NSW 2130 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Summer Hill

A 16.3% vacancy rate across a 100% detached-house stock is the defining tension in Summer Hill, a spread-out NSW locality covering nearly 45 square kilometres with a small resident base. Median house prices sit at $1,200,000 as of 2025, placing buyers in a high-commitment bracket relative to local incomes: household income ranks in the 71.1st percentile nationally, above average but not top-tier, and the mortgage-to-income ratio of 30.9% crosses the standard stress threshold. The suburb carries an aging trajectory with a median age of 43, which is 3 years above the national figure. Development activity is real: 57 applications lodged in 12 months signal ongoing owner investment. Population has grown 14.7% over the past decade, above many comparable rural NSW localities.

Summer Hill urban fabric map

Population

7,288

Median Age

36.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,260/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

65

Median House

$2.5M

12m to Jun 2026 (PSI)

1.2 km²· 6,057.7 people/km²· Family income $3,076/wk

Buyers enter a market of exclusively large detached houses: 51.1% have four or more bedrooms and 27.7% have three, with no apartments or semi-detached dwellings recorded. The median house price reached $1,200,000 in 2025, down 3.6% from the 2024 peak of $1,245,000, giving buyers more negotiating room than a rising market allows. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,550, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 30.9%, above the standard 30% stress threshold despite household incomes at the 71.1st percentile nationally. Tenure splits as 47.5% mortgage holders and 35.0% outright owners, meaning working families rather than debt-free owners dominate recent purchases. Rent-to-income at 15.7% sits well below 30%, so renting here costs proportionally less than buying.

For Buyers

Buyers enter a market of exclusively large detached houses: 51.1% have four or more bedrooms and 27.7% have three, with no apartments or semi-detached dwellings recorded. The median house price reached $1,200,000 in 2025, down 3.6% from the 2024 peak of $1,245,000, giving buyers more negotiating room than a rising market allows. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,550, producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 30.9%, above the standard 30% stress threshold despite household incomes at the 71.1st percentile nationally. Tenure splits as 47.5% mortgage holders and 35.0% outright owners, meaning working families rather than debt-free owners dominate recent purchases. Rent-to-income at 15.7% sits well below 30%, so renting here costs proportionally less than buying.

For Investors

The investment case rests on capital growth rather than yield. Weekly rent of $300 against a $1,200,000 median implies a gross yield below 1.5%, lower than most regional NSW benchmarks, because only 17.5% of dwellings are rented in this owner-occupier-dominated area. The 16.3% vacancy rate confirms rental supply is structurally above tenant demand. Development activity reached 57 applications in the past 12 months, mostly alterations and upgrade works rather than new dwelling supply, so stock dilution is limited. Net internal migration of 117 residents per year is the strongest demand signal, outpacing the overseas contribution of 14 per year, and medium forecasts add roughly 430 residents by 2031. The 3.6% price pullback from the 2024 peak limits near-term capital momentum.

Development Activity

Total DAs

357

Last 12 Months

65

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-12.2%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
79
Demolition
21
Swimming Pool / Spa
9
Commercial / Industrial
5
Change of Use
5
Hospitality / Food Premises
4
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
4
Subdivision
3

Schools in Summer Hill iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Trinity Grammar School

ICSEA 1168 Combined Independent

K-12 · 2296 students

Summer Hill Public School

ICSEA 1167 Primary Government

K-6 · 662 students

St Patrick's Catholic Primary School

ICSEA 1136 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 163 students

Demographics

The median age of 43 is 3 years above the national figure, and the trajectory is aging: the senior share rose 4.3 points while the working-age share fell 2.5 points over the decade. University qualifications at 23.3% are 6.8 percentage points below the national average, consistent with a healthcare and agriculture workforce rather than a knowledge-economy one. Average household size of 3.0 is 0.5 above the national figure, reflecting the family-heavy, large-bedroom stock: 43 of 104 families have dependent children compared to 30 couples without children. Ancestry is predominantly Anglo-Celtic, led by English (51 residents), Irish (12), German (10) and Scottish (8). The volunteering rate of 28.7% is above typical metropolitan levels, indicating civic engagement within a stable rural community.

Age Distribution

0-14
13.8%
15-24
9.8%
25-44
39.8%
45-64
24.2%
65+
12.4%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
18.2%
2 bed
49.3%
3 bed
20.6%
4+ bed
11.9%

Dwelling Structure

19.6%

Houses

17.0%

Townhouse

63.2%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 21.4% Mortgage 28.2% Rent 50.3%

The stock is 100% separate houses, a profile distinct from most NSW suburbs where apartments and semi-detached homes typically account for at least 20% of dwellings. Four-plus bedroom homes make up 51.1%, three-bedroom 27.7% and two-bedroom 21.3%. Tenure divides as 47.5% mortgage, 35.0% owned outright and 17.5% renting, with renters well below the national rental average. The median price fell from $1,245,000 in 2024 to $1,200,000 in 2025, a 3.6% decline. Mortgage-to-income at 30.9% crosses the standard stress threshold, while rent-to-income at 15.7% remains comfortable, meaning buyers face proportionally higher costs than tenants. The 16.3% vacancy rate reflects soft rental demand in a market where ownership dominates by a wide margin.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General (12m to Jun 2026 (PSI))

Mortgage / mo

$2,708

Rent / wkiMedian weekly rent for new bonds (January to March 2026), NSW Rental Bond Board (DCJ). Census 2021 median: $460.

$680

Bond data Mar 2026 · houses $680 · units $678

HH Size

2.1

Personal Income / wk

$1,317

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

10.8%

Unoccupied

378

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

20.4%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.7%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
145
Canton
56
Nepali
46
Greek
40
Italian
39
Arabic
38

Ancestry

English
2,100
Other
1,273
Irish
1,030
Chinese
752
Scottish
743
Italian
449

Household Composition

33.5%

Couples, no children

4,946

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 29.0%, followed by Agriculture at 25.8%, which reflects the rural character of this locality across its 44.99 square kilometre footprint. Wholesale and Other Services each account for 12.9%, with Mining at 9.7%, a sectoral mix that differs substantially from the professional services orientation of metropolitan NSW. By occupation, Managers (17) outnumber Professionals (13), with Labourers at 7, consistent with hands-on rather than knowledge-intensive work. The unemployment rate of 9.6% is above national benchmarks, and the participation rate of 53.1% is low because 34 residents are not in the labour force. The IER economic resources decile of 8 sits notably higher than the IEO education decile of 4, a gap explained by land and asset wealth rather than earned income or formal qualifications.

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Full-time

71.5%

Part-time

23.9%

Participation

66.2%

Employed

3,970

Occupations

Professionals 1,934
Managers 714
Clerical/Admin 543
Community/Personal 281
Sales 252
Labourers 140
Machinery/Drivers 91

Top Industries

Professional/Tech 16.9%
Healthcare 14.5%
Education 13.9%
Public Admin 8.6%
Finance 8.5%

University

63.6%

Postgraduate

20.3%

Born Overseas

33.5%

Dwellings

3,101

Transport to Work

Summer Hill is entirely car-dependent, with 100% of commuters driving and no public transport, walking or cycling recorded, a sharper reliance than the national average where car use typically sits near 65%. This is a practical constraint for households without vehicle access across the locality's 44.99 square kilometre area. SEIFA places Summer Hill at decile 5 on both IRSAD and IRSD, the national median tier for combined advantage and relative disadvantage. The IER decile of 8 signals above-average economic resources. Volunteering at 28.7% is above typical national rates and only 3.7% of residents need daily assistance despite the older median age of 43.

Drive

65.2%

Public Transport

19.7%

Walk / Cycle

11.4%

Work from Home

N/A

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Summer Hill compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 7%
Household Income
Top 13%
Rent Level
Top 8%
Apartments
Top 5%
Renters
Top 9%
Uni Educated
Top 3%
Public Transport
Top 3%
Born Overseas
Top 10%
Density
Top 1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Summer Hill a good suburb to live in?

Summer Hill suits those seeking large detached homes in a rural setting. Every dwelling is a separate house, 51.1% have 4 or more bedrooms, and household income ranks at the 71.1st percentile nationally. The SEIFA IRSAD decile of 5 places it at the national median.

What is the median house price in Summer Hill?

The median house price is $1,200,000 as of 2025, down 3.6% from the 2024 peak of $1,245,000. Monthly mortgage repayments average $2,550, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 30.9%, above the standard stress threshold. Weekly rent averages $300 for the 17.5% of residents who are tenants.

What schools are in Summer Hill?

University qualifications among residents sit at 23.3%, which is 6.8 percentage points below the national average, reflecting the healthcare and agriculture employment base rather than a knowledge-economy workforce.

Is Summer Hill safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Summer Hill at this locality level. As an indirect indicator, the SEIFA IRSD decile of 5 places the area at the national median for relative disadvantage, not in a high-disadvantage band. Only 3.7% of residents need daily assistance, and 84.4% stayed at the same address over the measured period, consistent with a stable community.

Is Summer Hill good for property investment?

Rent of $300 a week against a $1,200,000 median implies a gross yield below 1.5%, lower than most regional NSW investor benchmarks. The 16.3% vacancy rate signals rental supply exceeds tenant demand in a market where only 17.5% of households rent. Net internal migration of 117 per year supports long-run demand, but the 3.6% recent price decline and thin tenant pool limit near-term appeal.

How is Summer Hill's population changing?

Population reached 10,102 in 2025, up 14.7% over the decade, growing at 0.92% annually or about 93 residents per year. Medium forecasts project 10,531 by 2031. Internal migration drives growth at 117 net arrivals per year compared to 14 from overseas. The profile is aging, with the senior share up 4.3 points and the working-age share down 2.5 points over 10 years.

How much development is happening in Summer Hill?

There were 57 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, including dwelling alterations, new structures, balconies, decks and swimming pool installations. Activity focuses on upgrading existing properties rather than adding new dwellings, consistent with an established area growing at 0.92% annually where 35.0% of owners already hold their homes outright.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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