NSW 2770 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Tregear

With all four SEIFA indexes sitting at decile 1, the lowest nationally, Tregear stands out as one of Greater Western Sydney's most economically stressed pockets. Yet the suburb has momentum: median house prices rose 11.4% from $745,000 in 2024 to $830,000 in 2025, and the population grew 38% over ten years. At 3,700 residents packed into 1.64 km2, it carries a density of 2,254 people per km2. The median age of 30 is 10 years below the national figure, anchoring a young, renter-majority community where 64.1% of households do not own their home.

Tregear urban fabric map

Population

3,700

Median Age

30.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,103/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

22

Median House

$780K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

1.64 km²· 2,253.8 people/km²· Family income $1,330/wk

Tregear's median house price of $780,000 sits below the broader Western Sydney average and rose 11.4% in the 2024 to 2025 period, from $745,000 to $830,000. The stock is 90.8% separate houses, giving buyers strong choice in detached dwellings, with 57.3% three-bedroom and 30.7% four-plus-bedroom homes available. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,603, but the mortgage-to-income ratio reaches 33.6%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household income sits at only the 17.6th percentile nationally. Outright owners at 16.4% are well below national norms, pointing to a relatively recent wave of purchases among lower-income buyers. The gap between the 90.8% house share and the entry price makes Tregear one of the more accessible suburban markets for detached-house buyers in metro Sydney.

For Buyers

Tregear's median house price of $780,000 sits below the broader Western Sydney average and rose 11.4% in the 2024 to 2025 period, from $745,000 to $830,000. The stock is 90.8% separate houses, giving buyers strong choice in detached dwellings, with 57.3% three-bedroom and 30.7% four-plus-bedroom homes available. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,603, but the mortgage-to-income ratio reaches 33.6%, above the 30% stress threshold, because household income sits at only the 17.6th percentile nationally. Outright owners at 16.4% are well below national norms, pointing to a relatively recent wave of purchases among lower-income buyers. The gap between the 90.8% house share and the entry price makes Tregear one of the more accessible suburban markets for detached-house buyers in metro Sydney.

For Investors

Rental demand is structural here: 64.1% of households rent, one of the highest renter shares in metro NSW, and weekly rent averages $300. Against the $780,000 median, that rent implies a gross yield around 2.0%, which is higher than many gentrifying inner suburbs. Vacancy sits at 9.7%, which is elevated compared to sub-3% metro norms, so investors should price in void periods. Development activity is steady at 22 applications in the past 12 months, including dual occupancy and secondary dwellings that signal continued densification. Overseas migration adds a net 183 residents a year to the SA2 area while internal migration removes 194 annually, meaning external demand is the growth driver. Rent grew 60% over the prior period, well above inflation, supporting the income case despite the high vacancy rate.

Development Activity

Total DAs

87

Last 12 Months

22

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+46.7%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
24
Commercial / Industrial
3
Demolition
2
New Dwelling
2
Renovation / Extension
2
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
2
Deck / Pergola / Patio
1
Garage / Carport / Shed
1

Schools in Tregear iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Tregear Public School

ICSEA 817 Primary Government

K-6 · 325 students

Demographics

The median age of 30 is 10 years below the national median, making Tregear one of Western Sydney's youngest suburbs. University qualifications reach only 11.2%, which is 18.9 percentage points below the national figure, reflecting the blue-collar and trade character of the workforce. Overseas-born residents account for 21.4%, in line with the national average. The dominant ancestry is English (1,006 residents), followed by Samoan (222), which is a notable community share compared to most NSW suburbs. Arabic (67 speakers) and Samoan (61) are the main non-English languages. Average household size is 2.8, above the national average of 2.5, consistent with the family-dense demographic. Couples with children (1,007 families) outnumber couples without children (393 families) by more than 2.5 to 1.

Age Distribution

0-14
25.9%
15-24
14.9%
25-44
25.8%
45-64
21.5%
65+
11.9%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
6.2%
2 bed
5.7%
3 bed
57.3%
4+ bed
30.7%

Dwelling Structure

90.8%

Houses

2.6%

Townhouse

6.7%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 16.4% Mortgage 19.5% Rent 64.1%

Tenure is heavily renter-weighted: 64.1% rent, 19.5% hold mortgages and only 16.4% own outright, a tenure mix that is markedly different from the state average where outright ownership typically runs above 30%. The stock is almost entirely detached houses at 90.8%, with apartments at 6.7% and semi-detached at 2.6%. Three-bedroom homes dominate at 57.3%, with 30.7% having four or more bedrooms. The price moved from $745,000 in 2024 to $830,000 in 2025, an 11.4% gain over one year. Monthly mortgage costs of $1,603 represent 33.6% of median household income, above the conventional stress threshold of 30%, because household income at the 17.6th percentile nationally is below $1,200 per week. Rent-to-income at 27.2% is below the stress level, meaning renters face relatively less pressure than mortgagors.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,603

Rent / wk

$300

HH Size

2.8

Personal Income / wk

$518

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

9.7%

Unoccupied

126

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

27.2%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

33.6% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Arabic
67
Samoan
61
Hindi
20

Ancestry

English
1,006
Other
551
Ancestry NS
446
Samoan
222
Irish
190
Scottish
173

Household Composition

14.0%

Couples, no children

2,798

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare leads local employment at 18.6% of the employed workforce, followed by Transport at 11.7% and Construction at 9.0%, with Manufacturing and Retail each at 8.5%. By occupation, Machinery Operators and Drivers (234 workers) are the largest group, then Labourers (157) and Community and Personal Service workers (119), a pattern consistent with the decile 1 SEIFA IEO score for education and occupation. Unemployment is 14.6%, well above the national rate. The participation rate is only 33.5%, partly because 1,287 residents are not in the labour force. Real income grew 36.8% over the prior decade, which is positive, yet household income still sits at the 17.6th percentile nationally. Full-time employment among those working runs at 64.5%, which is broadly in line with national rates.

Unemployment

14.8%

Labour Force

10,563

Unemployed

1,560

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
1
Disadvantage
1
Economic resources
1
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

64.5%

Part-time

20.9%

Participation

33.5%

Employed

784

Occupations

Machinery/Drivers 234
Labourers 157
Community/Personal 119
Clerical/Admin 118
Sales 93
Professionals 86
Managers 44

Top Industries

Healthcare 18.6%
Transport 11.7%
Construction 9.0%
Manufacturing 8.5%
Retail 8.5%

University

11.2%

Postgraduate

2.4%

Born Overseas

21.4%

Dwellings

1,172

Transport to Work

Car dependency is very high: 84.8% of residents drive to work, well above the national average, while only 4.2% use public transport and 0.8% walk or cycle, reflecting limited active transport infrastructure. No schools are recorded inside the Tregear boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in neighbouring 2770 postcode suburbs. Tregear ranks decile 1 on IRSAD, the bottom nationally for relative advantage, meaning residents face higher levels of disadvantage than 90% of Australian suburbs. The need-for-assistance rate is 10.0%, covering 327 residents who require daily help, which is above average compared to lower-disadvantage areas. Volunteering is at 6.9%, below most NSW benchmarks. Rent-to-income at 27.2% sits under the 30% stress line for the renter majority, providing some financial buffer for the 64.1% who do not own.

Drive

84.8%

Public Transport

4.2%

Walk / Cycle

0.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.55%/yr

(+355 people/yr)

Established

Population growth in the broader SA2 area containing Tregear has been strong: a 34.3% rise over 10 years and an annual trend of 1.55%, adding around 355 persons per year. The medium forecast projects the SA2 reaching approximately 25,000 by 2031, up from 22,894 in 2025. The suburb itself has a gentrification score of 23 with signals including 38% population growth since 2011, suggesting early-stage pressure rather than full gentrification. Overseas migration at 183 arrivals per year is the net growth driver, offsetting internal outflow of 194 per year. The trajectory is classified as Stable, with affordability having slightly improved from 51.5% in 2011 to 49.0% in 2021. Resident turnover sits at 20.6%, meaning roughly one in five residents moved in the prior 5 years, providing a steady pipeline of housing demand.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+183

Net Internal / yr

-194

23

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +38% since 2011, Net internal outflow -194/yr, COVID recovered (-2% dip → full recovery)

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Tregear compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 15%
Household Income
Bottom 18%
Rent Level
Top 41%
Apartments
Top 38%
Renters
Top 5%
Uni Educated
Bottom 8%
Public Transport
Top 41%
Born Overseas
Top 27%
Density
Top 7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tregear a good suburb to live in?

Tregear offers affordable, detached-house living in Western Sydney with a median house price of $780,000, well below inner-city benchmarks. The trade-offs are real: all four SEIFA indexes rank decile 1 nationally, unemployment is 14.6%, and public transport use is only 4.2%. The suburb suits buyers or renters prioritising space and lower entry costs over socioeconomic advantage.

What is the median house price in Tregear?

The median house price is $780,000 based on 2024 to 2025 data. Prices grew 11.4% in one year, rising from $745,000 in 2024 to $830,000 in 2025. Weekly rent averages $300 and monthly mortgage repayments are approximately $1,603.

What schools are in Tregear?

No schools are recorded inside the Tregear boundary in this dataset. Families rely on schools in neighbouring 2770 postcode suburbs such as Blackett and Whalan. The suburb's university qualification rate of 11.2% is 18.9 percentage points below the national figure.

Is Tregear safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for Tregear in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 1 on IRSD, the lowest nationally for relative disadvantage, and 10.0% of residents (327 people) need daily assistance, both consistent with a higher-disadvantage area where social stress can elevate crime risk.

Is Tregear good for property investment?

The 64.1% renter share provides a large tenant base, and weekly rent of $300 against a $780,000 median implies a gross yield around 2.0%. Rent grew 60% over the prior period, above inflation. The 9.7% vacancy rate is elevated compared to sub-3% metro benchmarks, so investors should factor in higher void periods.

How is Tregear's population changing?

The broader SA2 area grew 34.3% over 10 years and trends at 1.55% per year, equivalent to roughly 355 additional residents annually. Overseas migration adds a net 183 persons a year, offsetting internal outflow of 194 per year. Medium forecasts project the SA2 population reaching around 25,000 by 2031, up from 22,894 in 2025.

How much development is happening in Tregear?

There were 22 development applications lodged in the past 12 months. Recent examples include a new dwelling house, a dual occupancy attached project and a secondary dwelling, signalling ongoing densification consistent with the suburb's growing renter base and family-oriented housing demand.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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