NSW 2486 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Tweed Heads South

Mortgage stress at 41.0% and rental stress at 40.0% make Tweed Heads South one of the most financially stretched suburbs in this cohort, despite a median age of 52 and 44.3% owning outright. Household incomes at the 12th percentile nationally explain the paradox: property values ($800,000 median) have outrun local earning power. Population grows at 0.85% per year (183 persons), driven by balanced internal (164/year) and overseas (140/year) migration. The suburb sits at SEIFA decile 1-2, placing it among the most disadvantaged in NSW.

Tweed Heads South urban fabric map

Population

7,941

Median Age

52.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$976/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

61

Median House

$800K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

8.3 km²· 957.3 people/km²· Family income $1,384/wk

The $800,000 PSI-derived median (2024-2025) rose 20.7% from $730,750 in 2024 to $882,000 in 2025, though limited sale volumes make this single-year jump less reliable. Detached houses at 51.7% are supplemented by semi-detached (31.2%) and apartments (14.9%). Three-bedroom homes dominate at 41.8%, with 4-plus at 19.7%. Mortgage-to-income at 41.0% is deeply in stress territory, meaning buyers on local incomes face serious affordability pressure. Buyers relying on Gold Coast or remote-work incomes fare better, but local workers earning $976/week household would struggle with $1,733/month repayments.

For Buyers

The $800,000 PSI-derived median (2024-2025) rose 20.7% from $730,750 in 2024 to $882,000 in 2025, though limited sale volumes make this single-year jump less reliable. Detached houses at 51.7% are supplemented by semi-detached (31.2%) and apartments (14.9%). Three-bedroom homes dominate at 41.8%, with 4-plus at 19.7%. Mortgage-to-income at 41.0% is deeply in stress territory, meaning buyers on local incomes face serious affordability pressure. Buyers relying on Gold Coast or remote-work incomes fare better, but local workers earning $976/week household would struggle with $1,733/month repayments.

For Investors

The 32.3% renter share provides a tenant pool, and weekly rent of $390 against $800,000 median implies a gross yield of approximately 2.5%. Rental stress at 40.0% is extreme, meaning tenants are already maxed. The 7.0% vacancy rate exceeds the national average. Population growth of 0.85% per year (183 persons) provides some demand tailwind, and 60 development applications in 12 months indicate active supply. The gentrification score of 25 (early signs) with internal migration of +164/year suggests demographic turnover, but SEIFA decile 2 limits capital appreciation expectations.

Development Activity

Total DAs

345

Last 12 Months

61

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+7.0%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
44
Swimming Pool / Spa
21
Demolition
7
Signage / Advertising
7
Garage / Carport / Shed
6
Change of Use
6
Commercial / Industrial
6
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
5

Schools in Tweed Heads South iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Pacific Coast Christian School

ICSEA 1027 Combined Independent

K-12 · 999 students

Tweed River High School

ICSEA 940 Secondary Government

7-12 · 590 students

Tweed Heads South Public School

ICSEA 882 Primary Government

P-6 · 142 students

Demographics

The median age of 52 sits 12 years above the national median, placing Tweed Heads South in the retirement-oriented category. English ancestry dominates (3,427), followed by Irish (923) and Scottish (876). Only 20.7% were born overseas, slightly below the national average. University education at 18.5% trails the national rate by 11.6 percentage points. Community/Personal Service workers (490) lead occupations, followed by Labourers (437), reflecting the care and service economy. Couples without children at 34.8% and the 2.1 average household size reinforce the empty-nester profile.

Age Distribution

0-14
13.6%
15-24
9.4%
25-44
19.3%
45-64
23.5%
65+
34.0%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
10.3%
2 bed
28.3%
3 bed
41.8%
4+ bed
19.7%

Dwelling Structure

51.7%

Houses

31.2%

Townhouse

14.9%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 44.3% Mortgage 23.4% Rent 32.3%

PSI data shows a jump from $730,750 (2024) to $882,000 (2025), a 20.7% gain, above the NSW state median growth rate. Detached houses (51.7%) narrowly lead apartments (14.9%) and semi-detached (31.2%). The 31.2% semi-detached share is notably high compared to most NSW suburbs, reflecting the townhouse and duplex stock typical of the Tweed border region. Ownership: 44.3% outright, 23.4% mortgage, 32.3% renting. The high outright ownership reflects retirees who purchased with equity from capital city sales. Studio/1-bed at 10.3% and 2-bedroom at 28.3% indicate a substantial downsizer unit market.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,733

Rent / wk

$390

HH Size

2.1

Personal Income / wk

$561

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

7.0%

Unoccupied

257

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

40.0% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

41.0% stressed

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Punjabi
35
Mandarin
26
Hindi
15
Japan
12
Portuguese
11

Ancestry

English
3,427
Irish
923
Scottish
876
Other
577
Ancestry NS
476
German
357

Household Composition

34.8%

Couples, no children

5,385

Total families

Economy & Employment

Healthcare overwhelmingly leads at 25.0% (444 workers), reflecting proximity to Tweed Hospital and aged care facilities. Construction (11.6%, 207) benefits from the border region's ongoing residential development. Hospitality (9.8%, 175), Education (8.4%, 150), and Retail (8.2%, 146) complete the top 5. Full-time employment at 53.7% is well below the national average, and the 41.1% participation rate leaves 3,328 people outside the labour force. SEIFA IEO decile 1 and IRSAD decile 2 confirm the suburb sits in the most educationally and economically disadvantaged bracket for NSW.

Unemployment

3.5%

Labour Force

9,807

Unemployed

343

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
2
Disadvantage
2
Economic resources
2
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

53.7%

Part-time

39.5%

Participation

41.1%

Employed

2,631

Occupations

Community/Personal 490
Labourers 437
Professionals 398
Clerical/Admin 334
Sales 319
Managers 259
Machinery/Drivers 160

Top Industries

Healthcare 25.0%
Construction 11.6%
Hospitality 9.8%
Education 8.4%
Retail 8.2%

University

18.5%

Postgraduate

3.4%

Born Overseas

20.7%

Dwellings

3,421

Transport to Work

Three schools serve the area: Pacific Coast Christian School (Combined, Independent, ICSEA 1,027, 999 students), Tweed River High School (Secondary, Government, ICSEA 940, 590 students), and Tweed Heads South Public School (Primary, Government, ICSEA 882, 142 students). School ICSEA scores range from 85 below to 27 above the 1,000 benchmark. Public transport at 1.3% is very low, and 85.0% drive. Walking and cycling at 5.0% are slightly above average for a regional suburb. The 12.7% needing assistance (946 people) is among the highest in this cohort, reflecting the elderly population.

Drive

85.0%

Public Transport

1.3%

Walk / Cycle

5.0%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.85%/yr

(+183 people/yr)

Established

Population is forecast to reach 22,580 by 2031, growing at 0.85% annually (183 persons/year). Migration is balanced: 164 net internal and 140 net overseas per year. The population has grown 13.0% over the past decade, accelerating since 2011. The gentrification score of 25 (early signs) reflects improving affordability (66.2% to 59.5% rent-to-income) and +21.8% real income growth, though SEIFA decile 2 suggests structural barriers remain. Seniors' share is rising 3.7 percentage points, and working-age share dropping 1.0pp, consistent with the ageing trajectory.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+140

Net Internal / yr

+164

25

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +14% since 2011, Net internal migration +164/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Tweed Heads South compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 6%
Household Income
Bottom 12%
Rent Level
Top 19%
Apartments
Top 23%
Renters
Top 25%
Uni Educated
Bottom 32%
Public Transport
Bottom 22%
Born Overseas
Top 28%
Density
Top 16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Tweed Heads South a good suburb to live in?

Tweed Heads South offers a coastal lifestyle at $800,000 median, but both mortgage stress (41.0%) and rental stress (40.0%) are well above the 30% threshold. Household incomes at the 12th percentile nationally mean affordability is tight. SEIFA decile 2 indicates significant disadvantage compared to the broader NSW average.

What is the median house price in Tweed Heads South?

The PSI-derived median is $800,000 (2024-2025 blended). Prices moved from $730,750 in 2024 to $882,000 in 2025, a 20.7% increase. Monthly mortgage repayments average $1,733, which at 41.0% of household income significantly exceeds the stress threshold.

What schools are in Tweed Heads South?

Three schools operate locally: Pacific Coast Christian School (Combined, ICSEA 1,027, 999 students), Tweed River High School (Secondary, ICSEA 940, 590 students), and Tweed Heads South Public School (Primary, ICSEA 882, 142 students). ICSEA scores range from 882 to 1,027.

Is Tweed Heads South safe?

Crime data is not available for Tweed Heads South in the current dataset. The SEIFA IRSD decile of 2 and 6.8% unemployment rate are factors that correlate with higher-than-average crime in comparable NSW border-region suburbs.

Is Tweed Heads South good for property investment?

Gross yield is approximately 2.5% ($390/week on $800,000 median), below average. The 32.3% renter share provides tenant demand, but rental stress at 40.0% caps further rent increases. Population growth of 0.85% per year (183 persons) and 60 development applications in 12 months balance demand against new supply.

How is Tweed Heads South's population changing?

Population grows at 0.85% annually (183 persons/year), forecast to reach 22,580 by 2031. Migration is balanced: 164 net internal and 140 net overseas per year. The median age of 52 (12 years above national) and seniors' share rising 3.7pp confirm the ageing trajectory common to Tweed-region border suburbs.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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