SA 5046 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

Warradale

A median house price of $1,355,000 in a suburb where the household income sits in the 56.3rd percentile nationally is the headline tension at Warradale, and it explains why prices jumped 17.8% from $1,150,000 in just one year to 1Q 2026. The dwelling stock is dominated by detached homes at 67.5%, with apartments a rare 2.9%, so the price pressure lands on a finite pool of family houses. University qualifications reach 41.6%, which is 11.5 points above the national figure, and the median age of 41 runs 1.0 year above national. SEIFA scores are mixed: decile 6 on education and occupation but decile 2 on economic resources, a split that points to asset-rich households carrying modest cash incomes.

Warradale urban fabric map

Population

5,801

Median Age

41.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$1,626/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

30

Median House

$1.4M

Median 1Q 2026

2.01 km²· 2,891.1 people/km²· Family income $2,144/wk

Buyers face a $1,355,000 median that rose 17.8% over the year to 1Q 2026, well above wage growth, because supply is tight in a market that is 67.5% separate houses and only 2.9% apartments. Three-bedroom homes make up 59.6% of stock and four-plus bedroom homes 19.9%, so families have options but compete for the same detached product. Tenure favours owners: 37.0% own outright and 39.4% carry a mortgage, leaving renters at 23.5%. Average monthly mortgage repayments of $1,733 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold, which means recent buyers are not overextended despite the high entry price. That affordability buffer exists because incomes are decent and many established owners bought well before the recent run-up.

For Buyers

Buyers face a $1,355,000 median that rose 17.8% over the year to 1Q 2026, well above wage growth, because supply is tight in a market that is 67.5% separate houses and only 2.9% apartments. Three-bedroom homes make up 59.6% of stock and four-plus bedroom homes 19.9%, so families have options but compete for the same detached product. Tenure favours owners: 37.0% own outright and 39.4% carry a mortgage, leaving renters at 23.5%. Average monthly mortgage repayments of $1,733 produce a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6%, comfortably below the 30% stress threshold, which means recent buyers are not overextended despite the high entry price. That affordability buffer exists because incomes are decent and many established owners bought well before the recent run-up.

For Investors

Renters make up 23.5% of households and weekly rent averages $380, giving landlords a steady but shallow tenant pool against a $1,355,000 median. That pairing implies a gross yield near 1.5%, low because capital values have outpaced rents, even though rent itself grew 46.8% over the decade. The 6.1% vacancy rate is moderate and signals demand holds up rather than oversupply. Demand support is real: net overseas migration adds about 414 residents a year while internal migration removes only 12, a strong inflow that underpins occupancy. Development is modest at 29 applications in 12 months, mostly pools, carports and dwelling additions rather than new supply, so stock stays scarce. The investment case here rests on capital growth and tight supply more than on yield.

Development Activity

Total DAs

202

Last 12 Months

30

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

-11.8%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Deck / Pergola / Patio
17
Garage / Carport / Shed
8
Renovation / Extension
7
Subdivision
7
New Dwelling
6
Swimming Pool / Spa
5
Tree Removal
4
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
4

Schools in Warradale iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

Christ the King School

ICSEA 1079 Primary Catholic

R-6 · 179 students

Warradale Primary School

ICSEA 1032 Primary Government

R-6 · 286 students

Demographics

The median age of 41 is 1.0 year above the national figure, and the trajectory is stable rather than aging, with the senior share up just 0.3 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents reach 25.8%, which is 4.2 points above national, and the leading non-English languages are Mandarin (98 speakers), Punjabi (34) and Nepali (26). Ancestry skews Anglo-Celtic, led by English (2,419), Irish (626) and Scottish (523). University qualifications at 41.6% run 11.5 points above national, consistent with a professional resident base. Average household size is 2.3, which is 0.2 below national, in line with the 30.1% of families that are couples without children. Christianity (2,284) dominates religion, with Hinduism (161) the notable second, reflecting the recent South Asian migration showing up in the language data.

Age Distribution

0-14
16.8%
15-24
10.5%
25-44
27.3%
45-64
24.0%
65+
21.6%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
1.5%
2 bed
19.0%
3 bed
59.6%
4+ bed
19.9%

Dwelling Structure

67.5%

Houses

29.7%

Townhouse

2.9%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 37.0% Mortgage 39.4% Rent 23.5%

Tenure tilts toward owners: 39.4% carry a mortgage, 37.0% own outright and 23.5% rent, a healthy ownership base for a metropolitan suburb. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 67.5% separate houses, with semi-detached homes at 29.7% and apartments just 2.9%, so density is low for the inner-south. Three-bedroom dwellings account for 59.6% and four-plus bedroom homes 19.9%, confirming a family-house market. The median house price climbed from $1,150,000 in 1Q 2025 to $1,355,000 in 1Q 2026, a 17.8% one-year move that outpaces income growth. Yet mortgage-to-income sits at 24.6% and rent-to-income at 23.4%, both below the 30% stress line, a divergence that reflects long-held equity cushioning current owners against the sharp price step-up.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,733

Rent / wk

$380

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$854

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

6.1%

Unoccupied

157

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

23.4%

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

24.6%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Mandarin
98
Punjabi
34
Nepali
26
Italian
24
Hindi
21
Canton
20

Ancestry

English
2,419
Irish
626
Other
565
Scottish
523
German
426
Chinese
299

Household Composition

30.1%

Couples, no children

4,602

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local workforce concentrates in care and knowledge sectors: Healthcare leads at 22.3% (475 workers), Education follows at 14.7% (314) and Professional/Tech at 10.7% (228), with Public Admin at 9.0% and Construction at 8.5%. By occupation, Professionals (846) and Clerical/Admin (438) lead, which aligns with the decile 6 IEO score for education and occupation. Unemployment is low at 4.2% and the full-time employment rate is 61.6%, while participation reads 60.0%. The clearest anomaly is the IER economic-resources score at decile 2, far below the decile 6 education ranking, because household cash incomes (56.3rd percentile) lag the suburb's high property values, leaving residents asset-rich but income-modest. Real incomes still grew 18.9% over the decade.

Unemployment

3.4%

Labour Force

9,835

Unemployed

331

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
5
Disadvantage
4
Economic resources
2
Education & occupation
6

Full-time

61.6%

Part-time

34.2%

Participation

60.0%

Employed

2,778

Occupations

Professionals 846
Clerical/Admin 438
Community/Personal 404
Managers 363
Sales 234
Labourers 187
Machinery/Drivers 83

Top Industries

Healthcare 22.3%
Education 14.7%
Professional/Tech 10.7%
Public Admin 9.0%
Construction 8.5%

University

41.6%

Postgraduate

10.7%

Born Overseas

25.8%

Dwellings

2,403

Transport to Work

Daily life is car-dependent: 84.2% drive to work while public transport carries 7.7% and only 3.8% walk or cycle, above the typical car reliance you find closer to the CBD. The suburb scores decile 4 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage and decile 5 on IRSAD, both mid-range nationally rather than top-tier, so it reads as a solid middle suburb rather than an elite one. The crime rate is 30.3 incidents per 1,000 residents from 176 recorded offences, moderate for a metropolitan area. Volunteering runs at 17.4% and 4.8% of residents (273 people) need daily assistance, in line with the median age of 41. No schools are recorded inside the 2.01 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on institutions in neighbouring suburbs, a practical trade-off in this compact pocket.

Drive

84.2%

Public Transport

7.7%

Walk / Cycle

3.8%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+1.6%/yr

(+289 people/yr)

Established

Warradale is growing steadily, with annual population growth of 1.6% and a 23.2% rise over the past decade, classifying it as an established suburb on a stable trajectory. The dominant driver is overseas migration, which adds about 414 residents a year, far outweighing the net internal outflow of 12. The gentrification stage reads early signs, scored 36, supported by signals including a population up roughly 33% since 2011 and an accelerating overseas inflow. Affordability has held flat, moving from 46.1% in 2011 to 46.2% in 2021, so the suburb has grown without pricing out its base faster than incomes rose. That combination of migration-led demand and detached, low-turnover stock is what keeps upward pressure on the $1,355,000 median.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Overseas Migration

Net Overseas / yr

+414

Net Internal / yr

-12

36

Gentrification Signal

Early signs

Population +33% since 2011, Strong overseas inflow +414/yr, Accelerating: 12% → 19%

Safety & Crime

Total Offences

176

Year ending June 2024

Rate per 1,000 People

30.3

Source: Crime Statistics Agency Victoria / SA Police

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How Warradale compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 10%
Household Income
Top 44%
Rent Level
Top 21%
Apartments
Bottom 43%
Renters
Top 42%
Uni Educated
Top 16%
Public Transport
Top 19%
Born Overseas
Top 19%
Density
Top 4%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Warradale a good suburb to live in?

Warradale scores decile 6 on the SEIFA education and occupation index and decile 5 on IRSAD, both at or above the national midpoint. University qualifications reach 41.6%, which is 11.5 points above national. The main trade-off is a high $1,355,000 median house price against household incomes in the 56.3rd percentile.

What is the median house price in Warradale?

The median house price is $1,355,000 as of 1Q 2026, up 17.8% from $1,150,000 a year earlier. Weekly rent averages $380 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,733, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 24.6%, below the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in Warradale?

No schools are recorded inside the 2.01 km2 Warradale boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in neighbouring suburbs. The local population is well educated, with university qualifications at 41.6%, which is 11.5 points above the national figure.

Is Warradale safe?

Warradale recorded 176 offences, a crime rate of 30.3 per 1,000 residents, which is moderate for a metropolitan suburb. As a supporting indicator, it scores decile 4 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, a mid-range result nationally, and only 4.8% of residents need daily assistance.

Is Warradale good for property investment?

Rent of $380 a week against a $1,355,000 median gives a gross yield near 1.5%, low by national standards, with a moderate 6.1% vacancy rate. Net overseas migration of about 414 a year supports demand, so returns depend more on capital growth than on rental yield.

How is Warradale's population changing?

Population is growing 1.6% a year and rose 23.2% over the past decade, driven mainly by overseas migration of about 414 residents a year against a small net internal outflow of 12. The profile is stable rather than aging, with the senior share up just 0.3 points over the decade.

How much development is happening in Warradale?

There were 29 development applications lodged in the past 12 months, modest for the area. Most are pools, carports and dwelling additions on existing homes rather than new supply, consistent with a low-density market that is 67.5% separate houses and only 2.9% apartments.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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