NSW 2440 Census 2021 + Live DA Data

West Kempsey

A median house price of $450,000 sits alongside household income in the 9.5th percentile nationally, and the gap between the two defines West Kempsey. The suburb scores decile 1 on IRSAD, IRSD and IEO, the bottom advantage tier in the country, with IER only marginally higher at decile 2. Detached houses dominate the 9.42 km2 footprint at 88.4% of dwellings, yet 40.7% of residents rent rather than own. Unemployment runs at 12.3%, well above national levels, and Healthcare alone employs 35.6% of the local workforce, a single-sector concentration unusual for a town of 5,073 people.

West Kempsey urban fabric map

Population

5,073

Median Age

40.0

Household IncomeiMedian weekly household income (ABS Census)

$925/wk

DAs (12 months)iDevelopment Applications lodged in the past year

32

Median House

$450K

2024-2025 (PSI derived)

9.42 km²· 538.3 people/km²· Family income $1,213/wk

At $450,000 the median house price is far below most NSW markets, and it rose a modest 2.7% from $438,000 in 2024. Affordability is the clear draw, with monthly mortgage repayments around $1,170 producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.2%, just under the 30% stress threshold despite incomes in the 9.5th percentile. The stock suits owner-occupiers: 88.4% are separate houses and only 9.0% apartments, with three-bedroom homes the most common at 51.8% and four-plus-bedroom dwellings a further 20.5%. Outright owners make up 34.0% of households against 25.3% carrying a mortgage, a sign that much of the housing is held debt-free by long-term residents rather than recent buyers competing on price.

For Buyers

At $450,000 the median house price is far below most NSW markets, and it rose a modest 2.7% from $438,000 in 2024. Affordability is the clear draw, with monthly mortgage repayments around $1,170 producing a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.2%, just under the 30% stress threshold despite incomes in the 9.5th percentile. The stock suits owner-occupiers: 88.4% are separate houses and only 9.0% apartments, with three-bedroom homes the most common at 51.8% and four-plus-bedroom dwellings a further 20.5%. Outright owners make up 34.0% of households against 25.3% carrying a mortgage, a sign that much of the housing is held debt-free by long-term residents rather than recent buyers competing on price.

For Investors

A 40.7% renter share gives landlords a deep tenant pool, and weekly rent of $290 against the $450,000 median implies a gross yield near 3.4%, higher than yields in premium Sydney markets. The 8.2% vacancy rate is elevated, though, which tempers the case and points to softer tenant demand than the renter share alone suggests. Rent has grown 58.3% over the period and rent-to-income now sits at 31.4%, flagged as rent stress, so further increases face an affordability ceiling. Demand support is balanced rather than strong: net internal migration adds 91 residents a year and overseas migration 53. Development activity is light at 29 applications in 12 months, mostly alterations and single dwellings, so new supply stays thin and existing rentals retain their value.

Development Activity

Total DAs

158

Last 12 Months

32

YoY ChangeiYear-over-year change in DA lodgements

+23.1%

Avg DA CostiAverage estimated cost per DA in the past year

N/A

Monthly DA Lodgements

DA Categories

Renovation / Extension
13
Commercial / Industrial
10
Garage / Carport / Shed
9
Swimming Pool / Spa
5
Multi-Dwelling / Townhouse
5
Other
4
Demolition
3
Granny Flat / Secondary Dwelling
3

Schools in West Kempsey iICSEA: school advantage index. 1000 = national avg, higher = more advantaged

St Paul's College

ICSEA 999 Secondary Catholic

7-12 · 641 students

St Joseph's Primary School

ICSEA 991 Primary Catholic

K-6 · 332 students

Kempsey West Public School

ICSEA 794 Primary Government

K-6 · 422 students

Green Hill Public School

ICSEA 712 Primary Government

K-6 · 19 students

Demographics

The median age of 40 matches the national figure, but the trajectory is aging, with the senior share up 4.3 points and the young share down 3.5 points over the decade. Overseas-born residents are just 6.4%, which is 15.2 points below national, and ancestry leans heavily Anglo-Celtic, led by English (1,961), Irish (497) and Scottish (375). University qualifications reach only 11.8%, 18.3 points below the national figure, consistent with a workforce weighted toward Community and Personal Services (313) and Labourers (219). Average household size is 2.3, marginally below national, and couples without children make up 23.7% of the 3,466 families. Christianity dominates religious affiliation at 2,552 residents, with no large minority faith presence.

Age Distribution

0-14
20.7%
15-24
12.9%
25-44
20.5%
45-64
22.1%
65+
23.8%

Bedrooms

Studio/1br
6.4%
2 bed
21.2%
3 bed
51.8%
4+ bed
20.5%

Dwelling Structure

88.4%

Houses

2.4%

Townhouse

9.0%

Apartment

Tenure

Own 34.0% Mortgage 25.3% Rent 40.7%

Tenure tilts toward renting: 40.7% rent, 34.0% own outright and 25.3% carry a mortgage. Outright owners outnumbering mortgage holders points to long-held, low-debt ownership rather than a churn of new buyers. The stock is overwhelmingly detached at 88.4% separate houses, with apartments at 9.0% and semi-detached at 2.4%, and three-bedroom homes lead at 51.8%. The median house price moved from $438,000 to $450,000 across 2024-2025, a 2.7% rise. Mortgage-to-income at 29.2% stays just below the stress line, but rent-to-income at 31.4% crosses it, a divergence that explains why renting, despite the larger pool, is the more financially strained tenure in a suburb where household income ranks in the 9.5th percentile.

Median House Price Trend

Source: State Valuer-General

Mortgage / mo

$1,170

Rent / wk

$290

HH Size

2.3

Personal Income / wk

$493

Vacancy Ratei% of dwellings unoccupied on Census night (ABS 2021)

8.2%

Unoccupied

165

Rent / IncomeiMedian rent as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

31.4% stressed

Mortgage / IncomeiMedian mortgage as % of household income. Over 30% = housing stress

29.2%

Community Profile

Languages Spoken at Home

Malayalam
17

Ancestry

English
1,961
Ancestry NS
555
Irish
497
Scottish
375
Other
183
German
144

Household Composition

23.7%

Couples, no children

3,466

Total families

Economy & Employment

The local economy leans on a single pillar: Healthcare employs 35.6% of workers (294 people), far ahead of Retail at 10.3%, Education at 9.9% and Public Administration at 9.4%. That concentration reflects the regional hospital and aged-care role West Kempsey plays. By occupation, Community and Personal Service workers (313) and Labourers (219) outnumber Professionals (199). The labour market is strained: unemployment sits at 12.3%, well above national, the participation rate is only 36.6%, and 1,992 residents are not in the labour force, partly an effect of the aging profile. SEIFA confirms the pressure, with IEO and IRSAD both at decile 1 and IER at decile 2, the bottom of the national distribution, while real incomes still grew 14.2% over the decade.

Unemployment

7.6%

Labour Force

6,487

Unemployed

496

Quarterly Trend

Mar-24 Dec-25

Source: SALM Dec-25

Socio-Economic Indexes (SEIFA)iABS index ranking suburbs from 1 (most disadvantaged) to 10 (most advantaged)

Overall advantage
1
Disadvantage
1
Economic resources
2
Education & occupation
1

Full-time

57.1%

Part-time

30.6%

Participation

36.6%

Employed

1,293

Occupations

Community/Personal 313
Labourers 219
Professionals 199
Sales 175
Clerical/Admin 146
Managers 117
Machinery/Drivers 97

Top Industries

Healthcare 35.6%
Retail 10.3%
Education 9.9%
Public Admin 9.4%
Hospitality 5.6%

University

11.8%

Postgraduate

1.6%

Born Overseas

6.4%

Dwellings

1,852

Transport to Work

Car dependence is near total, with 84.3% of residents driving to work and only 0.7% using public transport, well below national reliance on transit, a function of the regional setting. Active travel is similarly low at 4.6% walking or cycling. The suburb scores decile 1 on IRSAD, the bottom advantage tier nationally, and 15.6% of residents (709 people) need daily assistance, both consistent with an older, lower-income population. No schools are recorded inside the 9.42 km2 boundary in this dataset, so families rely on facilities in central Kempsey nearby. Volunteering runs at 12.1%, and with rent-to-income at 31.4% above the stress line, housing affordability remains the sharpest day-to-day pressure for tenants here.

Drive

84.3%

Public Transport

0.7%

Walk / Cycle

4.6%

Work from Home

N/A

Population Forecast

+0.69%/yr

(+113 people/yr)

Established

West Kempsey is an established, slow-growth area: annual population growth runs at 0.69% and the 10-year change is 9.6%, modest by metropolitan standards. Growth is balanced across drivers, with net internal migration adding 91 residents a year and overseas migration 53, so neither outflow nor inflow dominates. The gentrification stage reads not gentrifying, scoring 11, which fits a suburb sitting at decile 1 advantage with little upward pressure on prices. Affordability has worsened over time, moving from 46.6% in 2011 to 52.6% in 2021, driven more by stagnant incomes in the 9.5th percentile than by rapid price growth, since the median rose just 2.7% in the latest year.

Historical + Forecast

Hamilton-Perry + Holt smoothing on ERP 2001-2025

Age Cohort Forecast

Primary Driver

Balanced

Net Overseas / yr

+53

Net Internal / yr

+91

11

Gentrification Signal

Not gentrifying

Net internal migration +91/yr

National Ranking iPercentile rank among ~15,000 AU suburbs. 90% = higher than 90% of suburbs

How West Kempsey compares to ~15,000 Australian suburbs

Population
Top 11%
Household Income
Bottom 10%
Rent Level
Top 43%
Apartments
Top 31%
Renters
Top 15%
Uni Educated
Bottom 10%
Public Transport
Bottom 8%
Born Overseas
Bottom 12%
Density
Top 19%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is West Kempsey a good suburb to live in?

West Kempsey suits buyers prioritising affordability, with a median house price of $450,000 and 88.4% detached houses. The main trade-offs are a low socioeconomic ranking at decile 1 on IRSAD and IRSD, household income in the 9.5th percentile, and unemployment of 12.3%, above national levels.

What is the median house price in West Kempsey?

The median house price is $450,000, up 2.7% from $438,000 in 2024. Weekly rent averages $290 and monthly mortgage repayments run about $1,170, giving a mortgage-to-income ratio of 29.2%, just below the 30% stress threshold.

What schools are in West Kempsey?

No schools are recorded inside the 9.42 km2 West Kempsey boundary in this dataset, so families rely on schools in central Kempsey nearby. Local university qualifications are low at 11.8%, which is 18.3 points below the national figure.

Is West Kempsey safe?

Detailed crime statistics are not available for West Kempsey in this dataset. As an indirect indicator, the suburb scores decile 1 on the IRSD index of relative disadvantage, the lowest tier nationally, and 15.6% of its 5,073 residents need daily assistance.

Is West Kempsey good for property investment?

Rent of $290 a week against a $450,000 median gives a gross yield near 3.4%, higher than premium Sydney markets, but the 8.2% vacancy rate is elevated. Rent has grown 58.3% and net internal migration adds 91 residents a year, so demand support is balanced rather than strong.

How is West Kempsey's population changing?

Population growth is 0.69% annually with a 9.6% rise over 10 years, slow by metropolitan standards. The profile is aging, with the senior share up 4.3 points and the young share down 3.5 points over the decade, while net internal migration adds 91 residents a year.

How to read these comparisons

Phrases like "above the national average" reference the unweighted median across Australian suburbs with more than 1,000 residents, not population-weighted national figures. Suburb-level medians are more useful for ranking suburbs against each other; ABS census headlines are population-weighted (so dominated by Sydney and Melbourne) and can read very differently.

Current baseline (refreshed 2026-05-10): median age 40, university-educated 30.1%, born overseas 21.6%, average household size 2.5 people.

Data sources: ABS 2021 Census (demographics, income, tenure), state Valuer-General (house prices), Department of Jobs SALM (unemployment), ACARA (school ICSEA), state Crime Statistics agencies (offences), council DA portals (development applications). Population forecasts use a Hamilton-Perry cohort model calibrated to ABS ERP.

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