Age

46.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,596/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

42

Median House

$1.0M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

2.44 km²· 1,442.6 people/km²· Family income $2,066/wk

The median house price is $1,025,000, rising from $992,500 in 2024 to $1,100,000 in 2025, a 10.8% gain in one year. Separate houses make up 68.6% of the stock, well above the national apartment-heavy mix in comparable coastal markets. Bedroom distribution skews large, with 34.2% of dwellings having four or more bedrooms and 40.0% having three, suiting families seeking space. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4%, above the 30% stress threshold compared to the household income at the 52.4th national percentile. Outright owners at 38.4% outnumber mortgage holders at 28.0%, indicating a mature, equity-strong ownership base rather than a suburb driven by recent first-home buyers.

For Buyers

The median house price is $1,025,000, rising from $992,500 in 2024 to $1,100,000 in 2025, a 10.8% gain in one year. Separate houses make up 68.6% of the stock, well above the national apartment-heavy mix in comparable coastal markets. Bedroom distribution skews large, with 34.2% of dwellings having four or more bedrooms and 40.0% having three, suiting families seeking space. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4%, above the 30% stress threshold compared to the household income at the 52.4th national percentile. Outright owners at 38.4% outnumber mortgage holders at 28.0%, indicating a mature, equity-strong ownership base rather than a suburb driven by recent first-home buyers.

For Investors

Renters account for 33.6% of households, providing a solid tenant pool, and weekly rent averages $420. The vacancy rate of 7.6% is elevated compared to tighter coastal markets and warrants attention before committing. Development activity is active at 40 applications in the past 12 months, including dual occupancy and subdivision works, reflecting genuine supply appetite. Population growth runs at 2.31% annually, driven by net internal migration of 232 per year and net overseas migration of 81 per year, both positive demand signals. The gentrification score of 41 places Shellharbour in the active stage, with population up 49% since 2011 and sustained internal migration, factors that historically support medium-term price growth above state averages.

Development Activity

Total DAs

223

Last 12 Months

42

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+31.2%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
24
Demolition
17
Swimming Pool / Spa
11
Commercial / Industrial
5
New Dwelling
4
Subdivision
3
Garage / Carport / Shed
3
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
2

Schools in Shellharbour iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Stella Maris Catholic Primary School

ICSEA 1050 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 405 students

Shellharbour Public School

ICSEA 999 Primary Government

K-6 · 368 students

Demographics

The median age of 46 sits 6 years above the national figure, and the trajectory is firmly aging: the senior share rose 5.1 points while the young share fell 4.3 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents reach 15.6%, which is 6.0 points below the national average, reflecting a predominantly locally-born population. Ancestry is dominated by English (1,446 residents), Irish (418) and Scottish (347), with Italian (182) the main non-Anglo-Celtic group. University qualifications stand at 24.9%, which is 5.2 points below the national figure, consistent with the suburb's public administration and healthcare workforce profile. Average household size of 2.5 matches the national figure, and 31.5% of families are couples without children, common in an aging population.

Age Distribution

0-14
15.1%
15-24
12.0%
25-44
20.9%
45-64
30.4%
65+
21.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.6%
2 bed
21.2%
3 bed
40.0%
4+ bed
34.2%

Dwelling Structure

68.6%

Houses

14.8%

Townhouse

15.9%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 38.4% Mortgage 28.0% Rent 33.6%

Tenure is weighted toward ownership: 38.4% own outright and 28.0% carry a mortgage, while 33.6% rent. Outright owners outnumbering renters by a significant margin points to a settled, long-held stock rather than a high-turnover rental market. Separate houses dominate at 68.6%, with apartments at 15.9% and semi-detached at 14.8%, a lower density profile than the NSW state average for coastal suburbs. The median price moved from $992,500 in 2024 to $1,100,000 in 2025, an 10.8% one-year gain. Four-plus bedroom homes account for 34.2% of dwellings, skewing larger than many Sydney-fringe markets. Rent-to-income at 26.3% remains below the 30% stress threshold, meaning tenants are currently less stressed than mortgage holders at 31.4%.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,167

Rent / wk

$420

HH Size

2.5

Personal Income / wk

$741

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.6%

Unoccupied

114

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

26.3%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.4% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Macedon
41
Greek
11

Ancestry

English
1,446
Irish
418
Scottish
347
Other
220
Italian
182
German
157

Household Composition

31.5%

Couples, no children

2,889

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 22.5% of the workforce (242 workers), reflecting the Shellharbour Hospital precinct nearby, and Education follows at 13.6% (146 workers). Construction and Public Administration each account for 10.1% (108 workers each), with Manufacturing at 6.2% (67 workers). By occupation, Professionals (326) and Community/Personal service workers (238) are the two largest groups, consistent with a healthcare-anchored economy. The unemployment rate is 4.3%, slightly above typical coastal averages, and the participation rate of 51.1% is lower than state norms, partly because 1,140 residents are not in the labour force given the older age profile. The IRSAD decile of 6 places Shellharbour in the middle tier for overall advantage, higher than its IEO decile of 4 which reflects lower education and occupation scores.

Unemployment

3.7%

Labour Force

11,638

Unemployed

436

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
6
Disadvantage
6
Economic resources
7
Education & occupation
4

Full-time

58.2%

Part-time

37.5%

Participation

51.1%

Employed

1,462

Occupations

Professionals 326
Community/Personal 238
Clerical/Admin 210
Managers 169
Sales 158
Labourers 137
Machinery/Drivers 126

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.5%
Education 13.6%
Construction 10.1%
Public Admin 10.1%
Manufacturing 6.2%

University

24.9%

Postgraduate

5.1%

Born Overseas

15.6%

Dwellings

1,374

Transport to Work

Transport in Shellharbour is car-dependent: 91.3% of commuters drive, compared to the national average, and only 0.3% use public transport, one of the lowest rates in coastal NSW. Walking or cycling accounts for 3.2% of journeys. No schools are recorded within the suburb boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in surrounding Shellharbour City suburbs. The IRSAD decile of 6 places the suburb in the middle tier for relative advantage nationally. Housing stress among renters is contained, with rent-to-income at 26.3%, lower than the national threshold of 30%. The volunteer rate of 13.3% and 6.1% of residents requiring daily assistance both sit within normal ranges for an aging coastal community with a median age of 46.

Drive

91.3%

Public Transport

0.3%

Walk / Cycle

3.2%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+2.31%/yr

(+485 people/yr)

Established

Population grew 43.8% over the decade and sits at an estimated 20,964 in 2025, with forecasts projecting 24,156 by 2031 under the medium scenario. Annual growth of 2.31% adds around 485 persons per year, above the national average for established coastal suburbs. The primary growth driver is internal migration at a net 232 per year, reinforced by overseas migration of 81 per year. Rent grew 50.0% over the period while real income grew 18.3%, a widening gap that has pushed rent-to-income from 58.8% to 60.6% affordability, classified as stable rather than deteriorating. The gentrification score of 41 in the active stage signals ongoing lifestyle-driven demand rather than speculative pressure, with the suburb drawing working-age arrivals even as the existing resident base ages.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Internal Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+81

Net Internal / yr

+232

41

Gentrification Signal

Active

Population +49% since 2011, Net internal migration +232/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Shellharbour compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 15%
Household Income
Top 48%
Rent Level
Top 13%
Apartments
Top 22%
Renters
Top 23%
Uni Educated
Top 47%
Public Transport
Bottom 1%
Born Overseas
Top 44%
Density
Top 12%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Shellharbour a good suburb to live in?

Shellharbour offers a predominantly house-based stock (68.6% separate houses) with a median age of 46 and strong ownership rates at 38.4% outright. The IRSAD decile of 6 places it in the national middle tier for advantage. Car dependency is high at 91.3% of commuters, which suits residents comfortable with driving rather than public transport.

What is the median house price in Shellharbour?

The median house price is $1,025,000, rising from $992,500 in 2024 to $1,100,000 in 2025, a 10.8% gain. Weekly rent averages $420 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $2,167, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 31.4%, just above the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Shellharbour?

No schools are recorded within the Shellharbour suburb boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in surrounding Shellharbour City suburbs. The local university qualification rate is 24.9%, which is 5.2 points below the national average, reflecting the healthcare and public administration workforce composition.

Is Shellharbour safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Shellharbour in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the IRSD decile of 6 places the suburb in the national middle tier for relative disadvantage, and 6.1% of residents (207 people) need daily assistance. These figures are consistent with a stable, mid-range coastal community rather than a high-disadvantage area.

Is Shellharbour good for property investment?

Rent of $420 per week against a $1,025,000 median implies a gross yield near 2.1%, modest but supported by 2.31% annual population growth and a gentrification score of 41 in the active stage. The vacancy rate of 7.6% is elevated, so investor demand should focus on house stock where the 33.6% renter share provides a solid tenant base. Net internal migration of 232 per year is a positive long-term demand signal.

How is Shellharbour's population changing?

The population reached an estimated 20,964 in 2025, up 43.8% over the decade, and is forecast to reach 24,156 by 2031 at 2.31% annual growth. Internal migration drives the increase at a net 232 per year, reinforced by overseas migration of 81 per year. The existing resident base is aging, with the senior share up 5.1 points over the decade.

How much development is happening in Shellharbour?

There were 40 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including dual occupancy subdivisions and new dwelling construction. This level of activity reflects genuine supply interest, consistent with population growth of 2.31% annually and a gentrification score of 41, which puts the suburb in the active stage of change.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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