NSW 2120 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Thornleigh

Median house prices jumped 28.2% in a single year in Thornleigh, from $1,253,050 to $1,606,000, one of the sharpest annual gains in Sydney's upper north shore. University attainment at 58.8% runs 28.7 percentage points above the national rate, placing the suburb in SEIFA decile 10 across all four indices. Despite this academic profile, household income sits in only the 94.6th percentile, not the 99th, suggesting many residents are professionals earlier in their careers rather than peak earners, supported by the mortgage-heavy 44.0% share.

Thornleigh urban fabric map

Population

8,898

Median Age

40.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$2,681/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

76

Median House

$1.5M

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

3.87 km²· 2,299.2 people/km²· Family income $3,016/wk

At $1,500,000 median (PSI-derived), Thornleigh is priced below upper north shore suburbs like Wahroonga and Turramurra but above the Sydney-wide median. Detached houses (76.5%) dominate, with 44.4% having 4+ bedrooms and 39.0% with 3 bedrooms. The 15.5% semi-detached share provides a townhouse entry point. Mortgage-to-income at 24.1% is manageable on high household income ($2,681/week). The 28.2% year-on-year price surge from $1,253,050 to $1,606,000 is notable but based on just 2 quarters of data, so buyers should treat it cautiously. Train access (9.1% public transport usage) is better than most suburban peers.

For Buyers

At $1,500,000 median (PSI-derived), Thornleigh is priced below upper north shore suburbs like Wahroonga and Turramurra but above the Sydney-wide median. Detached houses (76.5%) dominate, with 44.4% having 4+ bedrooms and 39.0% with 3 bedrooms. The 15.5% semi-detached share provides a townhouse entry point. Mortgage-to-income at 24.1% is manageable on high household income ($2,681/week). The 28.2% year-on-year price surge from $1,253,050 to $1,606,000 is notable but based on just 2 quarters of data, so buyers should treat it cautiously. Train access (9.1% public transport usage) is better than most suburban peers.

For Investors

Renters occupy 23.8% of dwellings at $530/week, and vacancy at 4.1% is close to the metro norm, slightly above the national equilibrium. With 73 development applications in 12 months, including new dwellings and secondary dwellings (granny flats), the suburb is seeing infill activity. Population grows slowly at 0.41% per year (+82 people), driven by overseas migration of +239/year while internal migration is negative at -86/year. This pattern means tenants tend to be overseas arrivals who stay temporarily before moving to cheaper suburbs. Rent-to-income at 19.8% leaves significant headroom for rental increases without hitting tenant stress.

Development Activity

Total DAs

444

Last 12 Months

76

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+2.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
51
Demolition
25
New Dwelling
15
Swimming Pool / Spa
14
Commercial / Industrial
9
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
8
Signage / Advertising
8
Change of Use
7

Schools in Thornleigh iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Thornleigh West Public School

ICSEA 1142 Primary Government

K-6 · 477 students

Normanhurst West Public School

ICSEA 1136 Primary Government

K-6 · 363 students

Demographics

Chinese ancestry (1,307 residents) is nearly as large as the English group (2,628), making Thornleigh one of the more diverse upper north shore suburbs. Overseas-born residents at 37.1% are 15.5 points above the national average. Mandarin (308 speakers), Cantonese (145), Korean (127), and Arabic (114) are the top non-English languages. University attainment at 58.8% is 28.7 points above the national rate, and the 19.8% volunteering rate nearly doubles the national average. Average household size of 2.9 is above the national median, and couples with children dominate at 48.2% of families, compared to around 35% nationally.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.9%
15-24
12.2%
25-44
24.2%
45-64
27.8%
65+
15.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
4.5%
2 bed
12.1%
3 bed
39.0%
4+ bed
44.4%

Dwelling Structure

76.5%

Houses

15.5%

Townhouse

8.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 32.2% Mortgage 44.0% Rent 23.8%

Owner-occupiers control 76.2% of dwellings, above the national average: 32.2% outright and 44.0% on mortgage. Stock is 76.5% separate houses, 15.5% semi-detached, and 8.0% apartments. Prices jumped from $1,253,050 in 2024 to $1,606,000 in 2025, a 28.2% gain, though the 2-quarter data window makes trend confirmation difficult. Rent at $530/week and rent-to-income at 19.8% indicate affordable renting by Sydney standards. Mortgage-to-income at 24.1% is comfortable. The 78.4% residential stability rate suggests a settled community where most households stay year-on-year, typical of family suburbs with school catchment anchoring.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$2,800

Rent / wk

$530

HH Size

2.9

Personal Income / wk

$1,025

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

4.1%

Unoccupied

126

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

19.8%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.1%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
308
Canton
145
Korean
127
Arabic
114
Hindi
75
Persian ED
61

Ancestry

English
2,628
Other
1,340
Chinese
1,307
Irish
776
Scottish
710
Indian
452

Household Composition

18.8%

Couples, no children

7,830

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare (17.0%), professional/tech services (15.7%), and education (14.2%) are the top three employers, together accounting for 46.9% of the workforce, significantly higher than the national combined share for these sectors. Finance (7.9%) and construction (6.6%) round out the top five. Professionals (1,722) and managers (789) dominate occupations. Unemployment at 4.5% is near the national rate, and full-time employment at 67.3% exceeds the national average. All four SEIFA deciles sit at 10, confirming Thornleigh ranks in the top 10% nationally across every socioeconomic measure.

Unemployment

5.5%

Labour Force

10,813

Unemployed

600

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
10
Disadvantage
10
Economic resources
10
Education & occupation
10

Full-time

67.3%

Part-time

28.2%

Participation

61.3%

Employed

4,120

Occupations

Professionals 1,722
Managers 789
Clerical/Admin 582
Community/Personal 377
Sales 298
Labourers 188
Machinery/Drivers 101

Top Industries

Healthcare 17.0%
Professional/Tech 15.7%
Education 14.2%
Finance 7.9%
Construction 6.6%

University

58.8%

Postgraduate

19.7%

Born Overseas

37.1%

Dwellings

2,973

Transport to Work

Two primary schools serve the area: Thornleigh West Public (ICSEA 1142, 477 students) and Normanhurst West Public (ICSEA 1136, 363 students), both scoring 136+ points above the national benchmark. Public transport usage at 9.1% is among the highest in this batch, reflecting Thornleigh's train station on the T1 North Shore line. The 4.4% walking/cycling rate adds to non-car options. IRSAD decile 10 confirms top-tier socioeconomic advantage. The 19.8% volunteering rate indicates strong community infrastructure and social engagement above the national norm.

Drive

81.7%

Public Transport

9.1%

Walk / Cycle

4.4%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.41%/yr

(+82 people/yr)

Established

Population grows modestly at 0.41% per year (+82 people), projected to reach 20,275 by 2031 from 19,875 in 2025. Overseas migration is strong at +239/year, but internal migration at -86/year partly offsets it. Over the decade, population grew 6.2%, below Sydney's average growth rate. The gentrification score of 10 (not gentrifying) confirms Thornleigh is already established-wealthy rather than transitioning. Real income grew 15.0%, and affordability improved from 57.8% to 54.8% (mortgage-to-median-income), because incomes grew faster than house prices over the longer term, despite the recent 28.2% annual spike.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+239

Net Internal / yr

-86

10

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Strong overseas inflow +239/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Thornleigh compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Top 5%
Rent Level
Top 4%
Apartments
Top 34%
Renters
Top 41%
Uni Educated
Top 5%
Public Transport
Top 15%
Born Overseas
Top 8%
Density
Top 6%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Thornleigh a good suburb to live in?

Thornleigh ranks SEIFA decile 10 across all four indices, placing it in the top 10% of Australian suburbs. Schools score ICSEA 1136+, well above the national benchmark. Train access (9.1% public transport) and high volunteering (19.8%) support a family-focused lifestyle. The main barrier is the $1.5M median price, though mortgage stress at 24.1% is manageable for the 94th-percentile household income.

What is the median house price in Thornleigh?

The median house price is $1,500,000 based on PSI-derived 2024-2025 data. Year-on-year data shows a 28.2% jump from $1,253,050 to $1,606,000, though this is based on just 2 quarters and may reflect sample size effects. Long-term trends are more reliable: household income in the 94.6th percentile supports the price level.

What schools are in Thornleigh?

Two government primary schools serve the suburb: Thornleigh West Public School (ICSEA 1142, 477 students) and Normanhurst West Public School (ICSEA 1136, 363 students). Both score more than 136 points above the national benchmark of 1000, reflecting the suburb's high educational attainment (58.8% university-educated residents).

Is Thornleigh safe?

Crime data is not available at the suburb level in NSW reporting. Proxy indicators are strong: SEIFA decile 10 across all measures, 4.5% unemployment, 78.4% residential stability, and a 76.2% owner-occupation rate. These factors typically correlate with below-average crime rates compared to the state median.

Is Thornleigh good for property investment?

The 28.2% annual price gain is eye-catching but based on limited data. Vacancy at 4.1% is reasonable, and $530/week rent offers income. With 73 DAs in 12 months, including secondary dwellings and new houses, infill activity is steady. Population growth is modest at 0.41%, and internal migration is negative (-86/year), so demand relies on overseas arrivals (+239/year). Best suited to long-term holders betting on north shore fundamentals.

How is Thornleigh's population changing?

Population grows slowly at 0.41% per year, adding about 82 people annually. Overseas migration (+239/year) drives growth while internal migration is negative (-86/year). The decade growth rate of 6.2% is below Sydney's average. Chinese ancestry (1,307 residents) is the second-largest heritage group, and 37.1% of residents were born overseas, 15.5 points above the national average.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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